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Tensor-valued data benefits greatly from dimension reduction as the reduction in size is exponential in the number of modes. To achieve maximal reduction without loss in information, our objective in this work is to give an automated procedure for the optimal selection of the reduced dimensionality. Our approach combines a recently proposed data augmentation procedure with the higher-order singular value decomposition (HOSVD) in a tensorially natural way. We give theoretical guidelines on how to choose the tuning parameters and further inspect their influence in a simulation study. As our primary result, we show that the procedure consistently estimates the true latent dimensions under a noisy tensor model, both at the population and sample levels. Additionally, we propose a bootstrap-based alternative to the augmentation estimator. Simulations are used to demonstrate the estimation accuracy of the two methods under various settings.

We study the convergence properties, in Hellinger and related distances, of nonparametric density estimators based on measure transport. These estimators represent the measure of interest as the pushforward of a chosen reference distribution under a transport map, where the map is chosen via a maximum likelihood objective (equivalently, minimizing an empirical Kullback-Leibler loss) or a penalized version thereof. We establish concentration inequalities for a general class of penalized measure transport estimators, by combining techniques from M-estimation with analytical properties of the transport-based density representation. We then demonstrate the implications of our theory for the case of triangular Knothe-Rosenblatt (KR) transports on the $d$-dimensional unit cube, and show that both penalized and unpenalized versions of such estimators achieve minimax optimal convergence rates over H\"older classes of densities. Specifically, we establish optimal rates for unpenalized nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation over bounded H\"older-type balls, and then for certain Sobolev-penalized estimators and sieved wavelet estimators.

The ability to learn new concepts continually is necessary in this ever-changing world. However, deep neural networks suffer from catastrophic forgetting when learning new categories. Many works have been proposed to alleviate this phenomenon, whereas most of them either fall into the stability-plasticity dilemma or take too much computation or storage overhead. Inspired by the gradient boosting algorithm to gradually fit the residuals between the target model and the previous ensemble model, we propose a novel two-stage learning paradigm FOSTER, empowering the model to learn new categories adaptively. Specifically, we first dynamically expand new modules to fit the residuals between the target and the output of the original model. Next, we remove redundant parameters and feature dimensions through an effective distillation strategy to maintain the single backbone model. We validate our method FOSTER on CIFAR-100 and ImageNet-100/1000 under different settings. Experimental results show that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance. Code is available at: //github.com/G-U-N/ECCV22-FOSTER.

We consider power means of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) non-integrable random variables. The power mean is a homogeneous quasi-arithmetic mean, and under some conditions, several limit theorems hold for the power mean as well as for the arithmetic mean of i.i.d. integrable random variables. We establish integrabilities and a limit theorem for the variances of the power mean of i.i.d. non-integrable random variables. We also consider behaviors of the power mean when the parameter of the power varies. Our feature is that the generator of the power mean is allowed to be complex-valued, which enables us to consider the power mean of random variables supported on the whole set of real numbers. The complex-valued power mean is an unbiased strongly-consistent estimator for the joint of the location and scale parameters of the Cauchy distribution.

This study develops an asymptotic theory for estimating the time-varying characteristics of locally stationary functional time series. We investigate a kernel-based method to estimate the time-varying covariance operator and the time-varying mean function of a locally stationary functional time series. In particular, we derive the convergence rate of the kernel estimator of the covariance operator and associated eigenvalue and eigenfunctions and establish a central limit theorem for the kernel-based locally weighted sample mean. As applications of our results, we discuss the prediction of locally stationary functional time series and methods for testing the equality of time-varying mean functions in two functional samples.

