High temporal resolution data plays a vital role in effective short-term hydropower plant operations. In the majority of the Norwegian hydropower system, inflow data is predominantly collected at daily resolutions through measurement installations. However, for enhanced precision in managerial decision-making within hydropower plants, hydrological data with intraday resolutions, such as hourly data, are often indispensable. To address this gap, time series disaggregation utilizing deep learning emerges as a promising tool. In this study, we propose a deep learning-based time series disaggregation model to derive hourly inflow data from daily inflow data for short-term hydropower plant operations. Our preliminary results demonstrate the applicability of our method, with scope for further improvements.
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Robotic cutting, or milling, plays a significant role in applications such as disassembly, decommissioning, and demolition. Planning and control of cutting in real-world scenarios in uncertain environments is a complex task, with the potential to benefit from simulated training environments. This letter focuses on sim-to-real transfer for robotic cutting policies, addressing the need for effective policy transfer from simulation to practical implementation. We extend our previous domain generalisation approach to learning cutting tasks based on a mechanistic model-based simulation framework, by proposing a hybrid approach for sim-to-real transfer based on a milling process force model and residual Gaussian process (GP) force model, learned from either single or multiple real-world cutting force examples. We demonstrate successful sim-to-real transfer of a robotic cutting policy without the need for fine-tuning on the real robot setup. The proposed approach autonomously adapts to materials with differing structural and mechanical properties. Furthermore, we demonstrate the proposed method outperforms fine-tuning or re-training alone.
We collect robust proposals given in the field of regression models with heteroscedastic errors. Our motivation stems from the fact that the practitioner frequently faces the confluence of two phenomena in the context of data analysis: non--linearity and heteroscedasticity. The impact of heteroscedasticity on the precision of the estimators is well--known, however the conjunction of these two phenomena makes handling outliers more difficult. An iterative procedure to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic non--linear model is considered. The studied estimators combine weighted $MM-$regression estimators, to control the impact of high leverage points, and a robust method to estimate the parameters of the variance function.
The Eikonal equation plays a central role in seismic wave propagation and hypocenter localization, a crucial aspect of efficient earthquake early warning systems. Despite recent progress, real-time earthquake localization remains challenging due to the need to learn a generalizable Eikonal operator. We introduce a novel deep learning architecture, Enriched-DeepONet (En-DeepONet), addressing the limitations of current operator learning models in dealing with moving-solution operators. Leveraging addition and subtraction operations and a novel `root' network, En-DeepONet is particularly suitable for learning such operators and achieves up to four orders of magnitude improved accuracy without increased training cost. We demonstrate the effectiveness of En-DeepONet in earthquake localization under variable velocity and arrival time conditions. Our results indicate that En-DeepONet paves the way for real-time hypocenter localization for velocity models of practical interest. The proposed method represents a significant advancement in operator learning that is applicable to a gamut of scientific problems, including those in seismology, fracture mechanics, and phase-field problems.
The investigation of mixture models is a key to understand and visualize the distribution of multivariate data. Most mixture models approaches are based on likelihoods, and are not adapted to distribution with finite support or without a well-defined density function. This study proposes the Augmented Quantization method, which is a reformulation of the classical quantization problem but which uses the p-Wasserstein distance. This metric can be computed in very general distribution spaces, in particular with varying supports. The clustering interpretation of quantization is revisited in a more general framework. The performance of Augmented Quantization is first demonstrated through analytical toy problems. Subsequently, it is applied to a practical case study involving river flooding, wherein mixtures of Dirac and Uniform distributions are built in the input space, enabling the identification of the most influential variables.
Within the next decade the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is due to be launched, providing the opportunity to extract physics from stellar objects and systems, such as \textit{Extreme Mass Ratio Inspirals}, (EMRIs) otherwise undetectable to ground based interferometers and Pulsar Timing Arrays (PTA). Unlike previous sources detected by the currently available observational methods, these sources can \textit{only} be simulated using an accurate computation of the gravitational self-force. Whereas the field has seen outstanding progress in the frequency domain, metric reconstruction and self-force calculations are still an open challenge in the time domain. Such computations would not only further corroborate frequency domain calculations and models, but also allow for full self-consistent evolution of the orbit under the effect of the self-force. Given we have \textit{a priori} information about the local structure of the discontinuity at the particle, we will show how to construct discontinuous spatial and temporal discretisations by operating on discontinuous Lagrange and Hermite interpolation formulae and hence recover higher order accuracy. In this work we demonstrate how this technique in conjunction with well-suited gauge choice (hyperboloidal slicing) and numerical (discontinuous collocation with time symmetric) methods can provide a relatively simple method of lines numerical algorithm to the problem. This is the first of a series of papers studying the behaviour of a point-particle prescribing circular geodesic motion in Schwarzschild in the \textit{time domain}. In this work we describe the numerical machinery necessary for these computations and show not only our work is capable of highly accurate flux radiation measurements but it also shows suitability for evaluation of the necessary field and it's derivatives at the particle limit.
