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The growing number of exoplanet discoveries and advances in machine learning techniques have opened new avenues for exploring and understanding the characteristics of worlds beyond our Solar System. In this study, we employ efficient machine learning approaches to analyze a dataset comprising 762 confirmed exoplanets and eight Solar System planets, aiming to characterize their fundamental quantities. By applying different unsupervised clustering algorithms, we classify the data into two main classes: 'small' and 'giant' planets, with cut-off values at $R_{p}=8.13R_{\oplus}$ and $M_{p}=52.48M_{\oplus}$. This classification reveals an intriguing distinction: giant planets have lower densities, suggesting higher H-He mass fractions, while small planets are denser, composed mainly of heavier elements. We apply various regression models to uncover correlations between physical parameters and their predictive power for exoplanet radius. Our analysis highlights that planetary mass, orbital period, and stellar mass play crucial roles in predicting exoplanet radius. Among the models evaluated, the Support Vector Regression consistently outperforms others, demonstrating its promise for obtaining accurate planetary radius estimates. Furthermore, we derive parametric equations using the M5P and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Notably, our study reveals a noteworthy result: small planets exhibit a positive linear mass-radius relation, aligning with previous findings. Conversely, for giant planets, we observe a strong correlation between planetary radius and the mass of their host stars, which might provide intriguing insights into the relationship between giant planet formation and stellar characteristics.

This study addresses a class of linear mixed-integer programming (MILP) problems that involve uncertainty in the objective function parameters. The parameters are assumed to form a random vector, whose probability distribution can only be observed through a finite training data set. Unlike most of the related studies in the literature, we also consider uncertainty in the underlying data set. The data uncertainty is described by a set of linear constraints for each random sample, and the uncertainty in the distribution (for a fixed realization of data) is defined using a type-1 Wasserstein ball centered at the empirical distribution of the data. The overall problem is formulated as a three-level distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem. First, we prove that the three-level problem admits a single-level MILP reformulation, if the class of loss functions is restricted to biaffine functions. Secondly, it turns out that for several particular forms of data uncertainty, the outlined problem can be solved reasonably fast by leveraging the nominal MILP problem. Finally, we conduct a computational study, where the out-of-sample performance of our model and computational complexity of the proposed MILP reformulation are explored numerically for several application domains.

The optimal number of clusters is one of the main concerns when applying cluster analysis. Several cluster validity indexes have been introduced to address this problem. However, in some situations, there is more than one option that can be chosen as the final number of clusters. This aspect has been overlooked by most of the existing works in this area. In this study, we introduce a correlation-based fuzzy cluster validity index known as the Wiroonsri-Preedasawakul (WP) index. This index is defined based on the correlation between the actual distance between a pair of data points and the distance between adjusted centroids with respect to that pair. We evaluate and compare the performance of our index with several existing indexes, including Xie-Beni, Pakhira-Bandyopadhyay-Maulik, Tang, Wu-Li, generalized C, and Kwon2. We conduct this evaluation on four types of datasets: artificial datasets, real-world datasets, simulated datasets with ranks, and image datasets, using the fuzzy c-means algorithm. Overall, the WP index outperforms most, if not all, of these indexes in terms of accurately detecting the optimal number of clusters and providing accurate secondary options. Moreover, our index remains effective even when the fuzziness parameter $m$ is set to a large value. Our R package called WPfuzzyCVIs used in this work is also available in //github.com/nwiroonsri/WPfuzzyCVIs.

We study the continuous multi-reference alignment model of estimating a periodic function on the circle from noisy and circularly-rotated observations. Motivated by analogous high-dimensional problems that arise in cryo-electron microscopy, we establish minimax rates for estimating generic signals that are explicit in the dimension $K$. In a high-noise regime with noise variance $\sigma^2 \gtrsim K$, for signals with Fourier coefficients of roughly uniform magnitude, the rate scales as $\sigma^6$ and has no further dependence on the dimension. This rate is achieved by a bispectrum inversion procedure, and our analyses provide new stability bounds for bispectrum inversion that may be of independent interest. In a low-noise regime where $\sigma^2 \lesssim K/\log K$, the rate scales instead as $K\sigma^2$, and we establish this rate by a sharp analysis of the maximum likelihood estimator that marginalizes over latent rotations. A complementary lower bound that interpolates between these two regimes is obtained using Assouad's hypercube lemma. We extend these analyses also to signals whose Fourier coefficients have a slow power law decay.

Plant diseases are major causes of production losses and may have a significant impact on the agricultural sector. Detecting pests as early as possible can help increase crop yields and production efficiency. Several robotic monitoring systems have been developed allowing to collect data and provide a greater understanding of environmental processes. An agricultural robot can enable accurate timely detection of pests, by traversing the field autonomously and monitoring the entire cropped area within a field. However, in many cases it is impossible to sample all plants due to resource limitations. In this thesis, the development and evaluation of several sampling algorithms are presented to address the challenge of an agriculture-monitoring ground robot designed to locate insects in an agricultural field, where complete sampling of all the plants is infeasible. Two situations were investigated in simulation models that were specially developed as part of this thesis: where no a-priori information on the insects is available and where prior information on the insects distributions within the field is known. For the first situation, seven algorithms were tested, each utilizing an approach to sample the field without prior knowledge of it. For the second situation, we present the development and evaluation of a dynamic sampling algorithm which utilizes real-time information to prioritize sampling at suspected points, locate hot spots and adapt sampling plans accordingly. The algorithm's performance was compared to two existing algorithms using Tetranychidae insect data from previous research. Analyses revealed that the dynamic algorithm outperformed the others.

