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Introduction: The amount of data generated by original research is growing exponentially. Publicly releasing them is recommended to comply with the Open Science principles. However, data collected from human participants cannot be released as-is without raising privacy concerns. Fully synthetic data represent a promising answer to this challenge. This approach is explored by the French Centre de Recherche en {\'E}pid{\'e}miologie et Sant{\'e} des Populations in the form of a synthetic data generation framework based on Classification and Regression Trees and an original distance-based filtering. The goal of this work was to develop a refined version of this framework and to assess its risk-utility profile with empirical and formal tools, including novel ones developed for the purpose of this evaluation.Materials and Methods: Our synthesis framework consists of four successive steps, each of which is designed to prevent specific risks of disclosure. We assessed its performance by applying two or more of these steps to a rich epidemiological dataset. Privacy and utility metrics were computed for each of the resulting synthetic datasets, which were further assessed using machine learning approaches.Results: Computed metrics showed a satisfactory level of protection against attribute disclosure attacks for each synthetic dataset, especially when the full framework was used. Membership disclosure attacks were formally prevented without significantly altering the data. Machine learning approaches showed a low risk of success for simulated singling out and linkability attacks. Distributional and inferential similarity with the original data were high with all datasets.Discussion: This work showed the technical feasibility of generating publicly releasable synthetic data using a multi-step framework. Formal and empirical tools specifically developed for this demonstration are a valuable contribution to this field. Further research should focus on the extension and validation of these tools, in an effort to specify the intrinsic qualities of alternative data synthesis methods.Conclusion: By successfully assessing the quality of data produced using a novel multi-step synthetic data generation framework, we showed the technical and conceptual soundness of the Open-CESP initiative, which seems ripe for full-scale implementation.

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly used method for approximating expectations with respect to probability distributions. Uncertainty assessment for MCMC estimators is essential in practical applications. Moreover, for multivariate functions of a Markov chain, it is important to estimate not only the auto-correlation for each component but also to estimate cross-correlations, in order to better assess sample quality, improve estimates of effective sample size, and use more effective stopping rules. Berg and Song [2022] introduced the moment least squares (momentLS) estimator, a shape-constrained estimator for the autocovariance sequence from a reversible Markov chain, for univariate functions of the Markov chain. Based on this sequence estimator, they proposed an estimator of the asymptotic variance of the sample mean from MCMC samples. In this study, we propose novel autocovariance sequence and asymptotic variance estimators for Markov chain functions with multiple components, based on the univariate momentLS estimators from Berg and Song [2022]. We demonstrate strong consistency of the proposed auto(cross)-covariance sequence and asymptotic variance matrix estimators. We conduct empirical comparisons of our method with other state-of-the-art approaches on simulated and real-data examples, using popular samplers including the random-walk Metropolis sampler and the No-U-Turn sampler from STAN.

Learning and predicting the dynamics of physical systems requires a profound understanding of the underlying physical laws. Recent works on learning physical laws involve generalizing the equation discovery frameworks to the discovery of Hamiltonian and Lagrangian of physical systems. While the existing methods parameterize the Lagrangian using neural networks, we propose an alternate framework for learning interpretable Lagrangian descriptions of physical systems from limited data using the sparse Bayesian approach. Unlike existing neural network-based approaches, the proposed approach (a) yields an interpretable description of Lagrangian, (b) exploits Bayesian learning to quantify the epistemic uncertainty due to limited data, (c) automates the distillation of Hamiltonian from the learned Lagrangian using Legendre transformation, and (d) provides ordinary (ODE) and partial differential equation (PDE) based descriptions of the observed systems. Six different examples involving both discrete and continuous system illustrates the efficacy of the proposed approach.

Metal artifact correction is a challenging problem in cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) scanning. Metal implants inserted into the anatomy cause severe artifacts in reconstructed images. Widely used inpainting-based metal artifact reduction (MAR) methods require segmentation of metal traces in the projections as a first step, which is a challenging task. One approach is to use a deep learning method to segment metals in the projections. However, the success of deep learning methods is limited by the availability of realistic training data. It is laborious and time consuming to get reliable ground truth annotations due to unclear implant boundaries and large numbers of projections. We propose to use X-ray simulations to generate synthetic metal segmentation training dataset from clinical CBCT scans. We compare the effect of simulations with different numbers of photons and also compare several training strategies to augment the available data. We compare our model's performance on real clinical scans with conventional region growing threshold-based MAR, moving metal artifact reduction method, and a recent deep learning method. We show that simulations with relatively small number of photons are suitable for the metal segmentation task and that training the deep learning model with full size and cropped projections together improves the robustness of the model. We show substantial improvement in the image quality affected by severe motion, voxel size under-sampling, and out-of-FOV metals. Our method can be easily integrated into the existing projection-based MAR pipeline to get improved image quality. This method can provide a novel paradigm to accurately segment metals in CBCT projections.

While well-established methods for time-to-event data are available when the proportional hazards assumption holds, there is no consensus on the best inferential approach under non-proportional hazards (NPH). However, a wide range of parametric and non-parametric methods for testing and estimation in this scenario have been proposed. To provide recommendations on the statistical analysis of clinical trials where non proportional hazards are expected, we conducted a comprehensive simulation study under different scenarios of non-proportional hazards, including delayed onset of treatment effect, crossing hazard curves, subgroups with different treatment effect and changing hazards after disease progression. We assessed type I error rate control, power and confidence interval coverage, where applicable, for a wide range of methods including weighted log-rank tests, the MaxCombo test, summary measures such as the restricted mean survival time (RMST), average hazard ratios, and milestone survival probabilities as well as accelerated failure time regression models. We found a trade-off between interpretability and power when choosing an analysis strategy under NPH scenarios. While analysis methods based on weighted logrank tests typically were favorable in terms of power, they do not provide an easily interpretable treatment effect estimate. Also, depending on the weight function, they test a narrow null hypothesis of equal hazard functions and rejection of this null hypothesis may not allow for a direct conclusion of treatment benefit in terms of the survival function. In contrast, non-parametric procedures based on well interpretable measures as the RMST difference had lower power in most scenarios. Model based methods based on specific survival distributions had larger power, however often gave biased estimates and lower than nominal confidence interval coverage.

