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Transfer learning is a popular paradigm for utilizing existing knowledge from previous learning tasks to improve the performance of new ones. It has enjoyed numerous empirical successes and inspired a growing number of theoretical studies. This paper addresses the feasibility issue of transfer learning. It begins by establishing the necessary mathematical concepts and constructing a mathematical framework for transfer learning. It then identifies and formulates the three-step transfer learning procedure as an optimization problem, allowing for the resolution of the feasibility issue. Importantly, it demonstrates that under certain technical conditions, such as appropriate choice of loss functions and data sets, an optimal procedure for transfer learning exists. This study of the feasibility issue brings additional insights into various transfer learning problems. It sheds light on the impact of feature augmentation on model performance, explores potential extensions of domain adaptation, and examines the feasibility of efficient feature extractor transfer in image classification.

Operator convex functions defined on the positive half-line play a prominent role in the theory of quantum information, where they are used to define quantum $f$-divergences. Such functions admit integral representations in terms of rational functions. Obtaining high-quality rational approximants of operator convex functions is particularly useful for solving optimization problems involving quantum $f$-divergences using semidefinite programming. In this paper we study the quality of rational approximations of operator convex (and operator monotone) functions. Our main theoretical results are precise global bounds on the error of local Pad\'e-like approximants, as well as minimax approximants, with respect to different weight functions. While the error of Pad\'e-like approximants depends inverse polynomially on the degree of the approximant, the error of minimax approximants has root exponential dependence and we give detailed estimates of the exponents in both cases. We also explain how minimax approximants can be obtained in practice using the differential correction algorithm.

In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is well-motivated from downstream tasks such as newsvendor cost, the existing methods have been largely heuristic and lack of statistical guarantee in terms of individual calibration. We show via simple examples that the existing methods focusing on population-level calibration guarantees such as average calibration or sharpness can lead to harmful and unexpected results. We propose simple nonparametric calibration methods that are agnostic of the underlying prediction model and enjoy both computational efficiency and statistical consistency. Our approach enables a better understanding of the possibility of individual calibration, and we establish matching upper and lower bounds for the calibration error of our proposed methods. Technically, our analysis combines the nonparametric analysis with a covering number argument for parametric analysis, which advances the existing theoretical analyses in the literature of nonparametric density estimation and quantile bandit problems. Importantly, the nonparametric perspective sheds new theoretical insights into regression calibration in terms of the curse of dimensionality and reconciles the existing results on the impossibility of individual calibration. Numerical experiments show the advantage of such a simple approach under various metrics, and also under covariates shift. We hope our work provides a simple benchmark and a starting point of theoretical ground for future research on regression calibration.

In this paper, we investigate the complexity of feed-forward neural networks by examining the concept of functional equivalence, which suggests that different network parameterizations can lead to the same function. We utilize the permutation invariance property to derive a novel covering number bound for the class of feedforward neural networks, which reveals that the complexity of a neural network can be reduced by exploiting this property. Furthermore, based on the symmetric structure of parameter space, we demonstrate that an appropriate strategy of random parameter initialization can increase the probability of convergence for optimization. We found that overparameterized networks tend to be easier to train in the sense that increasing the width of neural networks leads to a vanishing volume of the effective parameter space. Our findings offer new insights into overparameterization and have significant implications for understanding generalization and optimization in deep learning.

We study the parameterized complexity of MinCSP for so-called equality languages, i.e., for finite languages over an infinite domain such as $\mathbb{N}$, where the relations are defined via first-order formulas whose only predicate is $=$. This is an important class of languages that forms the starting point of all study of infinite-domain CSPs under the commonly used approach pioneered by Bodirsky, i.e., languages defined as reducts of finitely bounded homogeneous structures. Moreover, MinCSP over equality languages forms a natural class of optimisation problems in its own right, covering such problems as Edge Multicut, Steiner Multicut and (under singleton expansion) Edge Multiway Cut. We classify MinCSP$(\Gamma)$ for every finite equality language $\Gamma$, under the natural parameter, as either FPT, W[1]-hard but admitting a constant-factor FPT-approximation, or not admitting a constant-factor FPT-approximation unless FPT=W[2]. In particular, we describe an FPT case that slightly generalises Multicut, and show a constant-factor FPT-approximation for Disjunctive Multicut, the generalisation of Multicut where the ``cut requests'' come as disjunctions over $d = O(1)$ individual cut requests $s_i \neq t_i$. We also consider singleton expansions of equality languages, i.e., enriching an equality language with the capability for assignment constraints $(x=i)$ for either finitely or infinitely many constants $i \in \mathbb{N}$, and fully characterize the complexity of the resulting MinCSP.

