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In this paper, we establish novel deviation bounds for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains similar to Rosenthal and Bernstein inequalities for sums of independent random variables. We pay special attention to the dependence of our bounds on the mixing time of the corresponding chain. More precisely, we establish explicit bounds that are linked to the constants from the martingale version of the Rosenthal inequality, as well as the constants that characterize the mixing properties of the underlying Markov kernel. Finally, our proof technique is, up to our knowledge, new and based on a recurrent application of the Poisson decomposition.

Linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) has emerged as an essential tool for genetic and genomic analyses of complex traits, utilizing high-dimensional data derived from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). LDSC computes the linkage disequilibrium (LD) scores using an external reference panel, and integrates the LD scores with only summary data from the original GWAS. In this paper, we investigate LDSC within a fixed-effect data integration framework, underscoring its ability to merge multi-source GWAS data and reference panels. In particular, we take account of the genome-wide dependence among the high-dimensional GWAS summary statistics, along with the block-diagonal dependence pattern in estimated LD scores. Our analysis uncovers several key factors of both the original GWAS and reference panel datasets that determine the performance of LDSC. We show that it is relatively feasible for LDSC-based estimators to achieve asymptotic normality when applied to genome-wide genetic variants (e.g., in genetic variance and covariance estimation), whereas it becomes considerably challenging when we focus on a much smaller subset of genetic variants (e.g., in partitioned heritability analysis). Moreover, by modeling the disparities in LD patterns across different populations, we unveil that LDSC can be expanded to conduct cross-ancestry analyses using data from distinct global populations (such as European and Asian). We validate our theoretical findings through extensive numerical evaluations using real genetic data from the UK Biobank study.

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these estimators as the sample size goes to infinity. This area of study has a long tradition in stochastic programming. However, the literature is lacking consistency analysis for problems in which the decision variables are taken from an infinite dimensional space, which arise in optimal control, scientific machine learning, and statistical estimation. By exploiting the typical problem structures found in these applications that give rise to hidden norm compactness properties for solution sets, we prove consistency results for nonconvex risk-averse stochastic optimization problems formulated in infinite dimensional space. The proof is based on several crucial results from the theory of variational convergence. The theoretical results are demonstrated for several important problem classes arising in the literature.

Context. Algorithmic racism is the term used to describe the behavior of technological solutions that constrains users based on their ethnicity. Lately, various data-driven software systems have been reported to discriminate against Black people, either for the use of biased data sets or due to the prejudice propagated by software professionals in their code. As a result, Black people are experiencing disadvantages in accessing technology-based services, such as housing, banking, and law enforcement. Goal. This study aims to explore algorithmic racism from the perspective of software professionals. Method. A survey questionnaire was applied to explore the understanding of software practitioners on algorithmic racism, and data analysis was conducted using descriptive statistics and coding techniques. Results. We obtained answers from a sample of 73 software professionals discussing their understanding and perspectives on algorithmic racism in software development. Our results demonstrate that the effects of algorithmic racism are well-known among practitioners. However, there is no consensus on how the problem can be effectively addressed in software engineering. In this paper, some solutions to the problem are proposed based on the professionals' narratives. Conclusion. Combining technical and social strategies, including training on structural racism for software professionals, is the most promising way to address the algorithmic racism problem and its effects on the software solutions delivered to our society.

This paper studies the problem of learning an unknown function $f$ from given data about $f$. The learning problem is to give an approximation $\hat f$ to $f$ that predicts the values of $f$ away from the data. There are numerous settings for this learning problem depending on (i) what additional information we have about $f$ (known as a model class assumption), (ii) how we measure the accuracy of how well $\hat f$ predicts $f$, (iii) what is known about the data and data sites, (iv) whether the data observations are polluted by noise. A mathematical description of the optimal performance possible (the smallest possible error of recovery) is known in the presence of a model class assumption. Under standard model class assumptions, it is shown in this paper that a near optimal $\hat f$ can be found by solving a certain discrete over-parameterized optimization problem with a penalty term. Here, near optimal means that the error is bounded by a fixed constant times the optimal error. This explains the advantage of over-parameterization which is commonly used in modern machine learning. The main results of this paper prove that over-parameterized learning with an appropriate loss function gives a near optimal approximation $\hat f$ of the function $f$ from which the data is collected. Quantitative bounds are given for how much over-parameterization needs to be employed and how the penalization needs to be scaled in order to guarantee a near optimal recovery of $f$. An extension of these results to the case where the data is polluted by additive deterministic noise is also given.

