亚洲男人的天堂2018av,欧美草比,久久久久久免费视频精选,国色天香在线看免费,久久久久亚洲av成人片仓井空

We consider the problem of aggregating the judgements of a group of experts to form a single prior distribution representing the judgements of the group. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical model to reconcile the judgements of the group of experts based on elicited quantiles for continuous quantities and probabilities for one-off events. Previous Bayesian reconciliation methods have not been used widely, if at all, in contrast to pooling methods and consensus-based approaches. To address this we embed Bayesian reconciliation within the probabilistic Delphi method. The result is to furnish the outcome of the probabilistic Delphi method with a direct probabilistic interpretation, with the resulting prior representing the judgements of the decision maker. We can use the rationales from the Delphi process to group the experts for the hierarchical modelling. We illustrate the approach with applications to studies evaluating erosion in embankment dams and pump failures in a water pumping station, and assess the properties of the approach using the TU Delft database of expert judgement studies. We see that, even using an off-the-shelf implementation of the approach, it out-performs individual experts, equal weighting of experts and the classical method based on the log score.

相關內容

Group一直是研究計算機支持的合作工作、人機交互、計算機支持的協作學習和社會技術研究的主要場所。該會議將社會科學、計算機科學、工程、設計、價值觀以及其他與小組工作相關的多個不同主題的工作結合起來,并進行了廣泛的概念化。官網鏈接: · 正則化項 · 線性的 · 周期的 · 粵港澳大灣區數字經濟研究院 ·
2024 年 1 月 15 日

It is well-known that a multilinear system with a nonsingular M-tensor and a positive right-hand side has a unique positive solution. Tensor splitting methods generalizing the classical iterative methods for linear systems have been proposed for finding the unique positive solution. The Alternating Anderson-Richardson (AAR) method is an effective method to accelerate the classical iterative methods. In this study, we apply the idea of AAR for finding the unique positive solution quickly. We first present a tensor Richardson method based on tensor regular splittings, then apply Anderson acceleration to the tensor Richardson method and derive a tensor Anderson-Richardson method, finally, we periodically employ the tensor Anderson-Richardson method within the tensor Richardson method and propose a tensor AAR method. Numerical experiments show that the proposed method is effective in accelerating tensor splitting methods.

We study the relationship between certain Groebner bases for zero dimensional ideals, and the interpolation condition functionals of ideal interpolation. Ideal interpolation is defined by a linear idempotent projector whose kernel is a polynomial ideal. In this paper, we propose the notion of "reverse" complete reduced basis. Based on the notion, we present a fast algorithm to compute the reduced Groebner basis for the kernel of ideal projector under an arbitrary compatible ordering. As an application, we show that knowing the affine variety makes available information concerning the reduced Groebner basis.

The distribution for the minimum of Brownian motion or the Cauchy process is well-known using the reflection principle. Here we consider the problem of finding the sample-by-sample minimum, which we call the online minimum search. We consider the possibility of the golden search method, but we show quantitatively that the bisection method is more efficient. In the bisection method there is a hierarchical parameter, which tunes the depth to which each sub-search is conducted, somewhat similarly to how a depth-first search works to generate a topological ordering on nodes. Finally, we consider the possibility of using harmonic measure, which is a novel idea that has so far been unexplored.

We propose a Lawson-time-splitting extended Fourier pseudospectral (LTSeFP) method for the numerical integration of the Gross-Pitaevskii equation with time-dependent potential that is of low regularity in space. For the spatial discretization of low regularity potential, we use an extended Fourier pseudospectral (eFP) method, i.e., we compute the discrete Fourier transform of the low regularity potential in an extended window. For the temporal discretization, to efficiently implement the eFP method for time-dependent low regularity potential, we combine the standard time-splitting method with a Lawson-type exponential integrator to integrate potential and nonlinearity differently. The LTSeFP method is both accurate and efficient: it achieves first-order convergence in time and optimal-order convergence in space in $L^2$-norm under low regularity potential, while the computational cost is comparable to the standard time-splitting Fourier pseudospectral method. Theoretically, we also prove such convergence orders for a large class of spatially low regularity time-dependent potential. Extensive numerical results are reported to confirm the error estimates and to demonstrate the superiority of our method.

