On a daily basis, data centers process huge volumes of data backed by the proliferation of inexpensive hard disks. Data stored in these disks serve a range of critical functional needs from financial, and healthcare to aerospace. As such, premature disk failure and consequent loss of data can be catastrophic. To mitigate the risk of failures, cloud storage providers perform condition-based monitoring and replace hard disks before they fail. By estimating the remaining useful life of hard disk drives, one can predict the time-to-failure of a particular device and replace it at the right time, ensuring maximum utilization whilst reducing operational costs. In this work, large-scale predictive analyses are performed using severely skewed health statistics data by incorporating customized feature engineering and a suite of sequence learners. Past work suggests using LSTMs as an excellent approach to predicting remaining useful life. To this end, we present an encoder-decoder LSTM model where the context gained from understanding health statistics sequences aid in predicting an output sequence of the number of days remaining before a disk potentially fails. The models developed in this work are trained and tested across an exhaustive set of all of the 10 years of S.M.A.R.T. health data in circulation from Backblaze and on a wide variety of disk instances. It closes the knowledge gap on what full-scale training achieves on thousands of devices and advances the state-of-the-art by providing tangible metrics for evaluation and generalization for practitioners looking to extend their workflow to all years of health data in circulation across disk manufacturers. The encoder-decoder LSTM posted an RMSE of 0.83 during training and 0.86 during testing over the exhaustive 10 year data while being able to generalize competitively over other drives from the Seagate family.
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Digital sources have been enabling unprecedented data-driven and large-scale investigations across a wide range of domains, including demography, sociology, geography, urbanism, criminology, and engineering. A major barrier to innovation is represented by the limited availability of dependable digital datasets, especially in the context of data gathered by mobile network operators or service providers, due to concerns about user privacy and industrial competition. The resulting lack of reference datasets curbs the production of new research methods and results, and prevents verifiability and reproducibility of research outcomes. The NetMob23 dataset offers a rare opportunity to the multidisciplinary research community to access rich data about the spatio-temporal consumption of mobile applications in a developed country. The generation process of the dataset sets a new quality standard, leading to information about the demands generated by 68 popular mobile services, geo-referenced at a high resolution of $100\times100$ $m^2$ over 20 metropolitan areas in France, and monitored during 77 consecutive days in 2019.
A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called ''Predict and Compare'' is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of false positive rate and out-of-control average run length. The method's focus is on improving standard methods from sequential analysis such as the CUSUM rule in terms of these quality measures. This is achieved by replacing typically used trend estimation functionals such as the running mean with more sophisticated predictive models (Predict step), and comparing their prognosis with actual data (Compare step). The two models used in the Predict step are the ARIMA model and the LSTM recursive neural network. However, the framework is formulated in general terms, so as to allow the use of other prediction or comparison methods than those tested here. The power of the method is demonstrated in a tribological case study in which change points separating the run-in, steady-state, and divergent wear phases are detected in the regime of very few false positives.
In this paper, we put forward the model of zero-error distributed function compression system of two binary memoryless sources X and Y, where there are two encoders En1 and En2 and one decoder De, connected by two channels (En1, De) and (En2, De) with the capacity constraints C1 and C2, respectively. The encoder En1 can observe X or (X,Y) and the encoder En2 can observe Y or (X,Y) according to the two switches s1 and s2 open or closed (corresponding to taking values 0 or 1). The decoder De is required to compress the binary arithmetic sum f(X,Y)=X+Y with zero error by using the system multiple times. We use (s1s2;C1,C2;f) to denote the model in which it is assumed that C1 \geq C2 by symmetry. The compression capacity for the model is defined as the maximum average number of times that the function f can be compressed with zero error for one use of the system, which measures the efficiency of using the system. We fully characterize the compression capacities for all the four cases of the model (s1s2;C1,C2;f) for s1s2= 00,01,10,11. Here, the characterization of the compression capacity for the case (01;C1,C2;f) with C1>C2 is highly nontrivial, where a novel graph coloring approach is developed. Furthermore, we apply the compression capacity for (01;C1,C2;f) to an open problem in network function computation that whether the best known upper bound of Guang et al. on computing capacity is in general tight.
Impaired cardiac function has been described as a frequent complication of COVID-19-related pneumonia. To investigate possible underlying mechanisms, we represented the cardiovascular system by means of a lumped-parameter 0D mathematical model. The model was calibrated using clinical data, recorded in 58 patients hospitalized for COVID-19-related pneumonia, to make it patient-specific and to compute model outputs of clinical interest related to the cardiocirculatory system. We assessed, for each patient with a successful calibration, the statistical reliability of model outputs estimating the uncertainty intervals. Then, we performed a statistical analysis to compare healthy ranges and mean values (over patients) of reliable model outputs to determine which were significantly altered in COVID-19-related pneumonia. Our results showed significant increases in right ventricular systolic pressure, diastolic and mean pulmonary arterial pressure, and capillary wedge pressure. Instead, physical quantities related to the systemic circulation were not significantly altered. Remarkably, statistical analyses made on raw clinical data, without the support of a mathematical model, were unable to detect the effects of COVID-19-related pneumonia, thus suggesting that the use of a calibrated 0D mathematical model to describe the cardiocirculatory system is an effective tool to investigate the impairments of the cardiocirculatory system associated with COVID-19.
