Global urbanization has underscored the significance of urban microclimates for human comfort, health, and building/urban energy efficiency. They profoundly influence building design and urban planning as major environmental impacts. Understanding local microclimates is essential for cities to prepare for climate change and effectively implement resilience measures. However, analyzing urban microclimates requires considering a complex array of outdoor parameters within computational domains at the city scale over a longer period than indoors. As a result, numerical methods like Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) become computationally expensive when evaluating the impact of urban microclimates. The rise of deep learning techniques has opened new opportunities for accelerating the modeling of complex non-linear interactions and system dynamics. Recently, the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) has been shown to be very promising in accelerating solving the Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and modeling fluid dynamic systems. In this work, we apply the FNO network for real-time three-dimensional (3D) urban wind field simulation. The training and testing data are generated from CFD simulation of the urban area, based on the semi-Lagrangian approach and fractional stepping method to simulate urban microclimate features for modeling large-scale urban problems. Numerical experiments show that the FNO model can accurately reconstruct the instantaneous spatial velocity field. We further evaluate the trained FNO model on unseen data with different wind directions, and the results show that the FNO model can generalize well on different wind directions. More importantly, the FNO approach can make predictions within milliseconds on the graphics processing unit, making real-time simulation of 3D dynamic urban microclimate possible.
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ACM/IEEE第23屆模型驅動工程語言和系統國際會議，是模型驅動軟件和系統工程的首要會議系列，由ACM-SIGSOFT和IEEE-TCSE支持組織。自1998年以來，模型涵蓋了建模的各個方面，從語言和方法到工具和應用程序。模特的參加者來自不同的背景，包括研究人員、學者、工程師和工業專業人士。MODELS 2019是一個論壇，參與者可以圍繞建模和模型驅動的軟件和系統交流前沿研究成果和創新實踐經驗。今年的版本將為建模社區提供進一步推進建模基礎的機會，并在網絡物理系統、嵌入式系統、社會技術系統、云計算、大數據、機器學習、安全、開源等新興領域提出建模的創新應用以及可持續性。
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Auxiliary data sources have become increasingly important in epidemiological surveillance, as they are often available at a finer spatial and temporal resolution, larger coverage, and lower latency than traditional surveillance signals. We describe the problem of spatial and temporal heterogeneity in these signals derived from these data sources, where spatial and/or temporal biases are present. We present a method to use a ``guiding'' signal to correct for these biases and produce a more reliable signal that can be used for modeling and forecasting. The method assumes that the heterogeneity can be approximated by a low-rank matrix and that the temporal heterogeneity is smooth over time. We also present a hyperparameter selection algorithm to choose the parameters representing the matrix rank and degree of temporal smoothness of the corrections. In the absence of ground truth, we use maps and plots to argue that this method does indeed reduce heterogeneity. Reducing heterogeneity from auxiliary data sources greatly increases their utility in modeling and forecasting epidemics.
We show how quantum-inspired 2d tensor networks can be used to efficiently and accurately simulate the largest quantum processors from IBM, namely Eagle (127 qubits), Osprey (433 qubits) and Condor (1121 qubits). We simulate the dynamics of a complex quantum many-body system -- specifically, the kicked Ising experiment considered recently by IBM in Nature 618, p. 500-505 (2023) -- using graph-based Projected Entangled Pair States (gPEPS), which was proposed by some of us in PRB 99, 195105 (2019). Our results show that simple tensor updates are already sufficient to achieve very large unprecedented accuracy with remarkably low computational resources for this model. Apart from simulating the original experiment for 127 qubits, we also extend our results to 433 and 1121 qubits, thus setting a benchmark for the newest IBM quantum machines. We also report accurate simulations for infinitely-many qubits. Our results show that gPEPS are a natural tool to efficiently simulate quantum computers with an underlying lattice-based qubit connectivity, such as all quantum processors based on superconducting qubits.
Predicting startup success presents a formidable challenge due to the inherently volatile landscape of the entrepreneurial ecosystem. The advent of extensive databases like Crunchbase jointly with available open data enables the application of machine learning and artificial intelligence for more accurate predictive analytics. This paper focuses on startups at their Series B and Series C investment stages, aiming to predict key success milestones such as achieving an Initial Public Offering (IPO), attaining unicorn status, or executing a successful Merger and Acquisition (M\&A). We introduce novel deep learning model for predicting startup success, integrating a variety of factors such as funding metrics, founder features, industry category. A distinctive feature of our research is the use of a comprehensive backtesting algorithm designed to simulate the venture capital investment process. This simulation allows for a robust evaluation of our model's performance against historical data, providing actionable insights into its practical utility in real-world investment contexts. Evaluating our model on Crunchbase's, we achieved a 14 times capital growth and successfully identified on B round high-potential startups including Revolut, DigitalOcean, Klarna, Github and others. Our empirical findings illuminate the importance of incorporating diverse feature sets in enhancing the model's predictive accuracy. In summary, our work demonstrates the considerable promise of deep learning models and alternative unstructured data in predicting startup success and sets the stage for future advancements in this research area.
Fusing multi-modal data can improve the performance of deep learning models. However, missing modalities are common for medical data due to patients' specificity, which is detrimental to the performance of multi-modal models in applications. Therefore, it is critical to adapt the models to missing modalities. This study aimed to develop an efficient multi-modal fusion architecture for medical data that was robust to missing modalities and further improved the performance on disease diagnosis.X-ray chest radiographs for the image modality, radiology reports for the text modality, and structured value data for the tabular data modality were fused in this study. Each modality pair was fused with a Transformer-based bi-modal fusion module, and the three bi-modal fusion modules were then combined into a tri-modal fusion framework. Additionally, multivariate loss functions were introduced into the training process to improve model's robustness to missing modalities in the inference process. Finally, we designed comparison and ablation experiments for validating the effectiveness of the fusion, the robustness to missing modalities and the enhancements from each key component. Experiments were conducted on MIMIC-IV, MIMIC-CXR with the 14-label disease diagnosis task. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) were used to evaluate models' performance. The experimental results demonstrated that our proposed multi-modal fusion architecture effectively fused three modalities and showed strong robustness to missing modalities. This method is hopeful to be scaled to more modalities to enhance the clinical practicality of the model.
