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Business statistics play a crucial role in implementing a data-driven strategic plan at the enterprise level to employ various analytics where the outcomes of such a plan enable an enterprise to enhance the decision-making process or to mitigate risks to the organization. In this work, a strategic plan informed by the statistical analysis is introduced for a financial company called LendingClub, where the plan is comprised of exploring the possibility of onboarding a big data platform along with advanced feature selection capacities. The main objectives of such a plan are to increase the company's revenue while reducing the risks of granting loans to borrowers who cannot return their loans. In this study, different hypotheses formulated to address the company's concerns are studied, where the results reveal that the amount of loans profoundly impacts the number of borrowers charging off their loans. Also, the proposed strategic plan includes onboarding advanced analytics such as machine learning technologies that allow the company to build better generalized data-driven predictive models.

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Advanced persistent threat (APT) is a kind of stealthy, sophisticated, and long-term cyberattack that has brought severe financial losses and critical infrastructure damages. Existing works mainly focus on APT defense under stable network topologies, while the problem under time-varying dynamic networks (e.g., vehicular networks) remains unexplored, which motivates our work. Besides, the spatiotemporal dynamics in defense resources, complex attackers' lateral movement behaviors, and lack of timely defense make APT defense a challenging issue under time-varying networks. In this paper, we propose a novel game-theoretical APT defense approach to promote real-time and optimal defense strategy-making under both periodic time-varying and general time-varying environments. Specifically, we first model the interactions between attackers and defenders in an APT process as a dynamic APT repair game, and then formulate the APT damage minimization problem as the precise prevention and control (PPAC) problem. To derive the optimal defense strategy under both latency and defense resource constraints, we further devise an online optimal control-based mechanism integrated with two backtracking-forward algorithms to fastly derive the near-optimal solution of the PPAC problem in real time. Extensive experiments are carried out, and the results demonstrate that our proposed scheme can efficiently obtain optimal defense strategy in 54481 ms under seven attack-defense interactions with 9.64$\%$ resource occupancy in stimulated periodic time-varying and general time-varying networks. Besides, even under static networks, our proposed scheme still outperforms existing representative APT defense approaches in terms of service stability and defense resource utilization.

Hypergraphs are important for processing data with higher-order relationships involving more than two entities. In scenarios where explicit hypergraphs are not readily available, it is desirable to infer a meaningful hypergraph structure from the node features to capture the intrinsic relations within the data. However, existing methods either adopt simple pre-defined rules that fail to precisely capture the distribution of the potential hypergraph structure, or learn a mapping between hypergraph structures and node features but require a large amount of labelled data, i.e., pre-existing hypergraph structures, for training. Both restrict their applications in practical scenarios. To fill this gap, we propose a novel smoothness prior that enables us to design a method to infer the probability for each potential hyperedge without labelled data as supervision. The proposed prior indicates features of nodes in a hyperedge are highly correlated by the features of the hyperedge containing them. We use this prior to derive the relation between the hypergraph structure and the node features via probabilistic modelling. This allows us to develop an unsupervised inference method to estimate the probability for each potential hyperedge via solving an optimisation problem that has an analytical solution. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that our method can learn meaningful hypergraph structures from data more efficiently than existing hypergraph structure inference methods.

Accurate traffic forecasting at intersections governed by intelligent traffic signals is critical for the advancement of an effective intelligent traffic signal control system. However, due to the irregular traffic time series produced by intelligent intersections, the traffic forecasting task becomes much more intractable and imposes three major new challenges: 1) asynchronous spatial dependency, 2) irregular temporal dependency among traffic data, and 3) variable-length sequence to be predicted, which severely impede the performance of current traffic forecasting methods. To this end, we propose an Asynchronous Spatio-tEmporal graph convolutional nEtwoRk (ASeer) to predict the traffic states of the lanes entering intelligent intersections in a future time window. Specifically, by linking lanes via a traffic diffusion graph, we first propose an Asynchronous Graph Diffusion Network to model the asynchronous spatial dependency between the time-misaligned traffic state measurements of lanes. After that, to capture the temporal dependency within irregular traffic state sequence, a learnable personalized time encoding is devised to embed the continuous time for each lane. Then we propose a Transformable Time-aware Convolution Network that learns meta-filters to derive time-aware convolution filters with transformable filter sizes for efficient temporal convolution on the irregular sequence. Furthermore, a Semi-Autoregressive Prediction Network consisting of a state evolution unit and a semiautoregressive predictor is designed to effectively and efficiently predict variable-length traffic state sequences. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of ASeer in six metrics.

This paper proposes a proximal variant of the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) for distributed optimization. Although the current versions of ADMM algorithm provide promising numerical results in producing solutions that are close to optimal for many convex and non-convex optimization problems, it remains unclear if they can converge to a stationary point for weakly convex and locally non-smooth functions. Through our analysis using the Moreau envelope function, we demonstrate that MADM can indeed converge to a stationary point under mild conditions. Our analysis also includes computing the bounds on the amount of change in the dual variable update step by relating the gradient of the Moreau envelope function to the proximal function. Furthermore, the results of our numerical experiments indicate that our method is faster and more robust than widely-used approaches.

