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In this study, we examine numerical approximations for 2nd-order linear-nonlinear differential equations with diverse boundary conditions, followed by the residual corrections of the first approximations. We first obtain numerical results using the Galerkin weighted residual approach with Bernstein polynomials. The generation of residuals is brought on by the fact that our first approximation is computed using numerical methods. To minimize these residuals, we use the compact finite difference scheme of 4th-order convergence to solve the error differential equations in accordance with the error boundary conditions. We also introduce the formulation of the compact finite difference method of fourth-order convergence for the nonlinear BVPs. The improved approximations are produced by adding the error values derived from the approximations of the error differential equation to the weighted residual values. Numerical results are compared to the exact solutions and to the solutions available in the published literature to validate the proposed scheme, and high accuracy is achieved in all cases

There has a major problem in the current theory of hypothesis testing in which no unified indicator to evaluate the goodness of various test methods since the cost function or utility function usually relies on the specific application scenario, resulting in no optimal hypothesis testing method. In this paper, the problem of optimal hypothesis testing is investigated based on information theory. We propose an information-theoretic framework of hypothesis testing consisting of five parts: test information (TI) is proposed to evaluate the hypothesis testing, which depends on the a posteriori probability distribution function of hypotheses and independent of specific test methods; accuracy with the unit of bit is proposed to evaluate the degree of validity of specific test methods; the sampling a posteriori (SAP) probability test method is presented, which makes stochastic selections on the hypotheses according to the a posteriori probability distribution of the hypotheses; the probability of test failure is defined to reflect the probability of the failed decision is made; test theorem is proved that all accuracy lower than the TI is achievable. Specifically, for every accuracy lower than TI, there exists a test method with the probability of test failure tending to zero. Conversely, there is no test method whose accuracy is more than TI. Numerical simulations are performed to demonstrate that the SAP test is asymptotically optimal. In addition, the results show that the accuracy of the SAP test and the existing test methods, such as the maximum a posteriori probability, expected a posteriori probability, and median a posteriori probability tests, are not more than TI.

Reliable probabilistic primality tests are fundamental in public-key cryptography. In adversarial scenarios, a composite with a high probability of passing a specific primality test could be chosen. In such cases, we need worst-case error estimates for the test. However, in many scenarios the numbers are randomly chosen and thus have significantly smaller error probability. Therefore, we are interested in average case error estimates. In this paper, we establish such bounds for the strong Lucas primality test, as only worst-case, but no average case error bounds, are currently available. This allows us to use this test with more confidence. We examine an algorithm that draws odd $k$-bit integers uniformly and independently, runs $t$ independent iterations of the strong Lucas test with randomly chosen parameters, and outputs the first number that passes all $t$ consecutive rounds. We attain numerical upper bounds on the probability on returing a composite. Furthermore, we consider a modified version of this algorithm that excludes integers divisible by small primes, resulting in improved bounds. Additionally, we classify the numbers that contribute most to our estimate.

The problem of generalization and transportation of treatment effect estimates from a study sample to a target population is central to empirical research and statistical methodology. In both randomized experiments and observational studies, weighting methods are often used with this objective. Traditional methods construct the weights by separately modeling the treatment assignment and study selection probabilities and then multiplying functions (e.g., inverses) of their estimates. In this work, we provide a justification and an implementation for weighting in a single step. We show a formal connection between this one-step method and inverse probability and inverse odds weighting. We demonstrate that the resulting estimator for the target average treatment effect is consistent, asymptotically Normal, multiply robust, and semiparametrically efficient. We evaluate the performance of the one-step estimator in a simulation study. We illustrate its use in a case study on the effects of physician racial diversity on preventive healthcare utilization among Black men in California. We provide R code implementing the methodology.

This paper presents a novel approach to Bayesian nonparametric spectral analysis of stationary multivariate time series. Starting with a parametric vector-autoregressive model, the parametric likelihood is nonparametrically adjusted in the frequency domain to account for potential deviations from parametric assumptions. We show mutual contiguity of the nonparametrically corrected likelihood, the multivariate Whittle likelihood approximation and the exact likelihood for Gaussian time series. A multivariate extension of the nonparametric Bernstein-Dirichlet process prior for univariate spectral densities to the space of Hermitian positive definite spectral density matrices is specified directly on the correction matrices. An infinite series representation of this prior is then used to develop a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution. The code is made publicly available for ease of use and reproducibility. With this novel approach we provide a generalization of the multivariate Whittle-likelihood-based method of Meier et al. (2020) as well as an extension of the nonparametrically corrected likelihood for univariate stationary time series of Kirch et al. (2019) to the multivariate case. We demonstrate that the nonparametrically corrected likelihood combines the efficiencies of a parametric with the robustness of a nonparametric model. Its numerical accuracy is illustrated in a comprehensive simulation study. We illustrate its practical advantages by a spectral analysis of two environmental time series data sets: a bivariate time series of the Southern Oscillation Index and fish recruitment and time series of windspeed data at six locations in California.