The numerical solution of continuum damage mechanics (CDM) problems suffers from convergence-related challenges during the material softening stage, and consequently existing iterative solvers are subject to a trade-off between computational expense and solution accuracy. In this work, we present a novel unified arc-length (UAL) method, and we derive the formulation of the analytical tangent matrix and governing system of equations for both local and non-local gradient damage problems. Unlike existing versions of arc-length solvers that monolithically scale the external force vector, the proposed method treats the latter as an independent variable and determines the position of the system on the equilibrium path based on all the nodal variations of the external force vector. This approach renders the proposed solver substantially more efficient and robust than existing solvers used in CDM problems. We demonstrate the considerable advantages of the proposed algorithm through several benchmark 1D problems with sharp snap-backs and 2D examples under various boundary conditions and loading scenarios. The proposed UAL approach exhibits a superior ability of overcoming critical increments along the equilibrium path. Moreover, in the presented examples, the proposed UAL method is 1-2 orders of magnitude faster than force-controlled arc-length and monolithic Newton-Raphson solvers.

We consider scalar semilinear elliptic PDEs, where the nonlinearity is strongly monotone, but only locally Lipschitz continuous. To linearize the arising discrete nonlinear problem, we employ a damped Zarantonello iteration, which leads to a linear Poisson-type equation that is symmetric and positive definite. The resulting system is solved by a contractive algebraic solver such as a multigrid method with local smoothing. We formulate a fully adaptive algorithm that equibalances the various error components coming from mesh refinement, iterative linearization, and algebraic solver. We prove that the proposed adaptive iteratively linearized finite element method (AILFEM) guarantees convergence with optimal complexity, where the rates are understood with respect to the overall computational cost (i.e., the computational time). Numerical experiments investigate the involved adaptivity parameters.

Characterizing the solution sets in a problem by closedness under operations is recognized as one of the key aspects of algorithm development, especially in constraint satisfaction. An example from the Boolean satisfiability problem is that the solution set of a Horn conjunctive normal form (CNF) is closed under the minimum operation, and this property implies that minimizing a nonnegative linear function over a Horn CNF can be done in polynomial time. In this paper, we focus on the set of integer points (vectors) in a polyhedron, and study the relation between these sets and closedness under operations from the viewpoint of 2-decomposability. By adding further conditions to the 2-decomposable polyhedra, we show that important classes of sets of integer vectors in polyhedra are characterized by 2-decomposability and closedness under certain operations, and in some classes, by closedness under operations alone. The most prominent result we show is that the set of integer vectors in a unit-two-variable-per-inequality polyhedron can be characterized by closedness under the median and directed discrete midpoint operations, each of these operations was independently considered in constraint satisfaction and discrete convex analysis.

Building robust, interpretable, and secure AI system requires quantifying and representing uncertainty under a probabilistic perspective to mimic human cognitive abilities. However, probabilistic computation presents significant challenges for most conventional artificial neural network, as they are essentially implemented in a deterministic manner. In this paper, we develop an efficient probabilistic computation framework by truncating the probabilistic representation of neural activation up to its mean and covariance and construct a moment neural network that encapsulates the nonlinear coupling between the mean and covariance of the underlying stochastic network. We reveal that when only the mean but not the covariance is supervised during gradient-based learning, the unsupervised covariance spontaneously emerges from its nonlinear coupling with the mean and faithfully captures the uncertainty associated with model predictions. Our findings highlight the inherent simplicity of probabilistic computation by seamlessly incorporating uncertainty into model prediction, paving the way for integrating it into large-scale AI systems.

Nurmuhammad et al. developed the Sinc-Nystr\"{o}m methods for initial value problems in which the solutions exhibit exponential decay end behavior. In these methods, the Single-Exponential (SE) transformation or the Double-Exponential (DE) transformation is combined with the Sinc approximation. Hara and Okayama improved on these transformations to attain a better convergence rate, which was later supported by theoretical error analyses. However, these methods have a computational drawback owing to the inclusion of a special function in the basis functions. To address this issue, Okayama and Hara proposed Sinc-collocation methods, which do not include any special function in the basis functions. This study conducts error analyses of these methods.

The variational quantum algorithms are crucial for the application of NISQ computers. Such algorithms require short quantum circuits, which are more amenable to implementation on near-term hardware, and many such methods have been developed. One of particular interest is the so-called variational quantum state diagonalization method, which constitutes an important algorithmic subroutine and can be used directly to work with data encoded in quantum states. In particular, it can be applied to discern the features of quantum states, such as entanglement properties of a system, or in quantum machine learning algorithms. In this work, we tackle the problem of designing a very shallow quantum circuit, required in the quantum state diagonalization task, by utilizing reinforcement learning (RL). We use a novel encoding method for the RL-state, a dense reward function, and an $\epsilon$-greedy policy to achieve this. We demonstrate that the circuits proposed by the reinforcement learning methods are shallower than the standard variational quantum state diagonalization algorithm and thus can be used in situations where hardware capabilities limit the depth of quantum circuits. The methods we propose in the paper can be readily adapted to address a wide range of variational quantum algorithms.

北京阿比特科技有限公司