Knowledge graphs play a vital role in numerous artificial intelligence tasks, yet they frequently face the issue of incompleteness. In this study, we explore utilizing Large Language Models (LLM) for knowledge graph completion. We consider triples in knowledge graphs as text sequences and introduce an innovative framework called Knowledge Graph LLM (KG-LLM) to model these triples. Our technique employs entity and relation descriptions of a triple as prompts and utilizes the response for predictions. Experiments on various benchmark knowledge graphs demonstrate that our method attains state-of-the-art performance in tasks such as triple classification and relation prediction. We also find that fine-tuning relatively smaller models (e.g., LLaMA-7B, ChatGLM-6B) outperforms recent ChatGPT and GPT-4.

We propose augmenting the empathetic capacities of social robots by integrating non-verbal cues. Our primary contribution is the design and labeling of four types of empathetic non-verbal cues, abbreviated as SAFE: Speech, Action (gesture), Facial expression, and Emotion, in a social robot. These cues are generated using a Large Language Model (LLM). We developed an LLM-based conversational system for the robot and assessed its alignment with social cues as defined by human counselors. Preliminary results show distinct patterns in the robot's responses, such as a preference for calm and positive social emotions like 'joy' and 'lively', and frequent nodding gestures. Despite these tendencies, our approach has led to the development of a social robot capable of context-aware and more authentic interactions. Our work lays the groundwork for future studies on human-robot interactions, emphasizing the essential role of both verbal and non-verbal cues in creating social and empathetic robots.

In dynamic motion generation tasks, including contact and collisions, small changes in policy parameters can lead to extremely different returns. For example, in soccer, the ball can fly in completely different directions with a similar heading motion by slightly changing the hitting position or the force applied to the ball or when the friction of the ball varies. However, it is difficult to imagine that completely different skills are needed for heading a ball in different directions. In this study, we proposed a multitask reinforcement learning algorithm for adapting a policy to implicit changes in goals or environments in a single motion category with different reward functions or physical parameters of the environment. We evaluated the proposed method on the ball heading task using a monopod robot model. The results showed that the proposed method can adapt to implicit changes in the goal positions or the coefficients of restitution of the ball, whereas the standard domain randomization approach cannot cope with different task settings.

Secure aggregation protocols ensure the privacy of users' data in the federated learning settings by preventing the disclosure of users' local gradients. Despite their merits, existing aggregation protocols often incur high communication and computation overheads on the participants and might not be optimized to handle the large update vectors for machine learning models efficiently. This paper presents e-SeaFL, an efficient, verifiable secure aggregation protocol taking one communication round in aggregation. e-SeaFL allows the aggregation server to generate proof of honest aggregation for the participants. Our core idea is to employ a set of assisting nodes to help the aggregation server, under similar trust assumptions existing works placed upon the participating users. For verifiability, e-SeaFL uses authenticated homomorphic vector commitments. Our experiments show that the user enjoys five orders of magnitude higher efficiency than the state of the art (PPML 2022) for a gradient vector of a high dimension up to $100,000$.

Advances in artificial intelligence often stem from the development of new environments that abstract real-world situations into a form where research can be done conveniently. This paper contributes such an environment based on ideas inspired by elementary Microeconomics. Agents learn to produce resources in a spatially complex world, trade them with one another, and consume those that they prefer. We show that the emergent production, consumption, and pricing behaviors respond to environmental conditions in the directions predicted by supply and demand shifts in Microeconomics. We also demonstrate settings where the agents' emergent prices for goods vary over space, reflecting the local abundance of goods. After the price disparities emerge, some agents then discover a niche of transporting goods between regions with different prevailing prices -- a profitable strategy because they can buy goods where they are cheap and sell them where they are expensive. Finally, in a series of ablation experiments, we investigate how choices in the environmental rewards, bartering actions, agent architecture, and ability to consume tradable goods can either aid or inhibit the emergence of this economic behavior. This work is part of the environment development branch of a research program that aims to build human-like artificial general intelligence through multi-agent interactions in simulated societies. By exploring which environment features are needed for the basic phenomena of elementary microeconomics to emerge automatically from learning, we arrive at an environment that differs from those studied in prior multi-agent reinforcement learning work along several dimensions. For example, the model incorporates heterogeneous tastes and physical abilities, and agents negotiate with one another as a grounded form of communication.

Multi-relation Question Answering is a challenging task, due to the requirement of elaborated analysis on questions and reasoning over multiple fact triples in knowledge base. In this paper, we present a novel model called Interpretable Reasoning Network that employs an interpretable, hop-by-hop reasoning process for question answering. The model dynamically decides which part of an input question should be analyzed at each hop; predicts a relation that corresponds to the current parsed results; utilizes the predicted relation to update the question representation and the state of the reasoning process; and then drives the next-hop reasoning. Experiments show that our model yields state-of-the-art results on two datasets. More interestingly, the model can offer traceable and observable intermediate predictions for reasoning analysis and failure diagnosis, thereby allowing manual manipulation in predicting the final answer.

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