Support vector machines (SVMs) are widely used and constitute one of the best examined and used machine learning models for two-class classification. Classification in SVM is based on a score procedure, yielding a deterministic classification rule, which can be transformed into a probabilistic rule (as implemented in off-the-shelf SVM libraries), but is not probabilistic in nature. On the other hand, the tuning of the regularization parameters in SVM is known to imply a high computational effort and generates pieces of information that are not fully exploited, not being used to build a probabilistic classification rule. In this paper we propose a novel approach to generate probabilistic outputs for the SVM. The new method has the following three properties. First, it is designed to be cost-sensitive, and thus the different importance of sensitivity (or true positive rate, TPR) and specificity (true negative rate, TNR) is readily accommodated in the model. As a result, the model can deal with imbalanced datasets which are common in operational business problems as churn prediction or credit scoring. Second, the SVM is embedded in an ensemble method to improve its performance, making use of the valuable information generated in the parameters tuning process. Finally, the probabilities estimation is done via bootstrap estimates, avoiding the use of parametric models as competing approaches. Numerical tests on a wide range of datasets show the advantages of our approach over benchmark procedures.

We present a coordination method for multiple mobile manipulators to sort objects in clutter. We consider the object rearrangement problem in which the objects must be sorted into different groups in a particular order. In clutter, the order constraints could not be easily satisfied since some objects occlude other objects so the occluded ones are not directly accessible to the robots. Those objects occluding others need to be moved more than once to make the occluded objects accessible. Such rearrangement problems fall into the class of nonmonotone rearrangement problems which are computationally intractable. While the nonmonotone problems with order constraints are harder, involving with multiple robots requires another computation for task allocation. The proposed method first finds a sequence of objects to be sorted using a search such that the order constraint in each group is satisfied. The search can solve nonmonotone instances that require temporal relocation of some objects to access the next object to be sorted. Once a complete sorting sequence is found, the objects in the sequence are assigned to multiple mobile manipulators using a greedy allocation method. We develop four versions of the method with different search strategies. In the experiments, we show that our method can find a sorting sequence quickly (e.g., 4.6 sec with 20 objects sorted into five groups) even though the solved instances include hard nonmonotone ones. The extensive tests and the experiments in simulation show the ability of the method to solve the real-world sorting problem using multiple mobile manipulators.

Application of deep learning methods to physical simulations such as CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics), have been so far of limited industrial relevance. This paper demonstrates the development and application of a deep learning framework for real-time predictions of the impact of tip clearance variations on the aerodynamic performance of multi-stage axial compressors in gas turbines. The proposed C(NN)FD architecture is proven to be scalable to industrial applications, and achieves in real-time accuracy comparable to the CFD benchmark. The deployed model, is readily integrated within the manufacturing and build process of gas turbines, thus providing the opportunity to analytically assess the impact on performance and potentially reduce requirements for expensive physical tests.

Quantum Generative Modelling (QGM) relies on preparing quantum states and generating samples from these states as hidden - or known - probability distributions. As distributions from some classes of quantum states (circuits) are inherently hard to sample classically, QGM represents an excellent testbed for quantum supremacy experiments. Furthermore, generative tasks are increasingly relevant for industrial machine learning applications, and thus QGM is a strong candidate for demonstrating a practical quantum advantage. However, this requires that quantum circuits are trained to represent industrially relevant distributions, and the corresponding training stage has an extensive training cost for current quantum hardware in practice. In this work, we propose protocols for classical training of QGMs based on circuits of the specific type that admit an efficient gradient computation, while remaining hard to sample. In particular, we consider Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial (IQP) circuits and their extensions. Showing their classical simulability in terms of the time complexity, sparsity and anti-concentration properties, we develop a classically tractable way of simulating their output probability distributions, allowing classical training to a target probability distribution. The corresponding quantum sampling from IQPs can be performed efficiently, unlike when using classical sampling. We numerically demonstrate the end-to-end training of IQP circuits using probability distributions for up to 30 qubits on a regular desktop computer. When applied to industrially relevant distributions this combination of classical training with quantum sampling represents an avenue for reaching advantage in the NISQ era.

This paper addresses the problem of designing the {\it continuous-discrete} unscented Kalman filter (UKF) implementation methods. More precisely, the aim is to propose the MATLAB-based UKF algorithms for {\it accurate} and {\it robust} state estimation of stochastic dynamic systems. The accuracy of the {\it continuous-discrete} nonlinear filters heavily depends on how the implementation method manages the discretization error arisen at the filter prediction step. We suggest the elegant and accurate implementation framework for tracking the hidden states by utilizing the MATLAB built-in numerical integration schemes developed for solving ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The accuracy is boosted by the discretization error control involved in all MATLAB ODE solvers. This keeps the discretization error below the tolerance value provided by users, automatically. Meanwhile, the robustness of the UKF filtering methods is examined in terms of the stability to roundoff. In contrast to the pseudo-square-root UKF implementations established in engineering literature, which are based on the one-rank Cholesky updates, we derive the stable square-root methods by utilizing the $J$-orthogonal transformations for calculating the Cholesky square-root factors.