This paper explains the scalable methods used for extracting and analyzing the Covid-19 vaccine data. Using Big Data such as Hadoop and Hive, we collect and analyze the massive data set of the confirmed, the fatality, and the vaccination data set of Covid-19. The data size is about 3.2 Giga-Byte. We show that it is possible to store and process massive data with Big Data. The paper proceeds tempo-spatial analysis, and visual maps, charts, and pie charts visualize the result of the investigation. We illustrate that the more vaccinated, the fewer the confirmed cases.
With the outbreak of the Covid-19 virus, the activity of users on Twitter has significantly increased. Some studies have investigated the hot topics of tweets in this period; however, little attention has been paid to presenting and analyzing the spatial and temporal trends of Covid-19 topics. In this study, we use the topic modeling method to extract global topics during the nationwide quarantine periods (March 23 to June 23, 2020) on Covid-19 tweets. We implement the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) algorithm to extract the topics and then name them with the "reopening", "death cases", "telecommuting", "protests", "anger expression", "masking", "medication", "social distance", "second wave", and "peak of the disease" titles. We additionally analyze temporal trends of the topics for the whole world and four countries. By analyzing the graphs, fascinating results are obtained from altering users' focus on topics over time.
Significant attention in the financial industry has paved the way for blockchain technology to spread across other industries, resulting in a plethora of literature on the subject. This study approaches the subject through bibliometrics and network analysis of 6790 records extracted from the Web of Science from 2014-2020 based on blockchain. This study asserts (i) the impact of open access publication on the growth and visibility of literature, (ii) the collaboration patterns and impact of team size on collaboration, (iii) the ranking of countries based on their national and international collaboration, and (iv) the major themes in the literature through thematic analysis. Based on the significant momentum gained by the blockchain, the trend of open access publications has increased 1.5 times than no open access in 2020. This analysis articulates the numerous potentials of blockchain literature and its adoption by various countries and their authors. China and the USA are the top leaders in the field and applied blockchain more with smart contracts, supply chain, and internet of things. Also, results show that blockchain has attracted the attention of less than 1% of authors who have contributed to multiple works on the blockchain and authors also preferred to work in teams smaller in size.
Since the World Health Organization announced the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, curbing the spread of the virus has become an international priority. It has greatly affected people's lifestyles. In this article, we observe and analyze the impact of the pandemic on people's lives using changes in smartphone application usage. First, through observing the daily usage change trends of all users during the pandemic, we can understand and analyze the effects of restrictive measures and policies during the pandemic on people's lives. In addition, it is also helpful for the government and health departments to take more appropriate restrictive measures in the case of future pandemics. Second, we defined the usage change features and found 9 different usage change patterns during the pandemic according to clusters of users and show the diversity of daily usage changes. It helps to understand and analyze the different impacts of the pandemic and restrictive measures on different types of people in more detail. Finally, according to prediction models, we discover the main related factors of each usage change type from user preferences and demographic information. It helps to predict changes in smartphone activity during future pandemics or when other restrictive measures are implemented, which may become a new indicator to judge and manage the risks of measures or events.
Introduction: The aim of our retrospective study was to quantify the impact of Covid-19 on the temporal distribution of Emergency Medical Services (EMS) demand in Travis County, Austin, Texas and propose a robust model to forecast Covid-19 EMS incidents. Methods: We analyzed the temporal distribution of EMS calls in the Austin-Travis County area between January 1st, 2019, and December 31st, 2020. Change point detection was performed to identify critical dates marking changes in EMS call distributions, and time series regression was applied for forecasting Covid-19 EMS incidents. Results: Two critical dates marked the impact of Covid-19 on the distribution of EMS calls: March 17th, when the daily number of non-pandemic EMS incidents dropped significantly, and May 13th, by which the daily number of EMS calls climbed back to 75% of the number in pre-Covid-19 time. The new daily count of the hospitalization of Covid-19 patients alone proves a powerful predictor of the number of pandemic EMS calls, with an r2 value equal to 0.85. In particular, for every 2.5 cases where EMS takes a Covid-19 patient to a hospital, one person is admitted. Conclusion: The mean daily number of non-pandemic EMS demand was significantly less than the period before Covid-19 pandemic. The number of EMS calls for Covid-19 symptoms can be predicted from the daily new hospitalization of Covid-19 patients. These findings may be of interest to EMS departments as they plan for future pandemics, including the ability to predict pandemic-related calls in an effort to adjust a targeted response.
