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We study a class of orbit recovery problems in which we observe independent copies of an unknown element of $\mathbb{R}^p$, each linearly acted upon by a random element of some group (such as $\mathbb{Z}/p$ or $\mathrm{SO}(3)$) and then corrupted by additive Gaussian noise. We prove matching upper and lower bounds on the number of samples required to approximately recover the group orbit of this unknown element with high probability. These bounds, based on quantitative techniques in invariant theory, give a precise correspondence between the statistical difficulty of the estimation problem and algebraic properties of the group. Furthermore, we give computer-assisted procedures to certify these properties that are computationally efficient in many cases of interest. The model is motivated by geometric problems in signal processing, computer vision, and structural biology, and applies to the reconstruction problem in cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM), a problem of significant practical interest. Our results allow us to verify (for a given problem size) that if cryo-EM images are corrupted by noise with variance $\sigma^2$, the number of images required to recover the molecule structure scales as $\sigma^6$. We match this bound with a novel (albeit computationally expensive) algorithm for ab initio reconstruction in cryo-EM, based on invariant features of degree at most 3. We further discuss how to recover multiple molecular structures from mixed (or heterogeneous) cryo-EM samples.

In this work we propose an extension of physics informed supervised learning strategies to parametric partial differential equations. Indeed, even if the latter are indisputably useful in many applications, they can be computationally expensive most of all in a real-time and many-query setting. Thus, our main goal is to provide a physics informed learning paradigm to simulate parametrized phenomena in a small amount of time. The physics information will be exploited in many ways, in the loss function (standard physics informed neural networks), as an augmented input (extra feature employment) and as a guideline to build an effective structure for the neural network (physics informed architecture). These three aspects, combined together, will lead to a faster training phase and to a more accurate parametric prediction. The methodology has been tested for several equations and also in an optimal control framework.

Prevalent deterministic deep-learning models suffer from significant over-confidence under distribution shifts. Probabilistic approaches can reduce this problem but struggle with computational efficiency. In this paper, we propose Density-Softmax, a fast and lightweight deterministic method to improve calibrated uncertainty estimation via a combination of density function with the softmax layer. By using the latent representation's likelihood value, our approach produces more uncertain predictions when test samples are distant from the training samples. Theoretically, we show that Density-Softmax can produce high-quality uncertainty estimation with neural networks, as it is the solution of minimax uncertainty risk and is distance-aware, thus reducing the over-confidence of the standard softmax. Empirically, our method enjoys similar computational efficiency as a single forward pass deterministic with standard softmax on the shifted toy, vision, and language datasets across modern deep-learning architectures. Notably, Density-Softmax uses 4 times fewer parameters than Deep Ensembles and 6 times lower latency than Rank-1 Bayesian Neural Network, while obtaining competitive predictive performance and lower calibration errors under distribution shifts.

Pini and Vantini (2017) introduced the interval-wise testing procedure which performs local inference for functional data defined on an interval domain, where the output is an adjusted p-value function that controls for type I errors. We extend this idea to a general setting where domain is a Riemannian manifolds. This requires new methodology such as how to define adjustment sets on product manifolds and how to approximate the test statistic when the domain has non-zero curvature. We propose to use permutation tests for inference and apply the procedure in three settings: a simulation on a "chameleon-shaped" manifold and two applications related to climate change where the manifolds are a complex subset of $S^2$ and $S^2 \times S^1$, respectively. We note the tradeoff between type I and type II errors: increasing the adjustment set reduces the type I error but also results in smaller areas of significance. However, some areas still remain significant even at maximal adjustment.

In this work we propose tailored model order reduction for varying boundary optimal control problems governed by parametric partial differential equations. With varying boundary control, we mean that a specific parameter changes where the boundary control acts on the system. This peculiar formulation might benefit from model order reduction. Indeed, fast and reliable simulations of this model can be of utmost usefulness in many applied fields, such as geophysics and energy engineering. However, varying boundary control features very complicated and diversified parametric behaviour for the state and adjoint variables. The state solution, for example, changing the boundary control parameter, might feature transport phenomena. Moreover, the problem loses its affine structure. It is well known that classical model order reduction techniques fail in this setting, both in accuracy and in efficiency. Thus, we propose reduced approaches inspired by the ones used when dealing with wave-like phenomena. Indeed, we compare standard proper orthogonal decomposition with two tailored strategies: geometric recasting and local proper orthogonal decomposition. Geometric recasting solves the optimization system in a reference domain simplifying the problem at hand avoiding hyper-reduction, while local proper orthogonal decomposition builds local bases to increase the accuracy of the reduced solution in very general settings (where geometric recasting is unfeasible). We compare the various approaches on two different numerical experiments based on geometries of increasing complexity.