We study the multivariate deconvolution problem of recovering the distribution of a signal from independent and identically distributed observations additively contaminated with random errors (noise) from a known distribution. For errors with independent coordinates having ordinary smooth densities, we derive an inversion inequality relating the $L^1$-Wasserstein distance between two distributions of the signal to the $L^1$-distance between the corresponding mixture densities of the observations. This smoothing inequality outperforms existing inversion inequalities. As an application of the inversion inequality to the Bayesian framework, we consider $1$-Wasserstein deconvolution with Laplace noise in dimension one using a Dirichlet process mixture of normal densities as a prior measure on the mixing distribution (or distribution of the signal). We construct an adaptive approximation of the sampling density by convolving the Laplace density with a well-chosen mixture of normal densities and show that the posterior measure concentrates around the sampling density at a nearly minimax rate, up to a log-factor, in the $L^1$-distance. The same posterior law is also shown to automatically adapt to the unknown Sobolev regularity of the mixing density, thus leading to a new Bayesian adaptive estimation procedure for mixing distributions with regular densities under the $L^1$-Wasserstein metric. We illustrate utility of the inversion inequality also in a frequentist setting by showing that an appropriate isotone approximation of the classical kernel deconvolution estimator attains the minimax rate of convergence for $1$-Wasserstein deconvolution in any dimension $d\geq 1$, when only a tail condition is required on the latent mixing density and we derive sharp lower bounds for these problems
While significant advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have catalyzed progress across various domains, its full potential in understanding visual perception remains underexplored. We propose an artificial neural network dubbed VISION, an acronym for "Visual Interface System for Imaging Output of Neural activity," to mimic the human brain and show how it can foster neuroscientific inquiries. Using visual and contextual inputs, this multimodal model predicts the brain's functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) scan response to natural images. VISION successfully predicts human hemodynamic responses as fMRI voxel values to visual inputs with an accuracy exceeding state-of-the-art performance by 45%. We further probe the trained networks to reveal representational biases in different visual areas, generate experimentally testable hypotheses, and formulate an interpretable metric to associate these hypotheses with cortical functions. With both a model and evaluation metric, the cost and time burdens associated with designing and implementing functional analysis on the visual cortex could be reduced. Our work suggests that the evolution of computational models may shed light on our fundamental understanding of the visual cortex and provide a viable approach toward reliable brain-machine interfaces.
Combinatorial and algebraic perspectives on the marginal independence structure of Bayesian networks
We consider the problem of estimating the marginal independence structure of a Bayesian network from observational data in the form of an undirected graph called the unconditional dependence graph. We show that unconditional dependence graphs of Bayesian networks correspond to the graphs having equal independence and intersection numbers. Using this observation, a Gr\"obner basis for a toric ideal associated to unconditional dependence graphs of Bayesian networks is given and then extended by additional binomial relations to connect the space of all such graphs. An MCMC method, called GrUES (Gr\"obner-based Unconditional Equivalence Search), is implemented based on the resulting moves and applied to synthetic Gaussian data. GrUES recovers the true marginal independence structure via a penalized maximum likelihood or MAP estimate at a higher rate than simple independence tests while also yielding an estimate of the posterior, for which the $20\%$ HPD credible sets include the true structure at a high rate for data-generating graphs with density at least $0.5$.
In large-scale systems there are fundamental challenges when centralised techniques are used for task allocation. The number of interactions is limited by resource constraints such as on computation, storage, and network communication. We can increase scalability by implementing the system as a distributed task-allocation system, sharing tasks across many agents. However, this also increases the resource cost of communications and synchronisation, and is difficult to scale. In this paper we present four algorithms to solve these problems. The combination of these algorithms enable each agent to improve their task allocation strategy through reinforcement learning, while changing how much they explore the system in response to how optimal they believe their current strategy is, given their past experience. We focus on distributed agent systems where the agents' behaviours are constrained by resource usage limits, limiting agents to local rather than system-wide knowledge. We evaluate these algorithms in a simulated environment where agents are given a task composed of multiple subtasks that must be allocated to other agents with differing capabilities, to then carry out those tasks. We also simulate real-life system effects such as networking instability. Our solution is shown to solve the task allocation problem to 6.7% of the theoretical optimal within the system configurations considered. It provides 5x better performance recovery over no-knowledge retention approaches when system connectivity is impacted, and is tested against systems up to 100 agents with less than a 9% impact on the algorithms' performance.
The new era of technology has brought us to the point where it is convenient for people to share their opinions over an abundance of platforms. These platforms have a provision for the users to express themselves in multiple forms of representations, including text, images, videos, and audio. This, however, makes it difficult for users to obtain all the key information about a topic, making the task of automatic multi-modal summarization (MMS) essential. In this paper, we present a comprehensive survey of the existing research in the area of MMS.
Knowledge graphs (KGs) of real-world facts about entities and their relationships are useful resources for a variety of natural language processing tasks. However, because knowledge graphs are typically incomplete, it is useful to perform knowledge graph completion or link prediction, i.e. predict whether a relationship not in the knowledge graph is likely to be true. This paper serves as a comprehensive survey of embedding models of entities and relationships for knowledge graph completion, summarizing up-to-date experimental results on standard benchmark datasets and pointing out potential future research directions.
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