Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only provide either scalable computing or accurate approximations to the posterior distribution, but not both. We introduce a new MCMC sampling strategy for highly efficient and fully Bayesian regression with longitudinal functional data. Using a novel blocking structure paired with an orthogonalized basis reparametrization, our algorithm jointly samples the fixed effects regression functions together with all subject- and replicate-specific random effects functions. Crucially, the joint sampler optimizes sampling efficiency for these key parameters while preserving computational scalability. Perhaps surprisingly, our new MCMC sampling algorithm even surpasses state-of-the-art algorithms for frequentist estimation and variational Bayes approximations for functional mixed models -- while also providing accurate posterior uncertainty quantification -- and is orders of magnitude faster than existing Gibbs samplers. Simulation studies show improved point estimation and interval coverage in nearly all simulation settings over competing approaches. We apply our method to a large physical activity dataset to study how various demographic and health factors associate with intraday activity.
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Given samples from two non-negative random variables, we propose a new class of nonparametric tests for the null hypothesis that one random variable dominates the other with respect to second-order stochastic dominance. These tests are based on the Lorenz P-P plot (LPP), which is the composition between the inverse unscaled Lorenz curve of one distribution and the unscaled Lorenz curve of the other. The LPP exceeds the identity function if and only if the dominance condition is violated, providing a rather simple method to construct test statistics, given by functionals defined over the difference between the identity and the LPP. We determine a stochastic upper bound for such test statistics under the null hypothesis, and derive its limit distribution, to be approximated via bootstrap procedures. We also establish the asymptotic validity of the tests under relatively mild conditions, allowing for both dependent and independent samples. Finally, finite sample properties are investigated through simulation studies.
Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems has been popularized by sparse identification of the nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) via the sequentially thresholded least squares (STLS) algorithm. Many extensions SINDy have emerged in the literature to deal with experimental data which are finite in length and noisy. Recently, the computationally intensive method of ensembling bootstrapped SINDy models (E-SINDy) was proposed for model identification, handling finite, highly noisy data. While the extensions of SINDy are numerous, their sparsity-promoting estimators occasionally provide sparse approximations of the dynamics as opposed to exact recovery. Furthermore, these estimators suffer under multicollinearity, e.g. the irrepresentable condition for the Lasso. In this paper, we demonstrate that the Trimmed Lasso for robust identification of models (TRIM) can provide exact recovery under more severe noise, finite data, and multicollinearity as opposed to E-SINDy. Additionally, the computational cost of TRIM is asymptotically equal to STLS since the sparsity parameter of the TRIM can be solved efficiently by convex solvers. We compare these methodologies on challenging nonlinear systems, specifically the Lorenz 63 system, the Bouc Wen oscillator from the nonlinear dynamics benchmark of No\"el and Schoukens, 2016, and a time delay system describing tool cutting dynamics. This study emphasizes the comparisons between STLS, reweighted $\ell_1$ minimization, and Trimmed Lasso in identification with respect to problems faced by practitioners: the problem of finite and noisy data, the performance of the sparse regression of when the library grows in dimension (multicollinearity), and automatic methods for choice of regularization parameters.
We investigate error of the Euler scheme in the case when the right-hand side function of the underlying ODE satisfies nonstandard assumptions such as local one-sided Lipschitz condition and local H\"older continuity. Moreover, we assume two cases in regards to information availability: exact and noisy with respect to the right-hand side function. Optimality analysis of the Euler scheme is also provided. Finally, we present the results of some numerical experiments.
We propose an automated nonlinear model reduction and mesh adaptation framework for rapid and reliable solution of parameterized advection-dominated problems, with emphasis on compressible flows. The key features of our approach are threefold: (i) a metric-based mesh adaptation technique to generate an accurate mesh for a range of parameters, (ii) a general (i.e., independent of the underlying equations) registration procedure for the computation of a mapping $\Phi$ that tracks moving features of the solution field, and (iii) an hyper-reduced least-square Petrov-Galerkin reduced-order model for the rapid and reliable estimation of the mapped solution. We discuss a general paradigm -- which mimics the refinement loop considered in mesh adaptation -- to simultaneously construct the high-fidelity and the reduced-order approximations, and we discuss actionable strategies to accelerate the offline phase. We present extensive numerical investigations for a quasi-1D nozzle problem and for a two-dimensional inviscid flow past a Gaussian bump to display the many features of the methodology and to assess the performance for problems with discontinuous solutions.
Linear regression and classification models with repeated functional data are considered. For each statistical unit in the sample, a real-valued parameter is observed over time under different conditions. Two regression models based on fusion penalties are presented. The first one is a generalization of the variable fusion model based on the 1-nearest neighbor. The second one, called group fusion lasso, assumes some grouping structure of conditions and allows for homogeneity among the regression coefficient functions within groups. A finite sample numerical simulation and an application on EEG data are presented.
