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In this paper we propose an estimator of spot covariance matrix which ensure symmetric positive semi-definite estimations. The proposed estimator relies on a suitable modification of the Fourier covariance estimator in Malliavin and Mancino (2009) and it is consistent for suitable choices of the weighting kernel. The accuracy and the ability of the estimator to produce positive semi-definite covariance matrices is evaluated with an extensive numerical study, in comparison with the competitors present in the literature. The results of the simulation study are confirmed under many scenarios, that consider the dimensionality of the problem, the asynchronicity of data and the presence of several specification of market microstructure noise.

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We propose a new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, called $k$-polar slice sampling ($k$-PSS), as a technical tool that interpolates between and extrapolates beyond uniform and polar slice sampling. By examining Wasserstein contraction rates and spectral gaps of $k$-PSS, we obtain strong quantitative results regarding its performance for different kinds of target distributions. Because $k$-PSS contains uniform and polar slice sampling as special cases, our results significantly advance the theoretical understanding of both of these methods. In particular, we prove realistic estimates of the convergence rates of uniform slice sampling for arbitrary multivariate Gaussian distributions on the one hand, and near-arbitrary multivariate t-distributions on the other. Furthermore, our results suggest that for heavy-tailed distributions, polar slice sampling performs dimension-independently well, whereas uniform slice sampling suffers a rather strong curse of dimensionality.

Score-based generative models are a popular class of generative modelling techniques relying on stochastic differential equations (SDE). From their inception, it was realized that it was also possible to perform generation using ordinary differential equations (ODE) rather than SDE. This led to the introduction of the probability flow ODE approach and denoising diffusion implicit models. Flow matching methods have recently further extended these ODE-based approaches and approximate a flow between two arbitrary probability distributions. Previous work derived bounds on the approximation error of diffusion models under the stochastic sampling regime, given assumptions on the $L^2$ loss. We present error bounds for the flow matching procedure using fully deterministic sampling, assuming an $L^2$ bound on the approximation error and a certain regularity condition on the data distributions.

Modal parameter estimation of operational structures is often a challenging task when confronted with unwanted distortions (outliers) in field measurements. Atypical observations present a problem to operational modal analysis (OMA) algorithms, such as stochastic subspace identification (SSI), severely biasing parameter estimates and resulting in misidentification of the system. Despite this predicament, no simple mechanism currently exists capable of dealing with such anomalies in SSI. Addressing this problem, this paper first introduces a novel probabilistic formulation of stochastic subspace identification (Prob-SSI), realised using probabilistic projections. Mathematically, the equivalence between this model and the classic algorithm is demonstrated. This fresh perspective, viewing SSI as a problem in probabilistic inference, lays the necessary mathematical foundation to enable a plethora of new, more sophisticated OMA approaches. To this end, a statistically robust SSI algorithm (robust Prob-SSI) is developed, capable of providing a principled and automatic way of handling outlying or anomalous data in the measured timeseries, such as may occur in field recordings, e.g. intermittent sensor dropout. Robust Prob-SSI is shown to outperform conventional SSI when confronted with 'corrupted' data, exhibiting improved identification performance and higher levels of confidence in the found poles when viewing consistency (stabilisation) diagrams. Similar benefits are also demonstrated on the Z24 Bridge benchmark dataset, highlighting enhanced performance on measured systems.

In this paper, several row and column orthogonal projection methods are proposed for solving matrix equation $AXB=C$, where the matrix $A$ and $B$ are full rank or rank deficient and equation is consistent or not. These methods are iterative methods without matrix multiplication. It is theoretically proved these methods converge to the solution or least-squares solution of the matrix equation. Numerical results show that these methods are more efficient than iterative methods involving matrix multiplication for high-dimensional matrix.

This paper introduces a matrix quantile factor model for matrix-valued data with a low-rank structure. We estimate the row and column factor spaces via minimizing the empirical check loss function over all panels. We show the estimates converge at rate $1/\min\{\sqrt{p_1p_2}, \sqrt{p_2T},$ $\sqrt{p_1T}\}$ in average Frobenius norm, where $p_1$, $p_2$ and $T$ are the row dimensionality, column dimensionality and length of the matrix sequence. This rate is faster than that of the quantile estimates via ``flattening" the matrix model into a large vector model. Smoothed estimates are given and their central limit theorems are derived under some mild condition. We provide three consistent criteria to determine the pair of row and column factor numbers. Extensive simulation studies and an empirical study justify our theory.

