Ordinal optimization (OO) is a widely-studied technique for optimizing discrete-event dynamic systems (DEDS). It evaluates the performance of the system designs in a finite set by sampling and aims to correctly make ordinal comparison of the designs. A well-known method in OO is the optimal computing budget allocation (OCBA). It builds the optimality conditions for the number of samples allocated to each design, and the sample allocation that satisfies the optimality conditions is shown to asymptotically maximize the probability of correct selection for the best design. In this paper, we investigate two popular OCBA algorithms. With known variances for samples of each design, we characterize their convergence rates with respect to different performance measures. We first demonstrate that the two OCBA algorithms achieve the optimal convergence rate under measures of probability of correct selection and expected opportunity cost. It fills the void of convergence analysis for OCBA algorithms. Next, we extend our analysis to the measure of cumulative regret, a main measure studied in the field of machine learning. We show that with minor modification, the two OCBA algorithms can reach the optimal convergence rate under cumulative regret. It indicates the potential of broader use of algorithms designed based on the OCBA optimality conditions.
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Researchers have widely used exploratory factor analysis (EFA) to learn the latent structure underlying multivariate data. Rotation and regularised estimation are two classes of methods in EFA that they often use to find interpretable loading matrices. In this paper we propose a new family of oblique rotations based on component-wise $L^p$ loss functions $(0 < p\leq 1)$ that is closely related to an $L^p$ regularised estimator. We develop model selection and post-selection inference procedures based on the proposed rotation method. When the true loading matrix is sparse, the proposed method tends to outperform traditional rotation and regularised estimation methods in terms of statistical accuracy and computational cost. Since the proposed loss functions are nonsmooth, we develop an iteratively reweighted gradient projection algorithm for solving the optimisation problem. We also develop theoretical results that establish the statistical consistency of the estimation, model selection, and post-selection inference. We evaluate the proposed method and compare it with regularised estimation and traditional rotation methods via simulation studies. We further illustrate it using an application to the Big Five personality assessment.
The computation of the distance of two time series is time-consuming for any elastic distance function that accounts for misalignments. Among those functions, DTW is the most prominent. However, a recent extensive evaluation has shown that the move-split merge (MSM) metric is superior to DTW regarding the analytical accuracy of the 1-NN classifier. Unfortunately, the running time of the standard dynamic programming algorithm for MSM distance computation is $\Omega(n^2)$, where $n$ is the length of the longest time series. In this paper, we provide approaches to reducing the cost of MSM distance computations by using lower and upper bounds for early pruning paths in the underlying dynamic programming table. For the case of one time series being a constant, we present a linear-time algorithm. In addition, we propose new linear-time heuristics and adapt heuristics known from DTW to computing the MSM distance. One heuristic employs the metric property of MSM and the previously introduced linear-time algorithm. Our experimental studies demonstrate substantial speed-ups in our approaches compared to previous MSM algorithms. In particular, the running time for MSM is faster than a state-of-the-art DTW distance computation for a majority of the popular UCR data sets.
The paper tackles the problem of clustering multiple networks, that do not share the same set of vertices, into groups of networks with similar topology. A statistical model-based approach based on a finite mixture of stochastic block models is proposed. A clustering is obtained by maximizing the integrated classification likelihood criterion. This is done by a hierarchical agglomerative algorithm, that starts from singleton clusters and successively merges clusters of networks. As such, a sequence of nested clusterings is computed that can be represented by a dendrogram providing valuable insights on the collection of networks. Using a Bayesian framework, model selection is performed in an automated way since the algorithm stops when the best number of clusters is attained. The algorithm is computationally efficient, when carefully implemented. The aggregation of groups of networks requires a means to overcome the label-switching problem of the stochastic block model and to match the block labels of the graphs. To address this problem, a new tool is proposed based on a comparison of the graphons of the associated stochastic block models. The clustering approach is assessed on synthetic data. An application to a collection of ecological networks illustrates the interpretability of the obtained results.
An informative measurement is the most efficient way to gain information about an unknown state. We present a first-principles derivation of a general-purpose dynamic programming algorithm that returns an optimal sequence of informative measurements by sequentially maximizing the entropy of possible measurement outcomes. This algorithm can be used by an autonomous agent or robot to decide where best to measure next, planning a path corresponding to an optimal sequence of informative measurements. The algorithm is applicable to states and controls that are either continuous or discrete, and agent dynamics that is either stochastic or deterministic; including Markov decision processes and Gaussian processes. Recent results from the fields of approximate dynamic programming and reinforcement learning, including on-line approximations such as rollout and Monte Carlo tree search, allow the measurement task to be solved in real time. The resulting solutions include non-myopic paths and measurement sequences that can generally outperform, sometimes substantially, commonly used greedy approaches. This is demonstrated for a global search task, where on-line planning for a sequence of local searches is found to reduce the number of measurements in the search by approximately half. A variant of the algorithm is derived for Gaussian processes for active sensing.
