Effective and rapid decision-making from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) requires unbiased and precise treatment effect inferences. Two strategies to address this requirement are to adjust for covariates that are highly correlated with the outcome, and to leverage historical control information via Bayes' theorem. We propose a new Bayesian prognostic covariate adjustment methodology, referred to as Bayesian PROCOVA, that combines these two strategies. Covariate adjustment in Bayesian PROCOVA is based on generative artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms that construct a digital twin generator (DTG) for RCT participants. The DTG is trained on historical control data and yields a digital twin (DT) probability distribution for each RCT participant's outcome under the control treatment. The expectation of the DT distribution, referred to as the prognostic score, defines the covariate for adjustment. Historical control information is leveraged via an additive mixture prior with two components: an informative prior probability distribution specified based on historical control data, and a weakly informative prior distribution. The mixture weight determines the extent to which posterior inferences are drawn from the informative component, versus the weakly informative component. This weight has a prior distribution as well, and so the entire additive mixture prior is completely pre-specifiable without involving any RCT information. We establish an efficient Gibbs algorithm for sampling from the posterior distribution, and derive closed-form expressions for the posterior mean and variance of the treatment effect parameter conditional on the weight, in Bayesian PROCOVA. We evaluate efficiency gains of Bayesian PROCOVA via its bias control and variance reduction compared to frequentist PROCOVA in simulation studies that encompass different discrepancies. These gains translate to smaller RCTs.
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This work pioneers evaluating emergent planning capabilities based on situational awareness in large language models. We contribute (i) novel benchmarks and metrics for standardized assessment; (ii) a unique dataset to spur progress; and (iii) demonstrations that prompting and multi-agent schemes significantly enhance planning performance in context-sensitive planning tasks. Positioning this within a situated agent and automated planning research, we highlight inherent reliability challenges--efficiently mapping world states to actions without environmental guidance remains open despite simulated domain advances. Although out-of-scope, limitations around validation methodology and data availability indicate exciting directions, including fine-tuning on expanded planning corpora and optimizations for triggering fast latent planning. By conclusively demonstrating current methods' promise and limitations via rigorous comparison, we catalyze investigating reliable goal-directed reasoning for situated agents.
Rerandomization discards undesired treatment assignments to ensure covariate balance in randomized experiments. However, rerandomization based on acceptance-rejection sampling is computationally inefficient, especially when numerous independent assignments are required to perform randomization-based statistical inference. Existing acceleration methods are suboptimal and are not applicable in structured experiments, including stratified experiments and experiments with clusters. Based on metaheuristics in combinatorial optimization, we propose a novel variable neighborhood searching rerandomization(VNSRR) method to draw balanced assignments in various experiments efficiently. We derive the unbiasedness and a lower bound for the variance reduction of the treatment effect estimator under VNSRR. Simulation studies and a real data example indicate that our method maintains the appealing statistical properties of rerandomization and can sample thousands of treatment assignments within seconds, even in cases where existing methods require an hour to complete the task.
In recent years, dynamic parameterization of acoustic environments has raised increasing attention in the field of audio processing. One of the key parameters that characterize the local room acoustics in isolation from orientation and directivity of sources and receivers is the geometric room volume. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been widely selected as the main models for conducting blind room acoustic parameter estimation, which aims to learn a direct mapping from audio spectrograms to corresponding labels. With the recent trend of self-attention mechanisms, this paper introduces a purely attention-based model to blindly estimate room volumes based on single-channel noisy speech signals. We demonstrate the feasibility of eliminating the reliance on CNN for this task and the proposed Transformer architecture takes Gammatone magnitude spectral coefficients and phase spectrograms as inputs. To enhance the model performance given the task-specific dataset, cross-modality transfer learning is also applied. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms traditional CNN models across a wide range of real-world acoustics spaces, especially with the help of the dedicated pretraining and data augmentation schemes.
Recently, multimodal prompting, which introduces learnable missing-aware prompts for all missing modality cases, has exhibited impressive performance. However, it encounters two critical issues: 1) The number of prompts grows exponentially as the number of modalities increases; and 2) It lacks robustness in scenarios with different missing modality settings between training and inference. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective prompt design to address these challenges. Instead of using missing-aware prompts, we utilize prompts as modality-specific tokens, enabling them to capture the unique characteristics of each modality. Furthermore, our prompt design leverages orthogonality between prompts as a key element to learn distinct information across different modalities and promote diversity in the learned representations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our prompt design enhances both performance and robustness while reducing the number of prompts.
