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Existing statistical methods can estimate a policy, or a mapping from covariates to decisions, which can then instruct decision makers (e.g., whether to administer hypotension treatment based on covariates blood pressure and heart rate). There is great interest in using such data-driven policies in healthcare. However, it is often important to explain to the healthcare provider, and to the patient, how a new policy differs from the current standard of care. This end is facilitated if one can pinpoint the aspects of the policy (i.e., the parameters for blood pressure and heart rate) that change when moving from the standard of care to the new, suggested policy. To this end, we adapt ideas from Trust Region Policy Optimization (TRPO). In our work, however, unlike in TRPO, the difference between the suggested policy and standard of care is required to be sparse, aiding with interpretability. This yields ``relative sparsity," where, as a function of a tuning parameter, $\lambda$, we can approximately control the number of parameters in our suggested policy that differ from their counterparts in the standard of care (e.g., heart rate only). We propose a criterion for selecting $\lambda$, perform simulations, and illustrate our method with a real, observational healthcare dataset, deriving a policy that is easy to explain in the context of the current standard of care. Our work promotes the adoption of data-driven decision aids, which have great potential to improve health outcomes.

With an increased focus on incorporating fairness in machine learning models, it becomes imperative not only to assess and mitigate bias at each stage of the machine learning pipeline but also to understand the downstream impacts of bias across stages. Here we consider a general, but realistic, scenario in which a predictive model is learned from (potentially biased) training data, and model predictions are assessed post-hoc for fairness by some auditing method. We provide a theoretical analysis of how a specific form of data bias, differential sampling bias, propagates from the data stage to the prediction stage. Unlike prior work, we evaluate the downstream impacts of data biases quantitatively rather than qualitatively and prove theoretical guarantees for detection. Under reasonable assumptions, we quantify how the amount of bias in the model predictions varies as a function of the amount of differential sampling bias in the data, and at what point this bias becomes provably detectable by the auditor. Through experiments on two criminal justice datasets -- the well-known COMPAS dataset and historical data from NYPD's stop and frisk policy -- we demonstrate that the theoretical results hold in practice even when our assumptions are relaxed.

Online decision making under uncertainty in partially observable domains, also known as Belief Space Planning, is a fundamental problem in robotics and Artificial Intelligence. Due to an abundance of plausible future unravelings, calculating an optimal course of action inflicts an enormous computational burden on the agent. Moreover, in many scenarios, e.g., information gathering, it is required to introduce a belief-dependent constraint. Prompted by this demand, in this paper, we consider a recently introduced probabilistic belief-dependent constrained POMDP. We present a technique to adaptively accept or discard a candidate action sequence with respect to a probabilistic belief-dependent constraint, before expanding a complete set of future observations samples and without any loss in accuracy. Moreover, using our proposed framework, we contribute an adaptive method to find a maximal feasible return (e.g., information gain) in terms of Value at Risk for the candidate action sequence with substantial acceleration. On top of that, we introduce an adaptive simplification technique for a probabilistically constrained setting. Such an approach provably returns an identical-quality solution while dramatically accelerating online decision making. Our universal framework applies to any belief-dependent constrained continuous POMDP with parametric beliefs, as well as nonparametric beliefs represented by particles. In the context of an information-theoretic constraint, our presented framework stochastically quantifies if a cumulative information gain along the planning horizon is sufficiently significant (e.g. for, information gathering, active SLAM). We apply our method to active SLAM, a highly challenging problem of high dimensional Belief Space Planning. Extensive realistic simulations corroborate the superiority of our proposed ideas.

Deep neural networks have achieved tremendous success due to their representation power and adaptation to low-dimensional structures. Their potential for estimating structured regression functions has been recently established in the literature. However, most of the studies require the input dimension to be fixed and consequently ignore the effect of dimension on the rate of convergence and hamper their applications to modern big data with high dimensionality. In this paper, we bridge this gap by analyzing a $k^{th}$ order nonparametric interaction model in both growing dimension scenarios ($d$ grows with $n$ but at a slower rate) and in high dimension ($d \gtrsim n$). In the latter case, sparsity assumptions and associated regularization are required in order to obtain optimal rates of convergence. A new challenge in diverging dimension setting is in calculation mean-square error, the covariance terms among estimated additive components are an order of magnitude larger than those of the variances and they can deteriorate statistical properties without proper care. We introduce a critical debiasing technique to amend the problem. We show that under certain standard assumptions, debiased deep neural networks achieve a minimax optimal rate both in terms of $(n, d)$. Our proof techniques rely crucially on a novel debiasing technique that makes the covariances of additive components negligible in the mean-square error calculation. In addition, we establish the matching lower bounds.