In traditional system identification, we estimate a model of an unknown dynamical system based on given input/output sequences and available physical knowledge. Yet, is it also possible to understand the intricacies of dynamical systems not solely from their input/output patterns, but by observing the behavior of other systems within the same class? This central question drives the study presented in this paper. In response to this query, we introduce a novel paradigm for system identification, addressing two primary tasks: one-step-ahead prediction and multi-step simulation. Unlike conventional methods, we do not directly estimate a model for the specific system. Instead, we pretrain a meta model that represents a class of dynamical systems. This meta model is trained from a potentially infinite stream of synthetic data, generated by systems randomly extracted from a certain distribution. At its core, the meta model serves as an implicit representation of the main characteristics of a class of dynamical systems. When provided with a brief context from a new system - specifically, a short input/output sequence - the meta model implicitly discerns its dynamics, enabling predictions of its behavior. The proposed approach harnesses the power of Transformer architectures, renowned for their in-context learning capabilities in Natural Language Processing tasks. For one-step prediction, a GPT-like decoder-only architecture is utilized, whereas the simulation problem employs an encoder-decoder structure. Initial experimental results affirmatively answer our foundational question, opening doors to fresh research avenues in system identification.

The aim of this article is to infer the connectivity structures of brain regions before and during epileptic seizure. Our contributions are fourfold. First, we propose a 6N-dimensional stochastic differential equation for modelling the activity of N coupled populations of neurons in the brain. This model further develops the (single population) stochastic Jansen and Rit neural mass model, which describes human electroencephalography (EEG) rhythms, in particular signals with epileptic activity. Second, we construct a reliable and efficient numerical scheme for the model simulation, extending a splitting procedure proposed for one neural population. Third, we propose an adapted Sequential Monte Carlo Approximate Bayesian Computation algorithm for simulation-based inference of both the relevant real-valued model parameters as well as the {0,1}-valued network parameters, the latter describing the coupling directions among the N modelled neural populations. Fourth, after illustrating and validating the proposed statistical approach on different types of simulated data, we apply it to a set of multi-channel EEG data recorded before and during an epileptic seizure. The real data experiments suggest, for example, a larger activation in each neural population and a stronger connectivity on the left brain hemisphere during seizure.

The estimands framework outlined in ICH E9 (R1) describes the components needed to precisely define the effects to be estimated in clinical trials, which includes how post-baseline "intercurrent" events (IEs) are to be handled. In late-stage clinical trials, it is common to handle intercurrent events like "treatment discontinuation" using the treatment policy strategy and target the treatment effect on all outcomes regardless of treatment discontinuation. For continuous repeated measures, this type of effect is often estimated using all observed data before and after discontinuation using either a mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) or multiple imputation (MI) to handle any missing data. In basic form, both of these estimation methods ignore treatment discontinuation in the analysis and therefore may be biased if there are differences in patient outcomes after treatment discontinuation compared to patients still assigned to treatment, and missing data being more common for patients who have discontinued treatment. We therefore propose and evaluate a set of MI models that can accommodate differences between outcomes before and after treatment discontinuation. The models are evaluated in the context of planning a phase 3 trial for a respiratory disease. We show that analyses ignoring treatment discontinuation can introduce substantial bias and can sometimes underestimate variability. We also show that some of the MI models proposed can successfully correct the bias but inevitably lead to increases in variance. We conclude that some of the proposed MI models are preferable to the traditional analysis ignoring treatment discontinuation, but the precise choice of MI model will likely depend on the trial design, disease of interest and amount of observed and missing data following treatment discontinuation.

The mission of visual brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) is to enhance information transfer rate (ITR) to reach high speed towards real-life communication. Despite notable progress, noninvasive visual BCIs have encountered a plateau in ITRs, leaving it uncertain whether higher ITRs are achievable. In this study, we investigate the information rate limits of the primary visual channel to explore whether we can and how we should build visual BCI with higher information rate. Using information theory, we estimate a maximum achievable ITR of approximately 63 bits per second (bps) with a uniformly-distributed White Noise (WN) stimulus. Based on this discovery, we propose a broadband WN BCI approach that expands the utilization of stimulus bandwidth, in contrast to the current state-of-the-art visual BCI methods based on steady-state visual evoked potentials (SSVEPs). Through experimental validation, our broadband BCI outperforms the SSVEP BCI by an impressive margin of 7 bps, setting a new record of 50 bps. This achievement demonstrates the possibility of decoding 40 classes of noninvasive neural responses within a short duration of only 0.1 seconds. The information-theoretical framework introduced in this study provides valuable insights applicable to all sensory-evoked BCIs, making a significant step towards the development of next-generation human-machine interaction systems.

In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.