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We derive optimality conditions for the optimum sample allocation problem in stratified sampling, formulated as the determination of the fixed strata sample sizes that minimize the total cost of the survey, under the assumed level of variance of the stratified $\pi$ estimator of the population total (or mean) and one-sided upper bounds imposed on sample sizes in strata. In this context, we presume that the variance function is of some generic form that, in particular, covers the case of the simple random sampling without replacement design in strata. The optimality conditions mentioned above will be derived from the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions. Based on the established optimality conditions, we provide a formal proof of the optimality of the existing procedure, termed here as LRNA, which solves the allocation problem considered. We formulate the LRNA in such a way that it also provides the solution to the classical optimum allocation problem (i.e. minimization of the estimator's variance under a fixed total cost) under one-sided lower bounds imposed on sample sizes in strata. In this context, the LRNA can be considered as a counterparty to the popular recursive Neyman allocation procedure that is used to solve the classical problem of an optimum sample allocation with added one-sided upper bounds. Ready-to-use R-implementation of the LRNA is available through our stratallo package, which is published on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN) package repository.

The multiobjective evolutionary optimization algorithm (MOEA) is a powerful approach for tackling multiobjective optimization problems (MOPs), which can find a finite set of approximate Pareto solutions in a single run. However, under mild regularity conditions, the Pareto optimal set of a continuous MOP could be a low dimensional continuous manifold that contains infinite solutions. In addition, structure constraints on the whole optimal solution set, which characterize the patterns shared among all solutions, could be required in many real-life applications. It is very challenging for existing finite population based MOEAs to handle these structure constraints properly. In this work, we propose the first model-based algorithmic framework to learn the whole solution set with structure constraints for multiobjective optimization. In our approach, the Pareto optimality can be traded off with a preferred structure among the whole solution set, which could be crucial for many real-world problems. We also develop an efficient evolutionary learning method to train the set model with structure constraints. Experimental studies on benchmark test suites and real-world application problems demonstrate the promising performance of our proposed framework.

Multicalibration is a notion of fairness for predictors that requires them to provide calibrated predictions across a large set of protected groups. Multicalibration is known to be a distinct goal than loss minimization, even for simple predictors such as linear functions. In this work, we consider the setting where the protected groups can be represented by neural networks of size $k$, and the predictors are neural networks of size $n > k$. We show that minimizing the squared loss over all neural nets of size $n$ implies multicalibration for all but a bounded number of unlucky values of $n$. We also give evidence that our bound on the number of unlucky values is tight, given our proof technique. Previously, results of the flavor that loss minimization yields multicalibration were known only for predictors that were near the ground truth, hence were rather limited in applicability. Unlike these, our results rely on the expressivity of neural nets and utilize the representation of the predictor.

Uniformly valid inference for cointegrated vector autoregressive processes has so far proven difficult due to certain discontinuities arising in the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator. We extend asymptotic results from the univariate case to multiple dimensions and show how inference can be based on these results. Furthermore, we show that lag augmentation and a recent instrumental variable procedure can also yield uniformly valid tests and confidence regions. We verify the theoretical findings and investigate finite sample properties in simulation experiments for two specific examples.

Sequence prediction on temporal data requires the ability to understand compositional structures of multi-level semantics beyond individual and contextual properties. The task of temporal action segmentation, which aims at translating an untrimmed activity video into a sequence of action segments, remains challenging for this reason. This paper addresses the problem by introducing an effective activity grammar to guide neural predictions for temporal action segmentation. We propose a novel grammar induction algorithm that extracts a powerful context-free grammar from action sequence data. We also develop an efficient generalized parser that transforms frame-level probability distributions into a reliable sequence of actions according to the induced grammar with recursive rules. Our approach can be combined with any neural network for temporal action segmentation to enhance the sequence prediction and discover its compositional structure. Experimental results demonstrate that our method significantly improves temporal action segmentation in terms of both performance and interpretability on two standard benchmarks, Breakfast and 50 Salads.