Entities involve important concepts with concrete meanings and play important roles in numerous linguistic tasks. Entities have different forms in different tasks and researchers treat those forms as different concepts. In this paper, we are curious to know whether there are some common characteristics connecting those different forms of entities. Specifically, we investigate the underlying distributions of entities from different types and different languages, trying to figure out some common properties behind those diverse entities. We find from twelve datasets about different types of entities and eighteen datasets about different languages of entities that although these entities are dramatically diverse from each in many aspects, their length-frequencies can be well characterized by Marshall-Olkin power-law (MOPL) distributions, and these distributions possess defined means and finite variances. Our experiments show that while not all the entities are drawn from the same underlying population, those entities under same types tend to be drawn from the same distribution. Our experiments also show that Marshall-Olkin power-law models characterize the length-frequencies of entities much better than pure power-law models and log-normal models.
Anomaly detection, which is a critical and popular topic in computer vision, aims to detect anomalous samples that are different from the normal (i.e., non-anomalous) ones. The current mainstream methods focus on anomaly detection for images, whereas little attention has been paid to 3D point cloud. In this paper, drawing inspiration from the knowledge transfer ability of teacher-student architecture and the impressive feature extraction capability of recent neural networks, we design a teacher-student structured model for 3D anomaly detection. Specifically, we use feature space alignment, dimension zoom, and max pooling to extract the features of the point cloud and then minimize a multi-scale loss between the feature vectors produced by the teacher and the student networks. Moreover, our method only requires very few normal samples to train the student network due to the teacher-student distillation mechanism. Once trained, the teacher-student network pair can be leveraged jointly to fulfill 3D point cloud anomaly detection based on the calculated anomaly score. For evaluation, we compare our method against the reconstruction-based method on the ShapeNet-Part dataset. The experimental results and ablation studies quantitatively and qualitatively confirm that our model can achieve higher performance compared with the state of the arts in 3D anomaly detection with very few training samples.
Distributed detection over a blockchain-aided Internet of Things (BIoT) network in the presence of attacks is considered, where the integrated blockchain is employed to secure data exchanges over the BIoT as well as data storage at the agents of the BIoT. We consider a general adversary model where attackers jointly exploit the vulnerability of IoT devices and that of the blockchain employed in the BIoT. The optimal attacking strategy which minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence is pursued. It can be shown that this optimization problem is nonconvex, and hence it is generally intractable to find the globally optimal solution to such a problem. To overcome this issue, we first propose a relaxation method that can convert the original nonconvex optimization problem into a convex optimization problem, and then the analytic expression for the optimal solution to the relaxed convex optimization problem is derived. The optimal value of the relaxed convex optimization problem provides a detection performance guarantee for the BIoT in the presence of attacks. In addition, we develop a coordinate descent algorithm which is based on a capped water-filling method to solve the relaxed convex optimization problem, and moreover, we show that the convergence of the proposed coordinate descent algorithm can be guaranteed.
Many organisations manage service quality and monitor a large set devices and servers where each entity is associated with telemetry or physical sensor data series. Recently, various methods have been proposed to detect behavioural anomalies, however existing approaches focus on multivariate time series and ignore communication between entities. Moreover, we aim to support end-users in not only in locating entities and sensors causing an anomaly at a certain period, but also explain this decision. We propose a scalable approach to detect anomalies using a two-step approach. First, we recover relations between entities in the network, since relations are often dynamic in nature and caused by an unknown underlying process. Next, we report anomalies based on an embedding of sequential patterns. Pattern mining is efficient and supports interpretation, i.e. patterns represent frequent occurring behaviour in time series. We extend pattern mining to filter sequential patterns based on frequency, temporal constraints and minimum description length. We collect and release two public datasets for international broadcasting and X from an Internet company. \textit{BAD} achieves an overall F1-Score of 0.78 on 9 benchmark datasets, significantly outperforming the best baseline by 3\%. Additionally, \textit{BAD} is also an order-of-magnitude faster than state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods.
In pace with developments in the research field of artificial intelligence, knowledge graphs (KGs) have attracted a surge of interest from both academia and industry. As a representation of semantic relations between entities, KGs have proven to be particularly relevant for natural language processing (NLP), experiencing a rapid spread and wide adoption within recent years. Given the increasing amount of research work in this area, several KG-related approaches have been surveyed in the NLP research community. However, a comprehensive study that categorizes established topics and reviews the maturity of individual research streams remains absent to this day. Contributing to closing this gap, we systematically analyzed 507 papers from the literature on KGs in NLP. Our survey encompasses a multifaceted review of tasks, research types, and contributions. As a result, we present a structured overview of the research landscape, provide a taxonomy of tasks, summarize our findings, and highlight directions for future work.
Inferring missing links in knowledge graphs (KG) has attracted a lot of attention from the research community. In this paper, we tackle a practical query answering task involving predicting the relation of a given entity pair. We frame this prediction problem as an inference problem in a probabilistic graphical model and aim at resolving it from a variational inference perspective. In order to model the relation between the query entity pair, we assume that there exists an underlying latent variable (paths connecting two nodes) in the KG, which carries the equivalent semantics of their relations. However, due to the intractability of connections in large KGs, we propose to use variation inference to maximize the evidence lower bound. More specifically, our framework (\textsc{Diva}) is composed of three modules, i.e. a posterior approximator, a prior (path finder), and a likelihood (path reasoner). By using variational inference, we are able to incorporate them closely into a unified architecture and jointly optimize them to perform KG reasoning. With active interactions among these sub-modules, \textsc{Diva} is better at handling noise and coping with more complex reasoning scenarios. In order to evaluate our method, we conduct the experiment of the link prediction task on multiple datasets and achieve state-of-the-art performances on both datasets.
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