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Robust Markov Decision Processes (RMDPs) are a widely used framework for sequential decision-making under parameter uncertainty. RMDPs have been extensively studied when the objective is to maximize the discounted return, but little is known for average optimality (optimizing the long-run average of the rewards obtained over time) and Blackwell optimality (remaining discount optimal for all discount factors sufficiently close to 1). In this paper, we prove several foundational results for RMDPs beyond the discounted return. We show that average optimal policies can be chosen stationary and deterministic for sa-rectangular RMDPs but, perhaps surprisingly, that history-dependent (Markovian) policies strictly outperform stationary policies for average optimality in s-rectangular RMDPs. We also study Blackwell optimality for sa-rectangular RMDPs, where we show that {\em approximate} Blackwell optimal policies always exist, although Blackwell optimal policies may not exist. We also provide a sufficient condition for their existence, which encompasses virtually any examples from the literature. We then discuss the connection between average and Blackwell optimality, and we describe several algorithms to compute the optimal average return. Interestingly, our approach leverages the connections between RMDPs and stochastic games.

Multiphysics simulations frequently require transferring solution fields between subproblems with non-matching spatial discretizations, typically using interpolation techniques. Standard methods are usually based on measuring the closeness between points by means of the Euclidean distance, which does not account for curvature, cuts, cavities or other non-trivial geometrical or topological features of the domain. This may lead to spurious oscillations in the interpolant in proximity to these features. To overcome this issue, we propose a modification to rescaled localized radial basis function (RL-RBF) interpolation to account for the geometry of the interpolation domain, by yielding conformity and fidelity to geometrical and topological features. The proposed method, referred to as RL-RBF-G, relies on measuring the geodesic distance between data points. RL-RBF-G removes spurious oscillations appearing in the RL-RBF interpolant, resulting in increased accuracy in domains with complex geometries. We demonstrate the effectiveness of RL-RBF-G interpolation through a convergence study in an idealized setting. Furthermore, we discuss the algorithmic aspects and the implementation of RL-RBF-G interpolation in a distributed-memory parallel framework, and present the results of a strong scalability test yielding nearly ideal results. Finally, we show the effectiveness of RL-RBF-G interpolation in multiphysics simulations by considering an application to a whole-heart cardiac electromecanics model.

Chemical and biochemical reactions can exhibit surprisingly different behaviours from multiple steady-state solutions to oscillatory solutions and chaotic behaviours. Such behaviour has been of great interest to researchers for many decades. The Briggs-Rauscher, Belousov-Zhabotinskii and Bray-Liebhafsky reactions, for which periodic variations in concentrations can be visualized by changes in colour, are experimental examples of oscillating behaviour in chemical systems. These type of systems are modelled by a system of partial differential equations coupled by a nonlinearity. However, analysing the pattern, one may suspect that the dynamic is only generated by a finite number of spatial Fourier modes. In fluid dynamics, it is shown that for large times, the solution is determined by a finite number of spatial Fourier modes, called determining modes. In the article, we first introduce the concept of determining modes and show that, indeed, it is sufficient to characterise the dynamic by only a finite number of spatial Fourier modes. In particular, we analyse the exact number of the determining modes of $u$ and $v$, where the couple $(u,v)$ solves the following stochastic system \begin{equation*} \partial_t{u}(t) = r_1\Delta u(t) -\alpha_1u(t)- \gamma_1u(t)v^2(t) + f(1 - u(t)) + g(t),\quad \partial_t{v}(t) = r_2\Delta v(t) -\alpha_2v(t) + \gamma_2 u(t)v^2(t) + h(t),\quad u(0) = u_0,\;v(0) = v_0, \end{equation*} where $r_1,r_2,\gamma_1,\gamma_2>0$, $\alpha_1,\alpha_2 \ge 0$ and $g,h$ are time depending mappings specified later.

This study addresses a class of linear mixed-integer programming (MILP) problems that involve uncertainty in the objective function parameters. The parameters are assumed to form a random vector, whose probability distribution can only be observed through a finite training data set. Unlike most of the related studies in the literature, we also consider uncertainty in the underlying data set. The data uncertainty is described by a set of linear constraints for each random sample, and the uncertainty in the distribution (for a fixed realization of data) is defined using a type-1 Wasserstein ball centered at the empirical distribution of the data. The overall problem is formulated as a three-level distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem. First, we prove that the three-level problem admits a single-level MILP reformulation, if the class of loss functions is restricted to biaffine functions. Secondly, it turns out that for several particular forms of data uncertainty, the outlined problem can be solved reasonably fast by leveraging the nominal MILP problem. Finally, we conduct a computational study, where the out-of-sample performance of our model and computational complexity of the proposed MILP reformulation are explored numerically for several application domains.