This paper concerns the approximation of smooth, high-dimensional functions from limited samples using polynomials. This task lies at the heart of many applications in computational science and engineering - notably, some of those arising from parametric modelling and computational uncertainty quantification. It is common to use Monte Carlo sampling in such applications, so as not to succumb to the curse of dimensionality. However, it is well known that such a strategy is theoretically suboptimal. Specifically, there are many polynomial spaces of dimension $n$ for which the sample complexity scales log-quadratically, i.e., like $c \cdot n^2 \cdot \log(n)$ as $n \rightarrow \infty$. This well-documented phenomenon has led to a concerted effort over the last decade to design improved, and moreover, near-optimal strategies, whose sample complexities scale log-linearly, or even linearly in $n$. In this work we demonstrate that Monte Carlo is actually a perfectly good strategy in high dimensions, despite its apparent suboptimality. We first document this phenomenon empirically via a systematic set of numerical experiments. Next, we present a theoretical analysis that rigorously justifies this fact in the case of holomorphic functions of infinitely-many variables. We show that there is a least-squares approximation based on $m$ Monte Carlo samples whose error decays algebraically fast in $m/\log(m)$, with a rate that is the same as that of the best $n$-term polynomial approximation. This result is non-constructive, since it assumes knowledge of a suitable polynomial subspace in which to perform the approximation. We next present a compressed sensing-based scheme that achieves the same rate, except for a larger polylogarithmic factor. This scheme is practical, and numerically it performs as well as or better than well-known adaptive least-squares schemes.
This work explores the degree to which grammar acquisition is driven by language `simplicity' and the source modality (speech vs. text) of data. Using BabyBERTa as a probe, we find that grammar acquisition is largely driven by exposure to speech data, and in particular through exposure to two of the BabyLM training corpora: AO-Childes and Open Subtitles. We arrive at this finding by examining various ways of presenting input data to our model. First, we assess the impact of various sequence-level complexity based curricula. We then examine the impact of learning over `blocks' -- covering spans of text that are balanced for the number of tokens in each of the source corpora (rather than number of lines). Finally, we explore curricula that vary the degree to which the model is exposed to different corpora. In all cases, we find that over-exposure to AO-Childes and Open Subtitles significantly drives performance. We verify these findings through a comparable control dataset in which exposure to these corpora, and speech more generally, is limited by design. Our findings indicate that it is not the proportion of tokens occupied by high-utility data that aids acquisition, but rather the proportion of training steps assigned to such data. We hope this encourages future research into the use of more developmentally plausible linguistic data (which tends to be more scarce) to augment general purpose pre-training regimes.
High-fidelity computational simulations and physical experiments of hypersonic flows are resource intensive. Training scientific machine learning (SciML) models on limited high-fidelity data offers one approach to rapidly predict behaviors for situations that have not been seen before. However, high-fidelity data is itself in limited quantity to validate all outputs of the SciML model in unexplored input space. As such, an uncertainty-aware SciML model is desired. The SciML model's output uncertainties could then be used to assess the reliability and confidence of the model's predictions. In this study, we extend a DeepONet using three different uncertainty quantification mechanisms: mean-variance estimation, evidential uncertainty, and ensembling. The uncertainty aware DeepONet models are trained and evaluated on the hypersonic flow around a blunt cone object with data generated via computational fluid dynamics over a wide range of Mach numbers and altitudes. We find that ensembling outperforms the other two uncertainty models in terms of minimizing error and calibrating uncertainty in both interpolative and extrapolative regimes.
Surface parameterization plays a fundamental role in many science and engineering problems. In particular, as genus-0 closed surfaces are topologically equivalent to a sphere, many spherical parameterization methods have been developed over the past few decades. However, in practice, mapping a genus-0 closed surface onto a sphere may result in a large distortion due to their geometric difference. In this work, we propose a new framework for computing ellipsoidal conformal and quasi-conformal parameterizations of genus-0 closed surfaces, in which the target parameter domain is an ellipsoid instead of a sphere. By combining simple conformal transformations with different types of quasi-conformal mappings, we can easily achieve a large variety of ellipsoidal parameterizations with their bijectivity guaranteed by quasi-conformal theory. Numerical experiments are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.
In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.
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