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Despite the continuous development of the different operational ensemble prediction systems over the past decades, ensemble forecasts still might suffer from lack of calibration and/or display systematic bias, thus require some post-processing to improve their forecast skill. Here we focus on visibility, which quantity plays a crucial role e.g. in aviation and road safety or in ship navigation, and propose a parametric model where the predictive distribution is a mixture of a gamma and a truncated normal distribution, both right censored at the maximal reported visibility value. The new model is evaluated in two case studies based on visibility ensemble forecasts of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts covering two distinct domains in Central and Western Europe and two different time periods. The results of the case studies indicate that climatology is substantially superior to the raw ensemble; nevertheless, the forecast skill can be further improved by post-processing, at least for short lead times. Moreover, the proposed mixture model consistently outperforms the Bayesian model averaging approach used as reference post-processing technique.

Reinforcement learning suffers from limitations in real practices primarily due to the numbers of required interactions with virtual environments. It results in a challenging problem that we are implausible to obtain an optimal strategy only with a few attempts for many learning method. Hereby, we design an improved reinforcement learning method based on model predictive control that models the environment through a data-driven approach. Based on learned environmental model, it performs multi-step prediction to estimate the value function and optimize the policy. The method demonstrates higher learning efficiency, faster convergent speed of strategies tending to the optimal value, and fewer sample capacity space required by experience replay buffers. Experimental results, both in classic databases and in a dynamic obstacle avoidance scenario for unmanned aerial vehicle, validate the proposed approaches.

In the present era of sustainable innovation, the circular economy paradigm dictates the optimal use and exploitation of existing finite resources. At the same time, the transition to smart infrastructures requires considerable investment in capital, resources and people. In this work, we present a general machine learning approach for offering indoor location awareness without the need to invest in additional and specialised hardware. We explore use cases where visitors equipped with their smart phone would interact with the available WiFi infrastructure to estimate their location, since the indoor requirement poses a limitation to standard GPS solutions. Results have shown that the proposed approach achieves a less than 2m accuracy and the model is resilient even in the case where a substantial number of BSSIDs are dropped.

Structured reinforcement learning leverages policies with advantageous properties to reach better performance, particularly in scenarios where exploration poses challenges. We explore this field through the concept of orchestration, where a (small) set of expert policies guides decision-making; the modeling thereof constitutes our first contribution. We then establish value-functions regret bounds for orchestration in the tabular setting by transferring regret-bound results from adversarial settings. We generalize and extend the analysis of natural policy gradient in Agarwal et al. [2021, Section 5.3] to arbitrary adversarial aggregation strategies. We also extend it to the case of estimated advantage functions, providing insights into sample complexity both in expectation and high probability. A key point of our approach lies in its arguably more transparent proofs compared to existing methods. Finally, we present simulations for a stochastic matching toy model.

This proposed model introduces novel deep learning methodologies. The objective here is to create a reliable intrusion detection mechanism to help identify malicious attacks. Deep learning based solution framework is developed consisting of three approaches. The first approach is Long-Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network (LSTM-RNN) with seven optimizer functions such as adamax, SGD, adagrad, adam, RMSprop, nadam and adadelta. The model is evaluated on NSL-KDD dataset and classified multi attack classification. The model has outperformed with adamax optimizer in terms of accuracy, detection rate and low false alarm rate. The results of LSTM-RNN with adamax optimizer is compared with existing shallow machine and deep learning models in terms of accuracy, detection rate and low false alarm rate. The multi model methodology consisting of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long-Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network (LSTM-RNN), and Deep Neural Network (DNN). The multi models are evaluated on bench mark datasets such as KDD99, NSL-KDD, and UNSWNB15 datasets. The models self-learnt the features and classifies the attack classes as multi-attack classification. The models RNN, and LSTM-RNN provide considerable performance compared to other existing methods on KDD99 and NSL-KDD dataset

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has become popular in recent years because it allows the training of a model using a large amount of unlabeled data. However, one issue that many SSL methods face is the confirmation bias, which occurs when the model is overfitted to the small labeled training dataset and produces overconfident, incorrect predictions. To address this issue, we propose SequenceMatch, an efficient SSL method that utilizes multiple data augmentations. The key element of SequenceMatch is the inclusion of a medium augmentation for unlabeled data. By taking advantage of different augmentations and the consistency constraints between each pair of augmented examples, SequenceMatch helps reduce the divergence between the prediction distribution of the model for weakly and strongly augmented examples. In addition, SequenceMatch defines two different consistency constraints for high and low-confidence predictions. As a result, SequenceMatch is more data-efficient than ReMixMatch, and more time-efficient than both ReMixMatch ($\times4$) and CoMatch ($\times2$) while having higher accuracy. Despite its simplicity, SequenceMatch consistently outperforms prior methods on standard benchmarks, such as CIFAR-10/100, SVHN, and STL-10. It also surpasses prior state-of-the-art methods by a large margin on large-scale datasets such as ImageNet, with a 38.46\% error rate. Code is available at //github.com/beandkay/SequenceMatch.

