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In this work, we propose a global model selection criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies of a random vector based on a finite sample. By global criterion, we mean optimizing a function over the entire set of possible graphs, eliminating the need to estimate the individual neighborhoods and subsequently combine them to estimate the graph. We prove the almost sure convergence of the graph estimator. This convergence holds provided the data is a realization of a multivariate stochastic process that satisfies a mixing condition. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first results to show the consistency of a model selection criterion for Markov random fields on graphs under non-independent data.

Remotely sensed data are dominated by mixed Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) types. Spectral unmixing is a technique to extract information from mixed pixels into their constituent LULC types and corresponding abundance fractions. Traditionally, solving this task has relied on either classical methods that require prior knowledge of endmembers or machine learning methods that avoid explicit endmembers calculation, also known as blind spectral unmixing (BSU). Most BSU studies based on Deep Learning (DL) focus on one time-step hyperspectral or multispectral data. To our knowledge, here we provide the first study on BSU of LULC classes using MODIS multispectral time series, in presence of missing data, with end-to-end DL models. We further boost the performance of a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM)-based model by incorporating geographic plus topographic (geo-topographic) and climatic ancillary information. Our experiments show that combining spectral-temporal input data together with geo-topographic and climatic information substantially improves the abundance estimation of LULC classes in mixed pixels. To carry out this study, we built a new labeled dataset of the region of Andalusia (Spain) with monthly multispectral time series of pixels for the year 2013 from MODIS at 460m resolution, for two hierarchical levels of LULC classes, named Andalusia MultiSpectral MultiTemporal Unmixing (Andalusia-MSMTU). This dataset provides, at the pixel level, a multispectral time series plus ancillary information annotated with the abundance of each LULC class inside each pixel. The dataset (//zenodo.org/record/7752348##.ZBmkkezMLdo) and code (//github.com/jrodriguezortega/MSMTU) are available to the public.

This paper investigates the multiple testing problem for high-dimensional sparse binary sequences, motivated by the crowdsourcing problem in machine learning. We study the empirical Bayes approach for multiple testing on the high-dimensional Bernoulli model with a conjugate spike and uniform slab prior. We first show that the hard thresholding rule deduced from the posterior distribution is suboptimal. Consequently, the $\ell$-value procedure constructed using this posterior tends to be overly conservative in estimating the false discovery rate (FDR). We then propose two new procedures based on $\adj\ell$-values and $q$-values to correct this issue. Sharp frequentist theoretical results are obtained, demonstrating that both procedures can effectively control the FDR under sparsity. Numerical experiments are conducted to validate our theory in finite samples. To our best knowledge, this work provides the first uniform FDR control result in multiple testing for high-dimensional sparse binary data.

To improve the predictability of complex computational models in the experimentally-unknown domains, we propose a Bayesian statistical machine learning framework utilizing the Dirichlet distribution that combines results of several imperfect models. This framework can be viewed as an extension of Bayesian stacking. To illustrate the method, we study the ability of Bayesian model averaging and mixing techniques to mine nuclear masses. We show that the global and local mixtures of models reach excellent performance on both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification and are preferable to classical Bayesian model averaging. Additionally, our statistical analysis indicates that improving model predictions through mixing rather than mixing of corrected models leads to more robust extrapolations.

The Causal Roadmap outlines a systematic approach to our research endeavors: define quantity of interest, evaluate needed assumptions, conduct statistical estimation, and carefully interpret of results. At the estimation step, it is essential that the estimation algorithm be chosen thoughtfully for its theoretical properties and expected performance. Simulations can help researchers gain a better understanding of an estimator's statistical performance under conditions unique to the real-data application. This in turn can inform the rigorous pre-specification of a Statistical Analysis Plan (SAP), not only stating the estimand (e.g., G-computation formula), the estimator (e.g., targeted minimum loss-based estimation [TMLE]), and adjustment variables, but also the implementation of the estimator -- including nuisance parameter estimation and approach for variance estimation. Doing so helps ensure valid inference (e.g., 95% confidence intervals with appropriate coverage). Failing to pre-specify estimation can lead to data dredging and inflated Type-I error rates.

We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for determining the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's mean square error in a closed form. This is in contrast to the conventional MC and MLMC covariance estimators, which are based on biased mean square errors defined solely by upper bounds, particularly within the MLMC. Finally, the numerical results of the algorithms are demonstrated by estimating the covariance of the stochastic response of a simple 1D stochastic elliptic PDE such as Poisson's model.

In this paper we examine the effectiveness of several multi-arm bandit algorithms when used as a trust system to select agents to delegate tasks to. In contrast to existing work, we allow for recursive delegation to occur. That is, a task delegated to one agent can be delegated onwards by that agent, with further delegation possible until some agent finally executes the task. We show that modifications to the standard multi-arm bandit algorithms can provide improvements in performance in such recursive delegation settings.

This paper presents a Bayesian optimization framework for the automatic tuning of shared controllers which are defined as a Model Predictive Control (MPC) problem. The proposed framework includes the design of performance metrics as well as the representation of user inputs for simulation-based optimization. The framework is applied to the optimization of a shared controller for an Image Guided Therapy robot. VR-based user experiments confirm the increase in performance of the automatically tuned MPC shared controller with respect to a hand-tuned baseline version as well as its generalization ability.

This paper presents the workspace optimization of one-translational two-rotational (1T2R) parallel manipulators using a dimensionally homogeneous constraint-embedded Jacobian. The mixed degrees of freedom of 1T2R parallel manipulators, which cause dimensional inconsistency, make it difficult to optimize their architectural parameters. To solve this problem, a point-based approach with a shifting property, selection matrix, and constraint-embedded inverse Jacobian is proposed. A simplified formulation is provided, eliminating the complex partial differentiation required in previous approaches. The dimensional homogeneity of the proposed method was analytically proven, and its validity was confirmed by comparing it with the conventional point-based method using a 3-PRS manipulator. Furthermore, the approach was applied to an asymmetric 2-RRS/RRRU manipulator with no parasitic motion. This mechanism has a T-shape combination of limbs with different kinematic parameters, making it challenging to derive a dimensionally homogeneous Jacobian using the conventional method. Finally, optimization was performed, and the results show that the proposed method is more efficient than the conventional approach. The efficiency and simplicity of the proposed method were verified using two distinct parallel manipulators.

This paper proposes two innovative vector transport operators, leveraging the Cayley transform, for the generalized Stiefel manifold embedded with a non-standard inner product. Specifically, it introduces the differentiated retraction and an approximation of the Cayley transform to the differentiated matrix exponential. These vector transports are demonstrated to satisfy the Ring-Wirth non-expansive condition under non-standard metrics while preserving isometry. Building upon the novel vector transport operators, we extend the modified Polak-Ribi$\acute{e}$re-Polyak (PRP) conjugate gradient method to the generalized Stiefel manifold. Under a non-monotone line search condition, we prove our algorithm globally converges to a stationary point. The efficiency of the proposed vector transport operators is empirically validated through numerical experiments involving generalized eigenvalue problems and canonical correlation analysis.