We develop new matching estimators for estimating causal quantile exposure-response functions and quantile exposure effects with continuous treatments. We provide identification results for the parameters of interest and establish the asymptotic properties of the derived estimators. We introduce a two-step estimation procedure. In the first step, we construct a matched data set via generalized propensity score matching, adjusting for measured confounding. In the second step, we fit a kernel quantile regression to the matched set. We also derive a consistent estimator of the variance of the matching estimators. Using simulation studies, we compare the introduced approach with existing alternatives in various settings. We apply the proposed method to Medicare claims data for the period 2012-2014, and we estimate the causal effect of exposure to PM$_{2.5}$ on the length of hospital stay for each zip code of the contiguous United States.
We consider finite element approximations to the optimal constant for the Hardy inequality with exponent $p=2$ in bounded domains of dimension $n=1$ or $n\geq 3$. For finite element spaces of piecewise linear and continuous functions on a mesh of size $h$, we prove that the approximate Hardy constant, $S_h^n$, converges to the optimal Hardy constant $S^n$ no slower than $O(1/\vert \log h \vert)$. We also show that the convergence is no faster than $O(1/\vert \log h \vert^2)$ if $n=1$ or if $n\geq 3$, the domain is the unit ball, and the finite element discretization exploits the rotational symmetry of the problem. Our estimates are compared to exact values for $S_h^n$ obtained computationally.
We propose a new discrete choice model, called the generalized stochastic preference (GSP) model, that incorporates non-rationality into the stochastic preference (SP) choice model, also known as the rank- based choice model. Our model can explain several choice phenomena that cannot be represented by any SP model such as the compromise and attraction effects, but still subsumes the SP model class. The GSP model is defined as a distribution over consumer types, where each type extends the choice behavior of rational types in the SP model. We build on existing methods for estimating the SP model and propose an iterative estimation algorithm for the GSP model that finds new types by solving a integer linear program in each iteration. We further show that our proposed notion of non-rationality can be incorporated into other choice models, like the random utility maximization (RUM) model class as well as any of its subclasses. As a concrete example, we introduce the non-rational extension of the classical MNL model, which we term the generalized MNL (GMNL) model and present an efficient expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for estimating the GMNL model. Numerical evaluation on real choice data shows that the GMNL and GSP models can outperform their rational counterparts in out-of-sample prediction accuracy.
High-dimensional Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are a popular mathematical modelling tool, with applications ranging from finance to computational chemistry. However, standard numerical techniques for solving these PDEs are typically affected by the curse of dimensionality. In this work, we tackle this challenge while focusing on stationary diffusion equations defined over a high-dimensional domain with periodic boundary conditions. Inspired by recent progress in sparse function approximation in high dimensions, we propose a new method called compressive Fourier collocation. Combining ideas from compressive sensing and spectral collocation, our method replaces the use of structured collocation grids with Monte Carlo sampling and employs sparse recovery techniques, such as orthogonal matching pursuit and $\ell^1$ minimization, to approximate the Fourier coefficients of the PDE solution. We conduct a rigorous theoretical analysis showing that the approximation error of the proposed method is comparable with the best $s$-term approximation (with respect to the Fourier basis) to the solution. Using the recently introduced framework of random sampling in bounded Riesz systems, our analysis shows that the compressive Fourier collocation method mitigates the curse of dimensionality with respect to the number of collocation points under sufficient conditions on the regularity of the diffusion coefficient. We also present numerical experiments that illustrate the accuracy and stability of the method for the approximation of sparse and compressible solutions.
Developing an efficient computational scheme for high-dimensional Bayesian variable selection in generalised linear models and survival models has always been a challenging problem due to the absence of closed-form solutions for the marginal likelihood. The RJMCMC approach can be employed to samples model and coefficients jointly, but effective design of the transdimensional jumps of RJMCMC can be challenge, making it hard to implement. Alternatively, the marginal likelihood can be derived using data-augmentation scheme e.g. Polya-gamma data argumentation for logistic regression) or through other estimation methods. However, suitable data-augmentation schemes are not available for every generalised linear and survival models, and using estimations such as Laplace approximation or correlated pseudo-marginal to derive marginal likelihood within a locally informed proposal can be computationally expensive in the "large n, large p" settings. In this paper, three main contributions are presented. Firstly, we present an extended Point-wise implementation of Adaptive Random Neighbourhood Informed proposal (PARNI) to efficiently sample models directly from the marginal posterior distribution in both generalised linear models and survival models. Secondly, in the light of the approximate Laplace approximation, we also describe an efficient and accurate estimation method for the marginal likelihood which involves adaptive parameters. Additionally, we describe a new method to adapt the algorithmic tuning parameters of the PARNI proposal by replacing the Rao-Blackwellised estimates with the combination of a warm-start estimate and an ergodic average. We present numerous numerical results from simulated data and 8 high-dimensional gene fine mapping data-sets to showcase the efficiency of the novel PARNI proposal compared to the baseline add-delete-swap proposal.
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