Since the World Health Organization announced the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, curbing the spread of the virus has become an international priority. It has greatly affected people's lifestyles. In this article, we observe and analyze the impact of the pandemic on people's lives using changes in smartphone application usage. First, through observing the daily usage change trends of all users during the pandemic, we can understand and analyze the effects of restrictive measures and policies during the pandemic on people's lives. In addition, it is also helpful for the government and health departments to take more appropriate restrictive measures in the case of future pandemics. Second, we defined the usage change features and found 9 different usage change patterns during the pandemic according to clusters of users and show the diversity of daily usage changes. It helps to understand and analyze the different impacts of the pandemic and restrictive measures on different types of people in more detail. Finally, according to prediction models, we discover the main related factors of each usage change type from user preferences and demographic information. It helps to predict changes in smartphone activity during future pandemics or when other restrictive measures are implemented, which may become a new indicator to judge and manage the risks of measures or events.
The increasing complexity and unpredictability of many ICT scenarios let us envision that future systems will have to dynamically learn how to act and adapt to face evolving situations with little or no a priori knowledge, both at the level of individual components and at the collective level. In other words, such systems should become able to autonomously develop models of themselves and of their environment. Autonomous development includes: learning models of own capabilities; learning how to act purposefully towards the achievement of specific goals; and learning how to act collectively, i.e., accounting for the presence of others. In this paper, we introduce the vision of autonomous development in ICT systems, by framing its key concepts and by illustrating suitable application domains. Then, we overview the many research areas that are contributing or can potentially contribute to the realization of the vision, and identify some key research challenges.
Natural language interfaces (NLIs) for data visualization are becoming increasingly popular both in academic research and in commercial software. Yet, there is a lack of empirical understanding of how people specify visualizations through natural language. To bridge this gap, we conducted an online study with 102 participants. We showed participants a series of ten visualizations for a given dataset and asked them to provide utterances they would pose to generate the displayed charts. The curated list of utterances generated from the study is provided below. This corpus of utterances can be used to evaluate existing NLIs for data visualization as well as for creating new systems and models to generate visualizations from natural language utterances.
This paper has the goal of evaluating how changes in mobility has affected the infection spread of Covid-19 throughout the 2020-2021 years. However, identifying a "clean" causal relation is not an easy task due to a high number of non-observable (behavioral) effects. We suggest the usage of Google Trends and News-based indexes as controls for some of these behavioral effects and we find that a 1\% increase in residential mobility (i.e. a reduction in overall mobility) have significant impacts for reducing both Covid-19 cases (at least 3.02\% on a one-month horizon) and deaths (at least 2.43\% at the two-weeks horizon) over the 2020-2021 sample. We also evaluate the effects of mobility on Covid-19 spread on the restricted sample (only 2020) where vaccines were not available. The results of diminishing mobility over cases and deaths on the restricted sample are still observable (with similar magnitudes in terms of residential mobility) and cumulative higher, as the effects of restricting workplace mobility turns to be also significant: a 1\% decrease in workplace mobility diminishes cases around 1\% and deaths around 2\%.
COVID-19 has been a public health emergency of international concern since early 2020. Reliable forecasting is critical to diminish the impact of this disease. To date, a large number of different forecasting models have been proposed, mainly including statistical models, compartmental models, and deep learning models. However, due to various uncertain factors across different regions such as economics and government policy, no forecasting model appears to be the best for all scenarios. In this paper, we perform quantitative analysis of COVID-19 forecasting of confirmed cases and deaths across different regions in the United States with different forecasting horizons, and evaluate the relative impacts of the following three dimensions on the predictive performance (improvement and variation) through different evaluation metrics: model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and the length of time series required for training. We find that if a dimension brings about higher performance gains, if not well-tuned, it may also lead to harsher performance penalties. Furthermore, model selection is the dominant factor in determining the predictive performance. It is responsible for both the largest improvement and the largest variation in performance in all prediction tasks across different regions. While practitioners may perform more complicated time series analysis in practice, they should be able to achieve reasonable results if they have adequate insight into key decisions like model selection.
This work considers the question of how convenient access to copious data impacts our ability to learn causal effects and relations. In what ways is learning causality in the era of big data different from -- or the same as -- the traditional one? To answer this question, this survey provides a comprehensive and structured review of both traditional and frontier methods in learning causality and relations along with the connections between causality and machine learning. This work points out on a case-by-case basis how big data facilitates, complicates, or motivates each approach.