The goal of survey design is often to minimize the errors associated with inference: the total of bias and variance. Random surveys are common because they allow the use of theoretically unbiased estimators. In practice however, such design-based approaches are often unable to account for logistical or budgetary constraints. Thus, they may result in samples that are logistically inefficient, or infeasible to implement. Various balancing and optimal sampling techniques have been proposed to improve the statistical efficiency of such designs, but few models have attempted to explicitly incorporate logistical and financial constraints. We introduce a mixed integer linear program (MILP) for optimal sampling design, capable of capturing a variety of constraints and a wide class of Bayesian regression models. We demonstrate the use of our model on three spatial sampling problems of increasing complexity, including the real logistics of the US Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis survey of Tanana, Alaska. Our methodological contribution to survey design is significant because the proposed modeling framework makes it possible to generate high-quality sampling designs and inferences while satisfying practical constraints defined by the user. The technical novelty of the method is the explicit integration of Bayesian statistical models in combinatorial optimization. This integration might allow a paradigm shift in spatial sampling under constrained budgets or logistics.

Explainable machine learning provides tools to better understand predictive models and their decisions, but many such methods are limited to producing insights with respect to a single class. When generating explanations for several classes, reasoning over them to obtain a complete view may be difficult since they can present competing or contradictory evidence. To address this issue we introduce a novel paradigm of multi-class explanations. We outline the theory behind such techniques and propose a local surrogate model based on multi-output regression trees -- called LIMEtree -- which offers faithful and consistent explanations of multiple classes for individual predictions while being post-hoc, model-agnostic and data-universal. In addition to strong fidelity guarantees, our implementation supports (interactive) customisation of the explanatory insights and delivers a range of diverse explanation types, including counterfactual statements favoured in the literature. We evaluate our algorithm with a collection of quantitative experiments, a qualitative analysis based on explainability desiderata and a preliminary user study on an image classification task, comparing it to LIME. Our contributions demonstrate the benefits of multi-class explanations and wide-ranging advantages of our method across a diverse set scenarios.

In this paper, we study fast first-order algorithms that approximately solve linear programs (LPs). More specifically, we apply algorithms from online linear programming to offline LPs and derive algorithms that are free of any matrix multiplication. To further improve the applicability of the proposed methods, we propose a variable-duplication technique that achieves $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{mn/K})$ optimality gap by copying each variable $K$ times. Moreover, we identify that online algorithms can be efficiently incorporated into a column generation framework for large-scale LPs. Finally, numerical experiments show that our proposed methods can be applied either as an approximate direct solver or as an initialization subroutine in frameworks of exact LP solving.

Multi-material design optimization problems can, after discretization, be solved by the iterative solution of simpler sub-problems which approximate the original problem at an expansion point to first order. In particular, models constructed from convex separable first order approximations have a long and successful tradition in the design optimization community and have led to powerful optimization tools like the prominently used method of moving asymptotes (MMA). In this paper, we introduce several new separable approximations to a model problem and examine them in terms of accuracy and fast evaluation. The models can, in general, be nonconvex and are based on the Sherman-Morrison-Woodbury matrix identity on the one hand, and on the mathematical concept of topological derivatives on the other hand. We show a surprising relation between two models originating from these two -- at a first sight -- very different concepts. Numerical experiments show a high level of accuracy for two of our proposed models while also their evaluation can be performed efficiently once enough data has been precomputed in an offline phase. Additionally it is demonstrated that suboptimal decisions can be avoided using our most accurate models.

Unsupervised domain adaptation has recently emerged as an effective paradigm for generalizing deep neural networks to new target domains. However, there is still enormous potential to be tapped to reach the fully supervised performance. In this paper, we present a novel active learning strategy to assist knowledge transfer in the target domain, dubbed active domain adaptation. We start from an observation that energy-based models exhibit free energy biases when training (source) and test (target) data come from different distributions. Inspired by this inherent mechanism, we empirically reveal that a simple yet efficient energy-based sampling strategy sheds light on selecting the most valuable target samples than existing approaches requiring particular architectures or computation of the distances. Our algorithm, Energy-based Active Domain Adaptation (EADA), queries groups of targe data that incorporate both domain characteristic and instance uncertainty into every selection round. Meanwhile, by aligning the free energy of target data compact around the source domain via a regularization term, domain gap can be implicitly diminished. Through extensive experiments, we show that EADA surpasses state-of-the-art methods on well-known challenging benchmarks with substantial improvements, making it a useful option in the open world. Code is available at //github.com/BIT-DA/EADA.

With the rapid increase of large-scale, real-world datasets, it becomes critical to address the problem of long-tailed data distribution (i.e., a few classes account for most of the data, while most classes are under-represented). Existing solutions typically adopt class re-balancing strategies such as re-sampling and re-weighting based on the number of observations for each class. In this work, we argue that as the number of samples increases, the additional benefit of a newly added data point will diminish. We introduce a novel theoretical framework to measure data overlap by associating with each sample a small neighboring region rather than a single point. The effective number of samples is defined as the volume of samples and can be calculated by a simple formula $(1-\beta^{n})/(1-\beta)$, where $n$ is the number of samples and $\beta \in [0,1)$ is a hyperparameter. We design a re-weighting scheme that uses the effective number of samples for each class to re-balance the loss, thereby yielding a class-balanced loss. Comprehensive experiments are conducted on artificially induced long-tailed CIFAR datasets and large-scale datasets including ImageNet and iNaturalist. Our results show that when trained with the proposed class-balanced loss, the network is able to achieve significant performance gains on long-tailed datasets.