Tuning tensor program generation involves searching for various possible program transformation combinations for a given program on target hardware to optimize the tensor program execution. It is already a complex process because of the massive search space and exponential combinations of transformations make auto-tuning tensor program generation more challenging, especially when we have a heterogeneous target. In this research, we attempt to address these problems by learning the joint neural network and hardware features and transferring them to the new target hardware. We extensively study the existing state-of-the-art dataset, TenSet, perform comparative analysis on the test split strategies and propose methodologies to prune the dataset. We adopt an attention-inspired approach for tuning the tensor programs enabling them to embed neural network and hardware-specific features. Our approach could prune the dataset up to 45\% of the baseline without compromising the Pairwise Comparison Accuracy (PCA). Further, the proposed methodology can achieve on-par or improved mean inference time with 25%-40% of the baseline tuning time across different networks and target hardware.
Multimodal Knowledge Graph Construction (MMKC) refers to the process of creating a structured representation of entities and relationships through multiple modalities such as text, images, videos, etc. However, existing MMKC models have limitations in handling the introduction of new entities and relations due to the dynamic nature of the real world. Moreover, most state-of-the-art studies in MMKC only consider entity and relation extraction from text data while neglecting other multi-modal sources. Meanwhile, the current continual setting for knowledge graph construction only consider entity and relation extraction from text data while neglecting other multi-modal sources. Therefore, there arises the need to explore the challenge of continuous multimodal knowledge graph construction to address the phenomenon of catastrophic forgetting and ensure the retention of past knowledge extracted from different forms of data. This research focuses on investigating this complex topic by developing lifelong multimodal benchmark datasets. Based on the empirical findings that several state-of-the-art MMKC models, when trained on multimedia data, might unexpectedly underperform compared to those solely utilizing textual resources in a continual setting, we propose a Lifelong MultiModal Consistent Transformer Framework (LMC) for continuous multimodal knowledge graph construction. By combining the advantages of consistent KGC strategies within the context of continual learning, we achieve greater balance between stability and plasticity. Our experiments demonstrate the superior performance of our method over prevailing continual learning techniques or multimodal approaches in dynamic scenarios. Code and datasets can be found at //github.com/zjunlp/ContinueMKGC.
Recent contrastive representation learning methods rely on estimating mutual information (MI) between multiple views of an underlying context. E.g., we can derive multiple views of a given image by applying data augmentation, or we can split a sequence into views comprising the past and future of some step in the sequence. Contrastive lower bounds on MI are easy to optimize, but have a strong underestimation bias when estimating large amounts of MI. We propose decomposing the full MI estimation problem into a sum of smaller estimation problems by splitting one of the views into progressively more informed subviews and by applying the chain rule on MI between the decomposed views. This expression contains a sum of unconditional and conditional MI terms, each measuring modest chunks of the total MI, which facilitates approximation via contrastive bounds. To maximize the sum, we formulate a contrastive lower bound on the conditional MI which can be approximated efficiently. We refer to our general approach as Decomposed Estimation of Mutual Information (DEMI). We show that DEMI can capture a larger amount of MI than standard non-decomposed contrastive bounds in a synthetic setting, and learns better representations in a vision domain and for dialogue generation.
This paper proposes a method to modify traditional convolutional neural networks (CNNs) into interpretable CNNs, in order to clarify knowledge representations in high conv-layers of CNNs. In an interpretable CNN, each filter in a high conv-layer represents a certain object part. We do not need any annotations of object parts or textures to supervise the learning process. Instead, the interpretable CNN automatically assigns each filter in a high conv-layer with an object part during the learning process. Our method can be applied to different types of CNNs with different structures. The clear knowledge representation in an interpretable CNN can help people understand the logics inside a CNN, i.e., based on which patterns the CNN makes the decision. Experiments showed that filters in an interpretable CNN were more semantically meaningful than those in traditional CNNs.
Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis.
The dominant sequence transduction models are based on complex recurrent or convolutional neural networks in an encoder-decoder configuration. The best performing models also connect the encoder and decoder through an attention mechanism. We propose a new simple network architecture, the Transformer, based solely on attention mechanisms, dispensing with recurrence and convolutions entirely. Experiments on two machine translation tasks show these models to be superior in quality while being more parallelizable and requiring significantly less time to train. Our model achieves 28.4 BLEU on the WMT 2014 English-to-German translation task, improving over the existing best results, including ensembles by over 2 BLEU. On the WMT 2014 English-to-French translation task, our model establishes a new single-model state-of-the-art BLEU score of 41.8 after training for 3.5 days on eight GPUs, a small fraction of the training costs of the best models from the literature. We show that the Transformer generalizes well to other tasks by applying it successfully to English constituency parsing both with large and limited training data.
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