We introduce an approach which allows inferring causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Our method builds on the ideas of Granger Causality and Transfer Entropy, but overcomes most of their limitations. Specifically, our approach tests whether the predictability of a putative driven system Y can be improved by incorporating information from a potential driver system X, without making assumptions on the underlying dynamics and without the need to compute probability densities of the dynamic variables. Causality is assessed by a rigorous variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a recently developed statistical test capable of inferring the relative information content of different distance measures. This framework makes causality detection possible even for high-dimensional systems where only few of the variables are known or measured. Benchmark tests on coupled dynamical systems demonstrate that our approach outperforms other model-free causality detection methods, successfully handling both unidirectional and bidirectional couplings, and it is capable of detecting the arrow of time when present. We also show that the method can be used to robustly detect causality in electroencephalography data in humans.

The Expected Normalized Calibration Error (ENCE) is a popular calibration statistic used in Machine Learning to assess the quality of prediction uncertainties for regression problems. Estimation of the ENCE is based on the binning of calibration data. In this short note, I illustrate an annoying property of the ENCE, i.e. its proportionality to the square root of the number of bins for well calibrated or nearly calibrated datasets. A similar behavior affects the calibration error based on the variance of z-scores (ZVE), and in both cases this property is a consequence of the use of a Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) statistic to estimate calibration errors. Hence, the question arises of which number of bins to choose for a reliable estimation of calibration error statistics. A solution is proposed to infer ENCE and ZVE values that do not depend on the number of bins for datasets assumed to be calibrated, providing simultaneously a statistical calibration test. It is also shown that the ZVE is less sensitive than the ENCE to outstanding errors or uncertainties.

The concept of causality plays an important role in human cognition . In the past few decades, causal inference has been well developed in many fields, such as computer science, medicine, economics, and education. With the advancement of deep learning techniques, it has been increasingly used in causal inference against counterfactual data. Typically, deep causal models map the characteristics of covariates to a representation space and then design various objective optimization functions to estimate counterfactual data unbiasedly based on the different optimization methods. This paper focuses on the survey of the deep causal models, and its core contributions are as follows: 1) we provide relevant metrics under multiple treatments and continuous-dose treatment; 2) we incorporate a comprehensive overview of deep causal models from both temporal development and method classification perspectives; 3) we assist a detailed and comprehensive classification and analysis of relevant datasets and source code.

Residual networks (ResNets) have displayed impressive results in pattern recognition and, recently, have garnered considerable theoretical interest due to a perceived link with neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs). This link relies on the convergence of network weights to a smooth function as the number of layers increases. We investigate the properties of weights trained by stochastic gradient descent and their scaling with network depth through detailed numerical experiments. We observe the existence of scaling regimes markedly different from those assumed in neural ODE literature. Depending on certain features of the network architecture, such as the smoothness of the activation function, one may obtain an alternative ODE limit, a stochastic differential equation or neither of these. These findings cast doubts on the validity of the neural ODE model as an adequate asymptotic description of deep ResNets and point to an alternative class of differential equations as a better description of the deep network limit.

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such, we propose another approach to construct the estimators such that the error can be greatly reduced. The proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased, consistent, and robust through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical testing. Moreover, we compare the power of estimating the causal quantities between the classical estimators and the proposed estimators. The comparison is tested across a wide range of models, including linear regression models, tree-based models, and neural network-based models, under different simulated datasets that exhibit different levels of causality, different degrees of nonlinearity, and different distributional properties. Most importantly, we apply our approaches to a large observational dataset provided by a global technology firm that operates in both the e-commerce and the lending business. We find that the relative reduction of estimation error is strikingly substantial if the causal effects are accounted for correctly.