In this paper, we propose an RADI-type method for large-scale stochastic continuous-time algebraic Riccati equations with sparse and low-rank structures. The so-called ISC method is developed by using the Incorporation idea together with different Shifts to accelerate the convergence and Compressions to reduce the storage and complexity. Numerical experiments are given to show its efficiency.

Deep learning methods have access to be employed for solving physical systems governed by parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) due to massive scientific data. It has been refined to operator learning that focuses on learning non-linear mapping between infinite-dimensional function spaces, offering interface from observations to solutions. However, state-of-the-art neural operators are limited to constant and uniform discretization, thereby leading to deficiency in generalization on arbitrary discretization schemes for computational domain. In this work, we propose a novel operator learning algorithm, referred to as Dynamic Gaussian Graph Operator (DGGO) that expands neural operators to learning parametric PDEs in arbitrary discrete mechanics problems. The Dynamic Gaussian Graph (DGG) kernel learns to map the observation vectors defined in general Euclidean space to metric vectors defined in high-dimensional uniform metric space. The DGG integral kernel is parameterized by Gaussian kernel weighted Riemann sum approximating and using dynamic message passing graph to depict the interrelation within the integral term. Fourier Neural Operator is selected to localize the metric vectors on spatial and frequency domains. Metric vectors are regarded as located on latent uniform domain, wherein spatial and spectral transformation offer highly regular constraints on solution space. The efficiency and robustness of DGGO are validated by applying it to solve numerical arbitrary discrete mechanics problems in comparison with mainstream neural operators. Ablation experiments are implemented to demonstrate the effectiveness of spatial transformation in the DGG kernel. The proposed method is utilized to forecast stress field of hyper-elastic material with geometrically variable void as engineering application.

Iterated conditional expectation (ICE) g-computation is an estimation approach for addressing time-varying confounding for both longitudinal and time-to-event data. Unlike other g-computation implementations, ICE avoids the need to specify models for each time-varying covariate. For variance estimation, previous work has suggested the bootstrap. However, bootstrapping can be computationally intense and sensitive to the number of resamples used. Here, we present ICE g-computation as a set of stacked estimating equations. Therefore, the variance for the ICE g-computation estimator can be consistently estimated using the empirical sandwich variance estimator. Performance of the variance estimator was evaluated empirically with a simulation study. The proposed approach is also demonstrated with an illustrative example on the effect of cigarette smoking on the prevalence of hypertension. In the simulation study, the empirical sandwich variance estimator appropriately estimated the variance. When comparing runtimes between the sandwich variance estimator and the bootstrap for the applied example, the sandwich estimator was substantially faster, even when bootstraps were run in parallel. The empirical sandwich variance estimator is a viable option for variance estimation with ICE g-computation.

We introduce a causal regularisation extension to anchor regression (AR) for improved out-of-distribution (OOD) generalisation. We present anchor-compatible losses, aligning with the anchor framework to ensure robustness against distribution shifts. Various multivariate analysis (MVA) algorithms, such as (Orthonormalized) PLS, RRR, and MLR, fall within the anchor framework. We observe that simple regularisation enhances robustness in OOD settings. Estimators for selected algorithms are provided, showcasing consistency and efficacy in synthetic and real-world climate science problems. The empirical validation highlights the versatility of anchor regularisation, emphasizing its compatibility with MVA approaches and its role in enhancing replicability while guarding against distribution shifts. The extended AR framework advances causal inference methodologies, addressing the need for reliable OOD generalisation.

The fundamental computational issues in Bayesian inverse problems (BIP) governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) stem from the requirement of repeated forward model evaluations. A popular strategy to reduce such costs is to replace expensive model simulations with computationally efficient approximations using operator learning, motivated by recent progress in deep learning. However, using the approximated model directly may introduce a modeling error, exacerbating the already ill-posedness of inverse problems. Thus, balancing between accuracy and efficiency is essential for the effective implementation of such approaches. To this end, we develop an adaptive operator learning framework that can reduce modeling error gradually by forcing the surrogate to be accurate in local areas. This is accomplished by adaptively fine-tuning the pre-trained approximate model with train- ing points chosen by a greedy algorithm during the posterior computational process. To validate our approach, we use DeepOnet to construct the surrogate and unscented Kalman inversion (UKI) to approximate the BIP solution, respectively. Furthermore, we present a rigorous convergence guarantee in the linear case using the UKI framework. The approach is tested on a number of benchmarks, including the Darcy flow, the heat source inversion problem, and the reaction-diffusion problem. The numerical results show that our method can significantly reduce computational costs while maintaining inversion accuracy.

We derive information-theoretic generalization bounds for supervised learning algorithms based on the information contained in predictions rather than in the output of the training algorithm. These bounds improve over the existing information-theoretic bounds, are applicable to a wider range of algorithms, and solve two key challenges: (a) they give meaningful results for deterministic algorithms and (b) they are significantly easier to estimate. We show experimentally that the proposed bounds closely follow the generalization gap in practical scenarios for deep learning.