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Existing results for the estimation of the L\'evy measure are mostly limited to the onedimensional setting. We apply the spectral method to multidimensional L\'evy processes in order to construct a nonparametric estimator for the multivariate jump distribution. We prove convergence rates for the uniform estimation error under both a low- and a high-frequency observation regime. The method is robust to various dependence structures. Along the way, we present a uniform risk bound for the multivariate empirical characteristic function and its partial derivatives. The method is illustrated with simulation examples.

In many life science experiments or medical studies, subjects are repeatedly observed and measurements are collected in factorial designs with multivariate data. The analysis of such multivariate data is typically based on multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) or mixed models, requiring complete data, and certain assumption on the underlying parametric distribution such as continuity or a specific covariance structure, e.g., compound symmetry. However, these methods are usually not applicable when discrete data or even ordered categorical data are present. In such cases, nonparametric rank-based methods that do not require stringent distributional assumptions are the preferred choice. However, in the multivariate case, most rank-based approaches have only been developed for complete observations. It is the aim of this work is to develop asymptotic correct procedures that are capable of handling missing values, allowing for singular covariance matrices and are applicable for ordinal or ordered categorical data. This is achieved by applying a wild bootstrap procedure in combination with quadratic form-type test statistics. Beyond proving their asymptotic correctness, extensive simulation studies validate their applicability for small samples. Finally, two real data examples are analyzed.

The subgradient method is one of the most fundamental algorithmic schemes for nonsmooth optimization. The existing complexity and convergence results for this algorithm are mainly derived for Lipschitz continuous objective functions. In this work, we first extend the typical complexity results for the subgradient method to convex and weakly convex minimization without assuming Lipschitz continuity. Specifically, we establish $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{T})$ bound in terms of the suboptimality gap ``$f(x) - f^*$'' for convex case and $\mathcal{O}(1/{T}^{1/4})$ bound in terms of the gradient of the Moreau envelope function for weakly convex case. Furthermore, we provide convergence results for non-Lipschitz convex and weakly convex objective functions using proper diminishing rules on the step sizes. In particular, when $f$ is convex, we show $\mathcal{O}(\log(k)/\sqrt{k})$ rate of convergence in terms of the suboptimality gap. With an additional quadratic growth condition, the rate is improved to $\mathcal{O}(1/k)$ in terms of the squared distance to the optimal solution set. When $f$ is weakly convex, asymptotic convergence is derived. The central idea is that the dynamics of properly chosen step sizes rule fully controls the movement of the subgradient method, which leads to boundedness of the iterates, and then a trajectory-based analysis can be conducted to establish the desired results. To further illustrate the wide applicability of our framework, we extend the complexity results to the truncated subgradient, the stochastic subgradient, the incremental subgradient, and the proximal subgradient methods for non-Lipschitz functions.

This study examines the relationship between houselessness and recidivism among people on probation with and without behavioral health problems. The study also illustrates a new way to summarize the effect of an exposure on an outcome, the Incremental Propensity Score (IPS), which avoids pitfalls of other estimation approaches commonly used in criminology. We assessed the impact of houselessness at probation start on rearrest within one year among a cohort of people on probation (n = 2,453). We estimated IPS effects, considering general and crime-specific recidivism if subjects were more or less likely to be unhoused and assessed effect variation by psychiatric disorder status. We used a doubly robust machine learning estimator to flexibly but efficiently estimate effects. Decreasing houselessness led to a lower estimated average rate of recidivism. Dividing the odds of houselessness by ten had a significant effect when compared to multiplying the odds of houselessness by ten, corresponding to a 9% reduction in the estimated average rate of recidivism (p < 0.05). Milder interventions showed smaller, non-significant effect sizes. Stratifying by diagnoses and re-arrest type led to similar results without statistical significance. Minding limitations related to observational data and generalizability, this study supports houselessness as a risk factor for recidivism across populations with a new analytic approach. Efforts to reduce recidivism should include interventions that make houselessness less likely, such as increasing housing access. Meanwhile, efforts to establish recidivism risk factors should consider alternative effects like IPS effects to maximize validity and reduce bias.

Class imbalance and group (e.g., race, gender, and age) imbalance are acknowledged as two reasons in data that hinder the trade-off between fairness and utility of machine learning classifiers. Existing techniques have jointly addressed issues regarding class imbalance and group imbalance by proposing fair over-sampling techniques. Unlike the common oversampling techniques, which only address class imbalance, fair oversampling techniques significantly improve the abovementioned trade-off, as they can also address group imbalance. However, if the size of the original clusters is too small, these techniques may cause classifier overfitting. To address this problem, we herein develop a fair oversampling technique using data from heterogeneous clusters. The proposed technique generates synthetic data that have class-mix features or group-mix features to make classifiers robust to overfitting. Moreover, we develop an interpolation method that can enhance the validity of generated synthetic data by considering the original cluster distribution and data noise. Finally, we conduct experiments on five realistic datasets and three classifiers, and the experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed technique in terms of fairness and utility.

The Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) is one of the most prominent algorithms to solve multi-objective optimization problems. Recently, the first mathematical runtime guarantees have been obtained for this algorithm, however only for synthetic benchmark problems. In this work, we give the first proven performance guarantees for a classic optimization problem, the NP-complete bi-objective minimum spanning tree problem. More specifically, we show that the NSGA-II with population size $N \ge 4((n-1) w_{\max} + 1)$ computes all extremal points of the Pareto front in an expected number of $O(m^2 n w_{\max} \log(n w_{\max}))$ iterations, where $n$ is the number of vertices, $m$ the number of edges, and $w_{\max}$ is the maximum edge weight in the problem instance. This result confirms, via mathematical means, the good performance of the NSGA-II observed empirically. It also shows that mathematical analyses of this algorithm are not only possible for synthetic benchmark problems, but also for more complex combinatorial optimization problems. As a side result, we also obtain a new analysis of the performance of the global SEMO algorithm on the bi-objective minimum spanning tree problem, which improves the previous best result by a factor of $|F|$, the number of extremal points of the Pareto front, a set that can be as large as $n w_{\max}$. The main reason for this improvement is our observation that both multi-objective evolutionary algorithms find the different extremal points in parallel rather than sequentially, as assumed in the previous proofs.

A new multivariate density estimator for stationary sequences is obtained by Fourier inversion of the thresholded empirical characteristic function. This estimator does not depend on the choice of parameters related to the smoothness of the density; it is directly adaptive. We establish oracle inequalities valid for independent, $\alpha$-mixing and $\tau$-mixing sequences, which allows us to derive optimal convergence rates, up to a logarithmic loss. On general anisotropic Sobolev classes, the estimator adapts to the regularity of the unknown density but also achieves directional adaptivity. In particular, if A is an invertible matrix, if the observations are drawn from X $\in$ R^d , d $\ge$ 1, it achieves the rate implied by the regularity of AX, which may be more regular than X. The estimator is easy to implement and numerically efficient. It depends on the calibration of a parameter for which we propose an innovative numerical selection procedure, using the Euler characteristic of the thresholded areas.

Analysis of networks that evolve dynamically requires the joint modelling of individual snapshots and time dynamics. This paper proposes a new flexible two-way heterogeneity model towards this goal. The new model equips each node of the network with two heterogeneity parameters, one to characterize the propensity to form ties with other nodes statically and the other to differentiate the tendency to retain existing ties over time. With $n$ observed networks each having $p$ nodes, we develop a new asymptotic theory for the maximum likelihood estimation of $2p$ parameters when $np\rightarrow \infty$. We overcome the global non-convexity of the negative log-likelihood function by the virtue of its local convexity, and propose a novel method of moment estimator as the initial value for a simple algorithm that leads to the consistent local maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). To establish the upper bounds for the estimation error of the MLE, we derive a new uniform deviation bound, which is of independent interest. The theory of the model and its usefulness are further supported by extensive simulation and a data analysis examining social interactions of ants.

Lexicase selection is a widely used parent selection algorithm in genetic programming, known for its success in various task domains such as program synthesis, symbolic regression, and machine learning. Due to its non-parametric and recursive nature, calculating the probability of each individual being selected by lexicase selection has been proven to be an NP-hard problem, which discourages deeper theoretical understanding and practical improvements to the algorithm. In this work, we introduce probabilistic lexicase selection (plexicase selection), a novel parent selection algorithm that efficiently approximates the probability distribution of lexicase selection. Our method not only demonstrates superior problem-solving capabilities as a semantic-aware selection method, but also benefits from having a probabilistic representation of the selection process for enhanced efficiency and flexibility. Experiments are conducted in two prevalent domains in genetic programming: program synthesis and symbolic regression, using standard benchmarks including PSB and SRBench. The empirical results show that plexicase selection achieves state-of-the-art problem-solving performance that is competitive to the lexicase selection, and significantly outperforms lexicase selection in computation efficiency.

Sharpness-Aware Minimization (SAM) is a recent optimization framework aiming to improve the deep neural network generalization, through obtaining flatter (i.e. less sharp) solutions. As SAM has been numerically successful, recent papers have studied the theoretical aspects of the framework and have shown SAM solutions are indeed flat. However, there has been limited theoretical exploration regarding statistical properties of SAM. In this work, we directly study the statistical performance of SAM, and present a new theoretical explanation of why SAM generalizes well. To this end, we study two statistical problems, neural networks with a hidden layer and kernel regression, and prove under certain conditions, SAM has smaller prediction error over Gradient Descent (GD). Our results concern both convex and non-convex settings, and show that SAM is particularly well-suited for non-convex problems. Additionally, we prove that in our setup, SAM solutions are less sharp as well, showing our results are in agreement with the previous work. Our theoretical findings are validated using numerical experiments on numerous scenarios, including deep neural networks.