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When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate generalized Pareto distribution. However, existing literature has primarily concentrated on the setting when all risk variables are always large simultaneously. In reality, this assumption is often not met, especially in high dimensions. In response to this limitation, we study scenarios where distinct groups of risk variables may exhibit joint extremes while others do not. These discernible groups are derived from the angular measure inherent in the corresponding max-stable distribution, whence the term extreme direction. We explore such extreme directions within the framework of multivariate generalized Pareto distributions, with a focus on their probability density functions in relation to an appropriate dominating measure. Furthermore, we provide a stochastic construction that allows any prespecified set of risk groups to constitute the distribution's extreme directions. This construction takes the form of a smoothed max-linear model and accommodates the full spectrum of conceivable max-stable dependence structures. Additionally, we introduce a generic simulation algorithm tailored for multivariate generalized Pareto distributions, offering specific implementations for extensions of the logistic and H\"usler-Reiss families capable of carrying arbitrary extreme directions.

We introduce a semi-explicit time-stepping scheme of second order for linear poroelasticity satisfying a weak coupling condition. Here, semi-explicit means that the system, which needs to be solved in each step, decouples and hence improves the computational efficiency. The construction and the convergence proof are based on the connection to a differential equation with two time delays, namely one and two times the step size. Numerical experiments confirm the theoretical results and indicate the applicability to higher-order schemes.

We combine Kronecker products, and quantitative information flow, to give a novel formal analysis for the fine-grained verification of utility in complex privacy pipelines. The combination explains a surprising anomaly in the behaviour of utility of privacy-preserving pipelines -- that sometimes a reduction in privacy results also in a decrease in utility. We use the standard measure of utility for Bayesian analysis, introduced by Ghosh at al., to produce tractable and rigorous proofs of the fine-grained statistical behaviour leading to the anomaly. More generally, we offer the prospect of formal-analysis tools for utility that complement extant formal analyses of privacy. We demonstrate our results on a number of common privacy-preserving designs.

This work presents a novel global digital image correlation (DIC) method, based on a newly developed convolution finite element (C-FE) approximation. The convolution approximation can rely on the mesh of linear finite elements and enables arbitrarily high order approximations without adding more degrees of freedom. Therefore, the C-FE based DIC can be more accurate than {the} usual FE based DIC by providing highly smooth and accurate displacement and strain results with the same element size. The detailed formulation and implementation of the method have been discussed in this work. The controlling parameters in the method include the polynomial order, patch size, and dilation. A general choice of the parameters and their potential adaptivity have been discussed. The proposed DIC method has been tested by several representative examples, including the DIC challenge 2.0 benchmark problems, with comparison to the usual FE based DIC. C-FE outperformed FE in all the DIC results for the tested examples. This work demonstrates the potential of C-FE and opens a new avenue to enable highly smooth, accurate, and robust DIC analysis for full-field displacement and strain measurements.

Within the next decade the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is due to be launched, providing the opportunity to extract physics from stellar objects and systems, such as \textit{Extreme Mass Ratio Inspirals}, (EMRIs) otherwise undetectable to ground based interferometers and Pulsar Timing Arrays (PTA). Unlike previous sources detected by the currently available observational methods, these sources can \textit{only} be simulated using an accurate computation of the gravitational self-force. Whereas the field has seen outstanding progress in the frequency domain, metric reconstruction and self-force calculations are still an open challenge in the time domain. Such computations would not only further corroborate frequency domain calculations and models, but also allow for full self-consistent evolution of the orbit under the effect of the self-force. Given we have \textit{a priori} information about the local structure of the discontinuity at the particle, we will show how to construct discontinuous spatial and temporal discretisations by operating on discontinuous Lagrange and Hermite interpolation formulae and hence recover higher order accuracy. In this work we demonstrate how this technique in conjunction with well-suited gauge choice (hyperboloidal slicing) and numerical (discontinuous collocation with time symmetric) methods can provide a relatively simple method of lines numerical algorithm to the problem. This is the first of a series of papers studying the behaviour of a point-particle prescribing circular geodesic motion in Schwarzschild in the \textit{time domain}. In this work we describe the numerical machinery necessary for these computations and show not only our work is capable of highly accurate flux radiation measurements but it also shows suitability for evaluation of the necessary field and it's derivatives at the particle limit.

We collect robust proposals given in the field of regression models with heteroscedastic errors. Our motivation stems from the fact that the practitioner frequently faces the confluence of two phenomena in the context of data analysis: non--linearity and heteroscedasticity. The impact of heteroscedasticity on the precision of the estimators is well--known, however the conjunction of these two phenomena makes handling outliers more difficult. An iterative procedure to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic non--linear model is considered. The studied estimators combine weighted $MM-$regression estimators, to control the impact of high leverage points, and a robust method to estimate the parameters of the variance function.

We investigate the online overlapping batch-means covariance estimator for Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) under Markovian sampling. Convergence rates of order $O\big(\sqrt{d}\,n^{-1/8}(\log n)^{1/4}\big)$ and $O\big(\sqrt{d}\,n^{-1/8}\big)$ are established under state-dependent and state-independent Markovian sampling, respectively, where $d$ is the dimensionality and $n$ denotes observations or SGD iterations. These rates match the best-known convergence rate for independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) data. Our analysis overcomes significant challenges that arise due to Markovian sampling, leading to the introduction of additional error terms and complex dependencies between the blocks of the batch-means covariance estimator. Moreover, we establish the convergence rate for the first four moments of the $\ell_2$ norm of the error of SGD dynamics under state-dependent Markovian data, which holds potential interest as an independent result. Numerical illustrations provide confidence intervals for SGD in linear and logistic regression models under Markovian sampling. Additionally, our method is applied to the strategic classification with logistic regression, where adversaries adaptively modify features during training to affect target class classification.

We investigate the link between regularised self-transport problems and maximum likelihood estimation in Gaussian mixture models (GMM). This link suggests that self-transport followed by a clustering technique leads to principled estimators at a reasonable computational cost. Also, robustness, sparsity and stability properties of the optimal transport plan arguably make the regularised self-transport a statistical tool of choice for the GMM.

In this work, we propose a global model selection criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies of a random vector based on a finite sample. By global criterion, we mean optimizing a function over the entire set of possible graphs, eliminating the need to estimate the individual neighborhoods and subsequently combine them to estimate the graph. We prove the almost sure convergence of the graph estimator. This convergence holds provided the data is a realization of a multivariate stochastic process that satisfies a mixing condition. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first results to show the consistency of a model selection criterion for Markov random fields on graphs under non-independent data.

Previous audio-visual speech separation methods use the synchronization of the speaker's facial movement and speech in the video to supervise the speech separation in a self-supervised way. In this paper, we propose a model to solve the speech separation problem assisted by both face and sign language, which we call the extended speech separation problem. We design a general deep learning network for learning the combination of three modalities, audio, face, and sign language information, for better solving the speech separation problem. To train the model, we introduce a large-scale dataset named the Chinese Sign Language News Speech (CSLNSpeech) dataset, in which three modalities of audio, face, and sign language coexist. Experiment results show that the proposed model has better performance and robustness than the usual audio-visual system. Besides, sign language modality can also be used alone to supervise speech separation tasks, and the introduction of sign language is helpful for hearing-impaired people to learn and communicate. Last, our model is a general speech separation framework and can achieve very competitive separation performance on two open-source audio-visual datasets. The code is available at //github.com/iveveive/SLNSpeech