Energy modelling can enable energy-aware software development and assist the developer in meeting an application's energy budget. Although many energy models for embedded processors exist, most do not account for processor-specific configurations, neither are they suitable for static energy consumption estimation. This paper introduces a set of comprehensive energy models for Arm's Cortex-M0 processor, ready to support energy-aware development of edge computing applications using either profiling- or static-analysis-based energy consumption estimation. We use a commercially representative physical platform together with a custom modified Instruction Set Simulator to obtain the physical data and system state markers used to generate the models. The models account for different processor configurations which all have a significant impact on the execution time and energy consumption of edge computing applications. Unlike existing works, which target a very limited set of applications, all developed models are generated and validated using a very wide range of benchmarks from a variety of emerging IoT application areas, including machine learning and have a prediction error of less than 5%.
The optimized certainty equivalent (OCE) is a family of risk measures that cover important examples such as entropic risk, conditional value-at-risk and mean-variance models. In this paper, we propose a new episodic risk-sensitive reinforcement learning formulation based on tabular Markov decision processes with recursive OCEs. We design an efficient learning algorithm for this problem based on value iteration and upper confidence bound. We derive an upper bound on the regret of the proposed algorithm, and also establish a minimax lower bound. Our bounds show that the regret rate achieved by our proposed algorithm has optimal dependence on the number of episodes and the number of actions.
In this paper, we investigate the online allocation problem of maximizing the overall revenue subject to both lower and upper bound constraints. Compared to the extensively studied online problems with only resource upper bounds, the two-sided constraints affect the prospects of resource consumption more severely. As a result, only limited violations of constraints or pessimistic competitive bounds could be guaranteed. To tackle the challenge, we define a measure of feasibility $\xi^*$ to evaluate the hardness of this problem, and estimate this measurement by an optimization routine with theoretical guarantees. We propose an online algorithm adopting a constructive framework, where we initialize a threshold price vector using the estimation, then dynamically update the price vector and use it for decision-making at each step. It can be shown that the proposed algorithm is $\big(1-O(\frac{\varepsilon}{\xi^*-\varepsilon})\big)$ or $\big(1-O(\frac{\varepsilon}{\xi^*-\sqrt{\varepsilon}})\big)$ competitive with high probability for $\xi^*$ known or unknown respectively. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first result establishing a nearly optimal competitive algorithm for solving two-sided constrained online allocation problems with a high probability of feasibility.
Stochastic versions of proximal methods have gained much attention in statistics and machine learning. These algorithms tend to admit simple, scalable forms, and enjoy numerical stability via implicit updates. In this work, we propose and analyze a stochastic version of the recently proposed proximal distance algorithm, a class of iterative optimization methods that recover a desired constrained estimation problem as a penalty parameter $\rho \rightarrow \infty$. By uncovering connections to related stochastic proximal methods and interpreting the penalty parameter as the learning rate, we justify heuristics used in practical manifestations of the proximal distance method, establishing their convergence guarantees for the first time. Moreover, we extend recent theoretical devices to establish finite error bounds and a complete characterization of convergence rates regimes. We validate our analysis via a thorough empirical study, also showing that unsurprisingly, the proposed method outpaces batch versions on popular learning tasks.
Classic algorithms and machine learning systems like neural networks are both abundant in everyday life. While classic computer science algorithms are suitable for precise execution of exactly defined tasks such as finding the shortest path in a large graph, neural networks allow learning from data to predict the most likely answer in more complex tasks such as image classification, which cannot be reduced to an exact algorithm. To get the best of both worlds, this thesis explores combining both concepts leading to more robust, better performing, more interpretable, more computationally efficient, and more data efficient architectures. The thesis formalizes the idea of algorithmic supervision, which allows a neural network to learn from or in conjunction with an algorithm. When integrating an algorithm into a neural architecture, it is important that the algorithm is differentiable such that the architecture can be trained end-to-end and gradients can be propagated back through the algorithm in a meaningful way. To make algorithms differentiable, this thesis proposes a general method for continuously relaxing algorithms by perturbing variables and approximating the expectation value in closed form, i.e., without sampling. In addition, this thesis proposes differentiable algorithms, such as differentiable sorting networks, differentiable renderers, and differentiable logic gate networks. Finally, this thesis presents alternative training strategies for learning with algorithms.
In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.
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