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Socio-economic constructs and urban topology are crucial drivers of human mobility patterns. During the COVID-19 pandemic, these patterns were re-shaped in their components: the spatial dimension represented by the daily travelled distance, and the temporal dimension expressed as the synchronisation time of commuting routines. Leveraging location-based data from de-identified mobile phone users, we observed that during lockdowns restrictions, the decrease of spatial mobility is interwoven with the emergence of asynchronous mobility dynamics. The lifting of restriction in urban mobility allowed a faster recovery of the spatial dimension compared to the temporal one. Moreover, the recovery in mobility was different depending on urbanisation levels and economic stratification. In rural and low-income areas, the spatial mobility dimension suffered a more significant disruption when compared to urbanised and high-income areas. In contrast, the temporal dimension was more affected in urbanised and high-income areas than in rural and low-income areas.

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Building on the success of PC-JeDi we introduce PC-Droid, a substantially improved diffusion model for the generation of jet particle clouds. By leveraging a new diffusion formulation, studying more recent integration solvers, and training on all jet types simultaneously, we are able to achieve state-of-the-art performance for all types of jets across all evaluation metrics. We study the trade-off between generation speed and quality by comparing two attention based architectures, as well as the potential of consistency distillation to reduce the number of diffusion steps. Both the faster architecture and consistency models demonstrate performance surpassing many competing models, with generation time up to two orders of magnitude faster than PC-JeDi and three orders of magnitude faster than Delphes.

One major problem in the study of numerical semigroups is determining the growth of the semigroup tree. In the present work, infinite chains of numerical semigroups in the semigroup tree, firstly introduced in Bras-Amor\'os and Nulygin (2009), are studied. Computational results show that these chains are rare, but without them the tree would not be infinite. It is proved that for each genus $g\geq 5$ there are more semigroups of that genus not belonging to infinite chains than semigroups belonging. The reference Bras-Amor\'os and Bulygin (2009) presented a characterization of the semigroups that belong to infinite chains in terms of the coprimality of the left elements of the semigroup as well as a result on the cardinality of the set of infinite chains to which a numerical semigroup belongs in terms of the primality of the greatest common divisor of these left elements. We revisit these results and fix an imprecision on the cardinality of the set of infinite chains to which a semigroup belongs in the case when the greatest common divisor of the left elements is a prime number. We then look at infinite chains in subtrees with fixed multiplicity. When the multiplicity is a prime number there is only one infinite chain in the tree of semigroups with such multiplicity. When the multpliplicity is $4$ or $6$ we prove a self-replication behavior in the subtree and prove a formula for the number of semigroups in infinite chains of a given genus and multiplicity $4$ and $6$, respectively.

The Weyl pseudo-metric is a shift-invariant pseudo-metric over the set of infinite sequences, that enjoys interesting properties and is suitable for studying the dynamics of cellular automata. It corresponds to the asymptotic behavior of the Hamming distance on longer and longer subwords. In this paper we characterize well-defined dill maps (which are a generalization of cellular automata and substitutions) in the Weyl space and the sliding Feldman-Katok space where the Hamming distance appearing in the Weyl pseudo-metrics is replaced by the Levenshtein distance.

The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i) infer the dynamics of unobserved (hidden) chaotic variables (full-state reconstruction); (ii) time forecast the evolution of the full state; and (iii) infer the stability properties of the full state. The tasks are performed with long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, which are trained with observations (data) limited to only part of the state: (i) the low-to-high resolution LSTM (LH-LSTM), which takes partial observations as training input, and requires access to the full system state when computing the loss; and (ii) the physics-informed LSTM (PI-LSTM), which is designed to combine partial observations with the integral formulation of the dynamical system's evolution equations. First, we derive the Jacobian of the LSTMs. Second, we analyse a chaotic partial differential equation, the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky (KS), and the Lorenz-96 system. We show that the proposed networks can forecast the hidden variables, both time-accurately and statistically. The Lyapunov exponents and covariant Lyapunov vectors, which characterize the stability of the chaotic attractors, are correctly inferred from partial observations. Third, the PI-LSTM outperforms the LH-LSTM by successfully reconstructing the hidden chaotic dynamics when the input dimension is smaller or similar to the Kaplan-Yorke dimension of the attractor. This work opens new opportunities for reconstructing the full state, inferring hidden variables, and computing the stability of chaotic systems from partial data.