In Federated Learning (FL), a number of clients or devices collaborate to train a model without sharing their data. Models are optimized locally at each client and further communicated to a central hub for aggregation. While FL is an appealing decentralized training paradigm, heterogeneity among data from different clients can cause the local optimization to drift away from the global objective. In order to estimate and therefore remove this drift, variance reduction techniques have been incorporated into FL optimization recently. However, these approaches inaccurately estimate the clients' drift and ultimately fail to remove it properly. In this work, we propose an adaptive algorithm that accurately estimates drift across clients. In comparison to previous works, our approach necessitates less storage and communication bandwidth, as well as lower compute costs. Additionally, our proposed methodology induces stability by constraining the norm of estimates for client drift, making it more practical for large scale FL. Experimental findings demonstrate that the proposed algorithm converges significantly faster and achieves higher accuracy than the baselines across various FL benchmarks.

In a typical optimization problem, the task is to pick one of a number of options with the lowest cost or the highest value. In practice, these cost/value quantities often come through processes such as measurement or machine learning, which are noisy, with quantifiable noise distributions. To take these noise distributions into account, one approach is to assume a prior for the values, use it to build a posterior, and then apply standard stochastic optimization to pick a solution. However, in many practical applications, such prior distributions may not be available. In this paper, we study such scenarios using a regret minimization model. In our model, the task is to pick the highest one out of $n$ values. The values are unknown and chosen by an adversary, but can be observed through noisy channels, where additive noises are stochastically drawn from known distributions. The goal is to minimize the regret of our selection, defined as the expected difference between the highest and the selected value on the worst-case choices of values. We show that the na\"ive algorithm of picking the highest observed value has regret arbitrarily worse than the optimum, even when $n = 2$ and the noises are unbiased in expectation. On the other hand, we propose an algorithm which gives a constant-approximation to the optimal regret for any $n$. Our algorithm is conceptually simple, computationally efficient, and requires only minimal knowledge of the noise distributions.

Existing literature on constructing optimal regimes often focuses on intention-to-treat analyses that completely ignore the compliance behavior of individuals. Instrumental variable-based methods have been developed for learning optimal regimes under endogeneity. However, when there are two active treatment arms, the average causal effects of treatments cannot be identified using a binary instrument, and thus the existing methods will not be applicable. To fill this gap, we provide a procedure that identifies an optimal regime and the corresponding value function as a function of a vector of sensitivity parameters. We also derive the canonical gradient of the target parameter and propose a multiply robust classification-based estimator of the optimal regime. Our simulations highlight the need for and usefulness of the proposed method in practice. We implement our method on the Adaptive Treatment for Alcohol and Cocaine Dependence randomized trial.

Asymmetry along with heteroscedasticity or contamination often occurs with the growth of data dimensionality. In ultra-high dimensional data analysis, such irregular settings are usually overlooked for both theoretical and computational convenience. In this paper, we establish a framework for estimation in high-dimensional regression models using Penalized Robust Approximated quadratic M-estimators (PRAM). This framework allows general settings such as random errors lack of symmetry and homogeneity, or the covariates are not sub-Gaussian. To reduce the possible bias caused by the data's irregularity in mean regression, PRAM adopts a loss function with a flexible robustness parameter growing with the sample size. Theoretically, we first show that, in the ultra-high dimension setting, PRAM estimators have local estimation consistency at the minimax rate enjoyed by the LS-Lasso. Then we show that PRAM with an appropriate non-convex penalty in fact agrees with the local oracle solution, and thus obtain its oracle property. Computationally, we demonstrate the performances of six PRAM estimators using three types of loss functions for approximation (Huber, Tukey's biweight and Cauchy loss) combined with two types of penalty functions (Lasso and MCP). Our simulation studies and real data analysis demonstrate satisfactory finite sample performances of the PRAM estimator under general irregular settings.

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such, we propose another approach to construct the estimators such that the error can be greatly reduced. The proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased, consistent, and robust through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical testing. Moreover, we compare the power of estimating the causal quantities between the classical estimators and the proposed estimators. The comparison is tested across a wide range of models, including linear regression models, tree-based models, and neural network-based models, under different simulated datasets that exhibit different levels of causality, different degrees of nonlinearity, and different distributional properties. Most importantly, we apply our approaches to a large observational dataset provided by a global technology firm that operates in both the e-commerce and the lending business. We find that the relative reduction of estimation error is strikingly substantial if the causal effects are accounted for correctly.