We present a distribution optimization framework that significantly improves confidence bounds for various risk measures compared to previous methods. Our framework encompasses popular risk measures such as the entropic risk measure, conditional value at risk (CVaR), spectral risk measure, distortion risk measure, equivalent certainty, and rank-dependent expected utility, which are well established in risk-sensitive decision-making literature. To achieve this, we introduce two estimation schemes based on concentration bounds derived from the empirical distribution, specifically using either the Wasserstein distance or the supremum distance. Unlike traditional approaches that add or subtract a confidence radius from the empirical risk measures, our proposed schemes evaluate a specific transformation of the empirical distribution based on the distance. Consequently, our confidence bounds consistently yield tighter results compared to previous methods. We further verify the efficacy of the proposed framework by providing tighter problem-dependent regret bound for the CVaR bandit.

We study the fundamental problem of sampling independent events, called subset sampling. Specifically, consider a set of $n$ events $S=\{x_1, \ldots, x_n\}$, where each event $x_i$ has an associated probability $p(x_i)$. The subset sampling problem aims to sample a subset $T \subseteq S$, such that every $x_i$ is independently included in $S$ with probability $p_i$. A naive solution is to flip a coin for each event, which takes $O(n)$ time. However, the specific goal is to develop data structures that allow drawing a sample in time proportional to the expected output size $\mu=\sum_{i=1}^n p(x_i)$, which can be significantly smaller than $n$ in many applications. The subset sampling problem serves as an important building block in many tasks and has been the subject of various research for more than a decade. However, most of the existing subset sampling approaches are conducted in a static setting, where the events or their associated probability in set $S$ is not allowed to be changed over time. These algorithms incur either large query time or update time in a dynamic setting despite the ubiquitous time-evolving events with changing probability in real life. Therefore, it is a pressing need, but still, an open problem, to design efficient dynamic subset sampling algorithms. In this paper, we propose ODSS, the first optimal dynamic subset sampling algorithm. The expected query time and update time of ODSS are both optimal, matching the lower bounds of the subset sampling problem. We present a nontrivial theoretical analysis to demonstrate the superiority of ODSS. We also conduct comprehensive experiments to empirically evaluate the performance of ODSS. Moreover, we apply ODSS to a concrete application: influence maximization. We empirically show that our ODSS can improve the complexities of existing influence maximization algorithms on large real-world evolving social networks.

Unsupervised domain adaptation is critical to many real-world applications where label information is unavailable in the target domain. In general, without further assumptions, the joint distribution of the features and the label is not identifiable in the target domain. To address this issue, we rely on the property of minimal changes of causal mechanisms across domains to minimize unnecessary influences of distribution shifts. To encode this property, we first formulate the data-generating process using a latent variable model with two partitioned latent subspaces: invariant components whose distributions stay the same across domains and sparse changing components that vary across domains. We further constrain the domain shift to have a restrictive influence on the changing components. Under mild conditions, we show that the latent variables are partially identifiable, from which it follows that the joint distribution of data and labels in the target domain is also identifiable. Given the theoretical insights, we propose a practical domain adaptation framework called iMSDA. Extensive experimental results reveal that iMSDA outperforms state-of-the-art domain adaptation algorithms on benchmark datasets, demonstrating the effectiveness of our framework.

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate low-dimensional functionals of interest without being restricted by the holistic Bayesian formalism. Starting from a conventional nonparametric posterior, we target the functional of interest by transforming the entire distribution with a Bayesian bootstrap correction. We provide conditions for the resulting $\textit{one-step posterior}$ to possess calibrated frequentist properties and specialize the results for several canonical examples: the integrated squared density, the mean of a missing-at-random outcome, and the average causal treatment effect on the treated. The procedure is computationally attractive, requiring only a simple, efficient post-processing step that can be attached onto any arbitrary posterior sampling algorithm. Using the ACIC 2016 causal data analysis competition, we illustrate that our approach can outperform the existing state-of-the-art through the propagation of Bayesian uncertainty.

We consider the problem of estimating (diagonally dominant) M-matrices as precision matrices in Gaussian graphical models. These models exhibit intriguing properties, such as the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator with merely two observations for M-matrices \citep{lauritzen2019maximum,slawski2015estimation} and even one observation for diagonally dominant M-matrices \citep{truell2021maximum}. We propose an adaptive multiple-stage estimation method that refines the estimate by solving a weighted $\ell_1$-regularized problem at each stage. Furthermore, we develop a unified framework based on the gradient projection method to solve the regularized problem, incorporating distinct projections to handle the constraints of M-matrices and diagonally dominant M-matrices. A theoretical analysis of the estimation error is provided. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in precision matrix estimation and graph edge identification, as evidenced by synthetic and financial time-series data sets.