Exploring the spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19 transmission and its potential determinants could provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of disease spread. This study aims to investigate the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19 infection rate in England, and examine its associations with socioeconomic, demographic and environmental risk factors. Using weekly reported COVID-19 cases from 7 March 2020 to 26 March 2022 at Middle Layer Super Output Area (MSOA) level in mainland England, we developed a Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal model to predict the COVID-19 infection rates and investigate the influencing factors. The analysis showed that our model outperformed the ordinary least squares (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models in terms of prediction accuracy. The results showed that the spread of COVID-19 infection rates over space and time was heterogeneous. Hotspots of infection rate exhibited inconsistent clustered patterns over time. Among the selected risk factors, the annual household income, unemployment rate, population density, percentage of Caribbean population, percentage of adults aged 45-64 years old, and particulate matter concentrations were found to be positively associated with the COVID-19 infection rate. The findings assist policymakers in developing tailored public health interventions for COVID-19 prevention and control.

This paper focuses on investigating the density convergence of a fully discrete finite difference method when applied to numerically solve the stochastic Cahn--Hilliard equation driven by multiplicative space-time white noises. The main difficulty lies in the control of the drift coefficient that is neither globally Lipschitz nor one-sided Lipschitz. To handle this difficulty, we propose a novel localization argument and derive the strong convergence rate of the numerical solution to estimate the total variation distance between the exact and numerical solutions. This along with the existence of the density of the numerical solution finally yields the convergence of density in $L^1(\mathbb{R})$ of the numerical solution. Our results partially answer positively to the open problem emerged in [J. Cui and J. Hong, J. Differential Equations (2020)] on computing the density of the exact solution numerically.

A population-averaged additive subdistribution hazards model is proposed to assess the marginal effects of covariates on the cumulative incidence function and to analyze correlated failure time data subject to competing risks. This approach extends the population-averaged additive hazards model by accommodating potentially dependent censoring due to competing events other than the event of interest. Assuming an independent working correlation structure, an estimating equations approach is outlined to estimate the regression coefficients and a new sandwich variance estimator is proposed. The proposed sandwich variance estimator accounts for both the correlations between failure times and between the censoring times, and is robust to misspecification of the unknown dependency structure within each cluster. We further develop goodness-of-fit tests to assess the adequacy of the additive structure of the subdistribution hazards for the overall model and each covariate. Simulation studies are conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed methods in finite samples. We illustrate our methods using data from the STrategies to Reduce Injuries and Develop confidence in Elders (STRIDE) trial.

We consider the fundamental task of optimizing a real-valued function defined in a potentially high-dimensional Euclidean space, such as the loss function in many machine-learning tasks or the logarithm of the probability distribution in statistical inference. We use the warped Riemannian geometry notions to redefine the optimisation problem of a function on Euclidean space to a Riemannian manifold with a warped metric, and then find the function's optimum along this manifold. The warped metric chosen for the search domain induces a computational friendly metric-tensor for which optimal search directions associate with geodesic curves on the manifold becomes easier to compute. Performing optimization along geodesics is known to be generally infeasible, yet we show that in this specific manifold we can analytically derive Taylor approximations up to third-order. In general these approximations to the geodesic curve will not lie on the manifold, however we construct suitable retraction maps to pull them back onto the manifold. Therefore, we can efficiently optimize along the approximate geodesic curves. We cover the related theory, describe a practical optimization algorithm and empirically evaluate it on a collection of challenging optimisation benchmarks. Our proposed algorithm, using third-order approximation of geodesics, outperforms standard Euclidean gradient-based counterparts in term of number of iterations until convergence and an alternative method for Hessian-based optimisation routines.

We propose a generalization of nonlinear stability of numerical one-step integrators to Riemannian manifolds in the spirit of Butcher's notion of B-stability. Taking inspiration from Simpson-Porco and Bullo, we introduce non-expansive systems on such manifolds and define B-stability of integrators. In this first exposition, we provide concrete results for a geodesic version of the Implicit Euler (GIE) scheme. We prove that the GIE method is B-stable on Riemannian manifolds with non-positive sectional curvature. We show through numerical examples that the GIE method is expansive when applied to a certain non-expansive vector field on the 2-sphere, and that the GIE method does not necessarily possess a unique solution for large enough step sizes. Finally, we derive a new improved global error estimate for general Lie group integrators.

This research aims to develop kernel GNG, a kernelized version of the growing neural gas (GNG) algorithm, and to investigate the features of the networks generated by the kernel GNG. The GNG is an unsupervised artificial neural network that can transform a dataset into an undirected graph, thereby extracting the features of the dataset as a graph. The GNG is widely used in vector quantization, clustering, and 3D graphics. Kernel methods are often used to map a dataset to feature space, with support vector machines being the most prominent application. This paper introduces the kernel GNG approach and explores the characteristics of the networks generated by kernel GNG. Five kernels, including Gaussian, Laplacian, Cauchy, inverse multiquadric, and log kernels, are used in this study.

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