Starting from concentration of measure hypotheses on $m$ random vectors $Z_1,\ldots, Z_m$, this article provides an expression of the concentration of functionals $\phi(Z_1,\ldots, Z_m)$ where the variations of $\phi$ on each variable depend on the product of the norms (or semi-norms) of the other variables (as if $\phi$ were a product). We illustrate the importance of this result through various generalizations of the Hanson-Wright concentration inequality as well as through a study of the random matrix $XDX^T$ and its resolvent $Q = (I_p - \frac{1}{n}XDX^T)^{-1}$, where $X$ and $D$ are random, which have fundamental interest in statistical machine learning applications.

This study investigates the interplay among social demographics, built environment characteristics, and environmental hazard exposure features in determining community level cancer prevalence. Utilizing data from five Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States: Chicago, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, and New York, the study implemented an XGBoost machine learning model to predict the extent of cancer prevalence and evaluate the importance of different features. Our model demonstrates reliable performance, with results indicating that age, minority status, and population density are among the most influential factors in cancer prevalence. We further explore urban development and design strategies that could mitigate cancer prevalence, focusing on green space, developed areas, and total emissions. Through a series of experimental evaluations based on causal inference, the results show that increasing green space and reducing developed areas and total emissions could alleviate cancer prevalence. The study and findings contribute to a better understanding of the interplay among urban features and community health and also show the value of interpretable machine learning models for integrated urban design to promote public health. The findings also provide actionable insights for urban planning and design, emphasizing the need for a multifaceted approach to addressing urban health disparities through integrated urban design strategies.

Batch reinforcement learning (RL) aims at leveraging pre-collected data to find an optimal policy that maximizes the expected total rewards in a dynamic environment. Nearly all existing algorithms rely on the absolutely continuous assumption on the distribution induced by target policies with respect to the data distribution, so that the batch data can be used to calibrate target policies via the change of measure. However, the absolute continuity assumption could be violated in practice (e.g., no-overlap support), especially when the state-action space is large or continuous. In this paper, we propose a new batch RL algorithm without requiring absolute continuity in the setting of an infinite-horizon Markov decision process with continuous states and actions. We call our algorithm STEEL: SingulariTy-awarE rEinforcement Learning. Our algorithm is motivated by a new error analysis on off-policy evaluation, where we use maximum mean discrepancy, together with distributionally robust optimization, to characterize the error of off-policy evaluation caused by the possible singularity and to enable model extrapolation. By leveraging the idea of pessimism and under some mild conditions, we derive a finite-sample regret guarantee for our proposed algorithm without imposing absolute continuity. Compared with existing algorithms, by requiring only minimal data-coverage assumption, STEEL significantly improves the applicability and robustness of batch RL. Extensive simulation studies and one real experiment on personalized pricing demonstrate the superior performance of our method in dealing with possible singularity in batch RL.

Game theory has by now found numerous applications in various fields, including economics, industry, jurisprudence, and artificial intelligence, where each player only cares about its own interest in a noncooperative or cooperative manner, but without obvious malice to other players. However, in many practical applications, such as poker, chess, evader pursuing, drug interdiction, coast guard, cyber-security, and national defense, players often have apparently adversarial stances, that is, selfish actions of each player inevitably or intentionally inflict loss or wreak havoc on other players. Along this line, this paper provides a systematic survey on three main game models widely employed in adversarial games, i.e., zero-sum normal-form and extensive-form games, Stackelberg (security) games, zero-sum differential games, from an array of perspectives, including basic knowledge of game models, (approximate) equilibrium concepts, problem classifications, research frontiers, (approximate) optimal strategy seeking techniques, prevailing algorithms, and practical applications. Finally, promising future research directions are also discussed for relevant adversarial games.

Exploration-exploitation is a powerful and practical tool in multi-agent learning (MAL), however, its effects are far from understood. To make progress in this direction, we study a smooth analogue of Q-learning. We start by showing that our learning model has strong theoretical justification as an optimal model for studying exploration-exploitation. Specifically, we prove that smooth Q-learning has bounded regret in arbitrary games for a cost model that explicitly captures the balance between game and exploration costs and that it always converges to the set of quantal-response equilibria (QRE), the standard solution concept for games under bounded rationality, in weighted potential games with heterogeneous learning agents. In our main task, we then turn to measure the effect of exploration in collective system performance. We characterize the geometry of the QRE surface in low-dimensional MAL systems and link our findings with catastrophe (bifurcation) theory. In particular, as the exploration hyperparameter evolves over-time, the system undergoes phase transitions where the number and stability of equilibria can change radically given an infinitesimal change to the exploration parameter. Based on this, we provide a formal theoretical treatment of how tuning the exploration parameter can provably lead to equilibrium selection with both positive as well as negative (and potentially unbounded) effects to system performance.