We introduce a surface finite element method for the numerical solution of Navier-Stokes equations on evolving surfaces with a prescribed deformation of the surface in normal direction. The method is based on approaches for the full surface Navier-Stokes equations in the context of fluid-deformable surfaces and adds a penalization of the normal component. Numerical results demonstrate the same optimal order as proposed for surface (Navier-)Stokes equations on stationary surfaces. The approach is applied to high-resolution 3D scans of clothed bodies in motion to provide interactive virtual fluid-like clothing.

Differentially private mean estimation is an important building block in privacy-preserving algorithms for data analysis and machine learning. Though the trade-off between privacy and utility is well understood in the worst case, many datasets exhibit structure that could potentially be exploited to yield better algorithms. In this paper we present $\textit{Private Limit Adapted Noise (PLAN)}$, a family of differentially private algorithms for mean estimation in the setting where inputs are independently sampled from a distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over $\mathbf{R}^d$, with coordinate-wise standard deviations $\boldsymbol{\sigma} \in \mathbf{R}^d$. Similar to mean estimation under Mahalanobis distance, PLAN tailors the shape of the noise to the shape of the data, but unlike previous algorithms the privacy budget is spent non-uniformly over the coordinates. Under a concentration assumption on $\mathcal{D}$, we show how to exploit skew in the vector $\boldsymbol{\sigma}$, obtaining a (zero-concentrated) differentially private mean estimate with $\ell_2$ error proportional to $\|\boldsymbol{\sigma}\|_1$. Previous work has either not taken $\boldsymbol{\sigma}$ into account, or measured error in Mahalanobis distance $\unicode{x2013}$ in both cases resulting in $\ell_2$ error proportional to $\sqrt{d}\|\boldsymbol{\sigma}\|_2$, which can be up to a factor $\sqrt{d}$ larger. To verify the effectiveness of \algorithmname, we empirically evaluate accuracy on both synthetic and real world data.

We study the Electrical Impedance Tomography Bayesian inverse problem for recovering the conductivity given noisy measurements of the voltage on some boundary surface electrodes. The uncertain conductivity depends linearly on a countable number of uniformly distributed random parameters in a compact interval, with the coefficient functions in the linear expansion decaying at an algebraic rate. We analyze the surrogate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for sampling the posterior probability measure, where the multivariate sparse adaptive interpolation, with interpolating points chosen according to a lower index set, is used for approximating the forward map. The forward equation is approximated once before running the MCMC for all the realizations, using interpolation on the finite element (FE) approximation at the parametric interpolating points. When evaluation of the solution is needed for a realization, we only need to compute a polynomial, thus cutting drastically the computation time. We contribute a rigorous error estimate for the MCMC convergence. In particular, we show that there is a nested sequence of interpolating lower index sets for which we can derive an interpolation error estimate in terms of the cardinality of these sets, uniformly for all the parameter realizations. An explicit convergence rate for the MCMC sampling of the posterior expectation of the conductivity is rigorously derived, in terms of the interpolating point number, the accuracy of the FE approximation of the forward equation, and the MCMC sample number. We perform numerical experiments using an adaptive greedy approach to construct the sets of interpolation points. We show the benefits of this approach over the simple MCMC where the forward equation is repeatedly solved for all the samples and the non-adaptive surrogate MCMC with an isotropic index set treating all the random parameters equally.

This paper considers the Westervelt equation, one of the most widely used models in nonlinear acoustics, and seeks to recover two spatially-dependent parameters of physical importance from time-trace boundary measurements. Specifically, these are the nonlinearity parameter $\kappa(x)$ often referred to as $B/A$ in the acoustics literature and the wave speed $c_0(x)$. The determination of the spatial change in these quantities can be used as a means of imaging. We consider identifiability from one or two boundary measurements as relevant in these applications. For a reformulation of the problem in terms of the squared slowness $\mathfrak{s}=1/c_0^2$ and the combined coefficient $\eta=\frac{B/A+2}{\varrho_0 c_0^4}$ we devise a frozen Newton method and prove its convergence. The effectiveness (and limitations) of this iterative scheme are demonstrated by numerical examples.

Behaviors of the synthetic characters in current military simulations are limited since they are generally generated by rule-based and reactive computational models with minimal intelligence. Such computational models cannot adapt to reflect the experience of the characters, resulting in brittle intelligence for even the most effective behavior models devised via costly and labor-intensive processes. Observation-based behavior model adaptation that leverages machine learning and the experience of synthetic entities in combination with appropriate prior knowledge can address the issues in the existing computational behavior models to create a better training experience in military training simulations. In this paper, we introduce a framework that aims to create autonomous synthetic characters that can perform coherent sequences of believable behavior while being aware of human trainees and their needs within a training simulation. This framework brings together three mutually complementary components. The first component is a Unity-based simulation environment - Rapid Integration and Development Environment (RIDE) - supporting One World Terrain (OWT) models and capable of running and supporting machine learning experiments. The second is Shiva, a novel multi-agent reinforcement and imitation learning framework that can interface with a variety of simulation environments, and that can additionally utilize a variety of learning algorithms. The final component is the Sigma Cognitive Architecture that will augment the behavior models with symbolic and probabilistic reasoning capabilities. We have successfully created proof-of-concept behavior models leveraging this framework on realistic terrain as an essential step towards bringing machine learning into military simulations.