We consider a distributed coding for computing problem with constant decoding locality, i.e. with a vanishing error probability, any single sample of the function can be approximately recovered by probing only constant number of compressed bits. We establish an achievable rate region by designing an efficient coding scheme. The scheme reduces the required rate by introducing auxiliary random variables and supports local decoding at the same time. Then we show the rate region is optimal under mild regularity conditions on source distributions. A coding for computing problem with side information is analogously studied. These results indicate that more rate has to be taken in order to achieve lower coding complexity in distributed computing settings. Moreover, useful graph characterizations are developed to simplify the computation of the achievable rate region.

Time series discords are a useful primitive for time series anomaly detection, and the matrix profile is capable of capturing discord effectively. There exist many research efforts to improve the scalability of discord discovery with respect to the length of time series. However, there is surprisingly little work focused on reducing the time complexity of matrix profile computation associated with dimensionality of a multidimensional time series. In this work, we propose a sketch for discord mining among multi-dimensional time series. After an initial pre-processing of the sketch as fast as reading the data, the discord mining has runtime independent of the dimensionality of the original data. On several real world examples from water treatment and transportation, the proposed algorithm improves the throughput by at least an order of magnitude (50X) and only has minimal impact on the quality of the approximated solution. Additionally, the proposed method can handle the dynamic addition or deletion of dimensions inconsequential overhead. This allows a data analyst to consider "what-if" scenarios in real time while exploring the data.

This study performs BERT-based analysis, which is a representative contextualized language model, on corporate disclosure data to predict impending bankruptcies. Prior literature on bankruptcy prediction mainly focuses on developing more sophisticated prediction methodologies with financial variables. However, in our study, we focus on improving the quality of input dataset. Specifically, we employ BERT model to perform sentiment analysis on MD&A disclosures. We show that BERT outperforms dictionary-based predictions and Word2Vec-based predictions in terms of adjusted R-square in logistic regression, k-nearest neighbor (kNN-5), and linear kernel support vector machine (SVM). Further, instead of pre-training the BERT model from scratch, we apply self-learning with confidence-based filtering to corporate disclosure data (10-K). We achieve the accuracy rate of 91.56% and demonstrate that the domain adaptation procedure brings a significant improvement in prediction accuracy.

Humans perceive the world by concurrently processing and fusing high-dimensional inputs from multiple modalities such as vision and audio. Machine perception models, in stark contrast, are typically modality-specific and optimised for unimodal benchmarks, and hence late-stage fusion of final representations or predictions from each modality (`late-fusion') is still a dominant paradigm for multimodal video classification. Instead, we introduce a novel transformer based architecture that uses `fusion bottlenecks' for modality fusion at multiple layers. Compared to traditional pairwise self-attention, our model forces information between different modalities to pass through a small number of bottleneck latents, requiring the model to collate and condense the most relevant information in each modality and only share what is necessary. We find that such a strategy improves fusion performance, at the same time reducing computational cost. We conduct thorough ablation studies, and achieve state-of-the-art results on multiple audio-visual classification benchmarks including Audioset, Epic-Kitchens and VGGSound. All code and models will be released.

It is important to detect anomalous inputs when deploying machine learning systems. The use of larger and more complex inputs in deep learning magnifies the difficulty of distinguishing between anomalous and in-distribution examples. At the same time, diverse image and text data are available in enormous quantities. We propose leveraging these data to improve deep anomaly detection by training anomaly detectors against an auxiliary dataset of outliers, an approach we call Outlier Exposure (OE). This enables anomaly detectors to generalize and detect unseen anomalies. In extensive experiments on natural language processing and small- and large-scale vision tasks, we find that Outlier Exposure significantly improves detection performance. We also observe that cutting-edge generative models trained on CIFAR-10 may assign higher likelihoods to SVHN images than to CIFAR-10 images; we use OE to mitigate this issue. We also analyze the flexibility and robustness of Outlier Exposure, and identify characteristics of the auxiliary dataset that improve performance.