We show that the use of large language models (LLMs) is prevalent among crowd workers, and that targeted mitigation strategies can significantly reduce, but not eliminate, LLM use. On a text summarization task where workers were not directed in any way regarding their LLM use, the estimated prevalence of LLM use was around 30%, but was reduced by about half by asking workers to not use LLMs and by raising the cost of using them, e.g., by disabling copy-pasting. Secondary analyses give further insight into LLM use and its prevention: LLM use yields high-quality but homogeneous responses, which may harm research concerned with human (rather than model) behavior and degrade future models trained with crowdsourced data. At the same time, preventing LLM use may be at odds with obtaining high-quality responses; e.g., when requesting workers not to use LLMs, summaries contained fewer keywords carrying essential information. Our estimates will likely change as LLMs increase in popularity or capabilities, and as norms around their usage change. Yet, understanding the co-evolution of LLM-based tools and users is key to maintaining the validity of research done using crowdsourcing, and we provide a critical baseline before widespread adoption ensues.

We observe a large variety of robots in terms of their bodies, sensors, and actuators. Given the commonalities in the skill sets, teaching each skill to each different robot independently is inefficient and not scalable when the large variety in the robotic landscape is considered. If we can learn the correspondences between the sensorimotor spaces of different robots, we can expect a skill that is learned in one robot can be more directly and easily transferred to the other robots. In this paper, we propose a method to learn correspondences between robots that have significant differences in their morphologies: a fixed-based manipulator robot with joint control and a differential drive mobile robot. For this, both robots are first given demonstrations that achieve the same tasks. A common latent representation is formed while learning the corresponding policies. After this initial learning stage, the observation of a new task execution by one robot becomes sufficient to generate a latent space representation pertaining to the other robot to achieve the same task. We verified our system in a set of experiments where the correspondence between two simulated robots is learned (1) when the robots need to follow the same paths to achieve the same task, (2) when the robots need to follow different trajectories to achieve the same task, and (3) when complexities of the required sensorimotor trajectories are different for the robots considered. We also provide a proof-of-the-concept realization of correspondence learning between a real manipulator robot and a simulated mobile robot.

Since its introduction in 2019, the whole end-to-end neural diarization (EEND) line of work has been addressing speaker diarization as a frame-wise multi-label classification problem with permutation-invariant training. Despite EEND showing great promise, a few recent works took a step back and studied the possible combination of (local) supervised EEND diarization with (global) unsupervised clustering. Yet, these hybrid contributions did not question the original multi-label formulation. We propose to switch from multi-label (where any two speakers can be active at the same time) to powerset multi-class classification (where dedicated classes are assigned to pairs of overlapping speakers). Through extensive experiments on 9 different benchmarks, we show that this formulation leads to significantly better performance (mostly on overlapping speech) and robustness to domain mismatch, while eliminating the detection threshold hyperparameter, critical for the multi-label formulation.

Graph-centric artificial intelligence (graph AI) has achieved remarkable success in modeling interacting systems prevalent in nature, from dynamical systems in biology to particle physics. The increasing heterogeneity of data calls for graph neural architectures that can combine multiple inductive biases. However, combining data from various sources is challenging because appropriate inductive bias may vary by data modality. Multimodal learning methods fuse multiple data modalities while leveraging cross-modal dependencies to address this challenge. Here, we survey 140 studies in graph-centric AI and realize that diverse data types are increasingly brought together using graphs and fed into sophisticated multimodal models. These models stratify into image-, language-, and knowledge-grounded multimodal learning. We put forward an algorithmic blueprint for multimodal graph learning based on this categorization. The blueprint serves as a way to group state-of-the-art architectures that treat multimodal data by choosing appropriately four different components. This effort can pave the way for standardizing the design of sophisticated multimodal architectures for highly complex real-world problems.