A novel algorithm for the computation of the quadratic numerical range is presented and exemplified yielding much better results in less time compared to the random vector sampling method. Furthermore, a bound on the probability for the random vector sampling method to produce a point exceeding a neighborhood of the expectation value in dependence on norm and size of the matrix is given.

This paper introduces the application of the weak Galerkin (WG) finite element method to solve the Steklov eigenvalue problem, focusing on obtaining lower bounds of the eigenvalues. The noncomforming finite element space of the weak Galerkin finite element method is the key to obtain lower bounds of the eigenvalues. The arbitary high order lower bound estimates are given and the guaranteed lower bounds of the eigenvalues are also discussed. Numerical results demonstrate the accuracy and lower bound property of the numerical scheme.

When dealing with electro or magnetoencephalography records, many supervised prediction tasks are solved by working with covariance matrices to summarize the signals. Learning with these matrices requires using Riemanian geometry to account for their structure. In this paper, we propose a new method to deal with distributions of covariance matrices and demonstrate its computational efficiency on M/EEG multivariate time series. More specifically, we define a Sliced-Wasserstein distance between measures of symmetric positive definite matrices that comes with strong theoretical guarantees. Then, we take advantage of its properties and kernel methods to apply this distance to brain-age prediction from MEG data and compare it to state-of-the-art algorithms based on Riemannian geometry. Finally, we show that it is an efficient surrogate to the Wasserstein distance in domain adaptation for Brain Computer Interface applications.

The moment-sum-of-squares (moment-SOS) hierarchy is one of the most celebrated and widely applied methods for approximating the minimum of an n-variate polynomial over a feasible region defined by polynomial (in)equalities. A key feature of the hierarchy is that, at a fixed level, it can be formulated as a semidefinite program of size polynomial in the number of variables n. Although this suggests that it may therefore be computed in polynomial time, this is not necessarily the case. Indeed, as O'Donnell (2017) and later Raghavendra & Weitz (2017) show, there exist examples where the sos-representations used in the hierarchy have exponential bit-complexity. We study the computational complexity of the moment-SOS hierarchy, complementing and expanding upon earlier work of Raghavendra & Weitz (2017). In particular, we establish algebraic and geometric conditions under which polynomial-time computation is guaranteed to be possible.

This paper deals with the problem of efficient sampling from a stochastic differential equation, given the drift function and the diffusion matrix. The proposed approach leverages a recent model for probabilities \cite{rudi2021psd} (the positive semi-definite -- PSD model) from which it is possible to obtain independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples at precision $\varepsilon$ with a cost that is $m^2 d \log(1/\varepsilon)$ where $m$ is the dimension of the model, $d$ the dimension of the space. The proposed approach consists in: first, computing the PSD model that satisfies the Fokker-Planck equation (or its fractional variant) associated with the SDE, up to error $\varepsilon$, and then sampling from the resulting PSD model. Assuming some regularity of the Fokker-Planck solution (i.e. $\beta$-times differentiability plus some geometric condition on its zeros) We obtain an algorithm that: (a) in the preparatory phase obtains a PSD model with L2 distance $\varepsilon$ from the solution of the equation, with a model of dimension $m = \varepsilon^{-(d+1)/(\beta-2s)} (\log(1/\varepsilon))^{d+1}$ where $1/2\leq s\leq1$ is the fractional power to the Laplacian, and total computational complexity of $O(m^{3.5} \log(1/\varepsilon))$ and then (b) for Fokker-Planck equation, it is able to produce i.i.d.\ samples with error $\varepsilon$ in Wasserstein-1 distance, with a cost that is $O(d \varepsilon^{-2(d+1)/\beta-2} \log(1/\varepsilon)^{2d+3})$ per sample. This means that, if the probability associated with the SDE is somewhat regular, i.e. $\beta \geq 4d+2$, then the algorithm requires $O(\varepsilon^{-0.88} \log(1/\varepsilon)^{4.5d})$ in the preparatory phase, and $O(\varepsilon^{-1/2}\log(1/\varepsilon)^{2d+2})$ for each sample. Our results suggest that as the true solution gets smoother, we can circumvent the curse of dimensionality without requiring any sort of convexity.

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