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We consider a combinatorial multi-armed bandit problem for maximum value reward function under maximum value and index feedback. This is a new feedback structure that lies in between commonly studied semi-bandit and full-bandit feedback structures. We propose an algorithm and provide a regret bound for problem instances with stochastic arm outcomes according to arbitrary distributions with finite supports. The regret analysis rests on considering an extended set of arms, associated with values and probabilities of arm outcomes, and applying a smoothness condition. Our algorithm achieves a $O((k/\Delta)\log(T))$ distribution-dependent and a $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$ distribution-independent regret where $k$ is the number of arms selected in each round, $\Delta$ is a distribution-dependent reward gap and $T$ is the horizon time. Perhaps surprisingly, the regret bound is comparable to previously-known bound under more informative semi-bandit feedback. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm through experimental results.

Bayesian optimization has attracted huge attention from diverse research areas in science and engineering, since it is capable of finding a global optimum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function efficiently. In general, a probabilistic regression model, e.g., Gaussian processes, random forests, and Bayesian neural networks, is widely used as a surrogate function to model an explicit distribution over function evaluations given an input to estimate and a training dataset. Beyond the probabilistic regression-based Bayesian optimization, density ratio estimation-based Bayesian optimization has been suggested in order to estimate a density ratio of the groups relatively close and relatively far to a global optimum. Developing this line of research further, a supervised classifier can be employed to estimate a class probability for the two groups instead of a density ratio. However, the supervised classifiers used in this strategy tend to be overconfident for a global solution candidate. To solve this overconfidence problem, we propose density ratio estimation-based Bayesian optimization with semi-supervised learning. Finally, we demonstrate the experimental results of our methods and several baseline methods in two distinct scenarios with unlabeled point sampling and a fixed-size pool.

We study a generalization of the online binary prediction with expert advice framework where at each round, the learner is allowed to pick $m\geq 1$ experts from a pool of $K$ experts and the overall utility is a modular or submodular function of the chosen experts. We focus on the setting in which experts act strategically and aim to maximize their influence on the algorithm's predictions by potentially misreporting their beliefs about the events. Among others, this setting finds applications in forecasting competitions where the learner seeks not only to make predictions by aggregating different forecasters but also to rank them according to their relative performance. Our goal is to design algorithms that satisfy the following two requirements: 1) $\textit{Incentive-compatible}$: Incentivize the experts to report their beliefs truthfully, and 2) $\textit{No-regret}$: Achieve sublinear regret with respect to the true beliefs of the best fixed set of $m$ experts in hindsight. Prior works have studied this framework when $m=1$ and provided incentive-compatible no-regret algorithms for the problem. We first show that a simple reduction of our problem to the $m=1$ setting is neither efficient nor effective. Then, we provide algorithms that utilize the specific structure of the utility functions to achieve the two desired goals.

An important issue in medical image processing is to be able to estimate not only the performances of algorithms but also the precision of the estimation of these performances. Reporting precision typically amounts to reporting standard-error of the mean (SEM) or equivalently confidence intervals. However, this is rarely done in medical image segmentation studies. In this paper, we aim to estimate what is the typical confidence that can be expected in such studies. To that end, we first perform experiments for Dice metric estimation using a standard deep learning model (U-net) and a classical task from the Medical Segmentation Decathlon. We extensively study precision estimation using both Gaussian assumption and bootstrapping (which does not require any assumption on the distribution). We then perform simulations for other test set sizes and performance spreads. Overall, our work shows that small test sets lead to wide confidence intervals (e.g. $\sim$8 points of Dice for 20 samples with $\sigma \simeq 10$).

Dataset Distillation is the task of synthesizing small datasets from large ones while still retaining comparable predictive accuracy to the original uncompressed dataset. Despite significant empirical progress in recent years, there is little understanding of the theoretical limitations/guarantees of dataset distillation, specifically, what excess risk is achieved by distillation compared to the original dataset, and how large are distilled datasets? In this work, we take a theoretical view on kernel ridge regression (KRR) based methods of dataset distillation such as Kernel Inducing Points. By transforming ridge regression in random Fourier features (RFF) space, we provide the first proof of the existence of small (size) distilled datasets and their corresponding excess risk for shift-invariant kernels. We prove that a small set of instances exists in the original input space such that its solution in the RFF space coincides with the solution of the original data. We further show that a KRR solution can be generated using this distilled set of instances which gives an approximation towards the KRR solution optimized on the full input data. The size of this set is linear in the dimension of the RFF space of the input set or alternatively near linear in the number of effective degrees of freedom, which is a function of the kernel, number of datapoints, and the regularization parameter $\lambda$. The error bound of this distilled set is also a function of $\lambda$. We verify our bounds analytically and empirically.

Constraint satisfaction problems form a nicely behaved class of problems that lends itself to complexity classification results. From the point of view of parameterized complexity, a natural task is to classify the parameterized complexity of MinCSP problems parameterized by the number of unsatisfied constraints. In other words, we ask whether we can delete at most $k$ constraints, where $k$ is the parameter, to get a satisfiable instance. In this work, we take a step towards classifying the parameterized complexity for an important infinite-domain CSP: Allen's interval algebra (IA). This CSP has closed intervals with rational endpoints as domain values and employs a set $A$ of 13 basic comparison relations such as ``precedes'' or ``during'' for relating intervals. IA is a highly influential and well-studied formalism within AI and qualitative reasoning that has numerous applications in, for instance, planning, natural language processing and molecular biology. We provide an FPT vs. W[1]-hard dichotomy for MinCSP$(\Gamma)$ for all $\Gamma \subseteq A$. IA is sometimes extended with unions of the relations in $A$ or first-order definable relations over $A$, but extending our results to these cases would require first solving the parameterized complexity of Directed Symmetric Multicut, which is a notorious open problem. Already in this limited setting, we uncover connections to new variants of graph cut and separation problems. This includes hardness proofs for simultaneous cuts or feedback arc set problems in directed graphs, as well as new tractable cases with algorithms based on the recently introduced flow augmentation technique. Given the intractability of MinCSP$(A)$ in general, we then consider (parameterized) approximation algorithms and present a factor-$2$ fpt-approximation algorithm.

We analyze to what extent final users can infer information about the level of protection of their data when the data obfuscation mechanism is a priori unknown to them (the so-called ''black-box'' scenario). In particular, we delve into the investigation of two notions of local differential privacy (LDP), namely {\epsilon}-LDP and R\'enyi LDP. On one hand, we prove that, without any assumption on the underlying distributions, it is not possible to have an algorithm able to infer the level of data protection with provable guarantees; this result also holds for the central versions of the two notions of DP considered. On the other hand, we demonstrate that, under reasonable assumptions (namely, Lipschitzness of the involved densities on a closed interval), such guarantees exist and can be achieved by a simple histogram-based estimator. We validate our results experimentally and we note that, on a particularly well-behaved distribution (namely, the Laplace noise), our method gives even better results than expected, in the sense that in practice the number of samples needed to achieve the desired confidence is smaller than the theoretical bound, and the estimation of {\epsilon} is more precise than predicted.

Studies of alcohol and drug use are often interested in the number of days that people use the substance of interest over an interval, such as 28 days before a survey date. Although count models are often used for this purpose, they are not strictly appropriate for this type of data because the response variable is bounded above. Furthermore, if some peoples' substance use behaviors are characterized by various weekly patterns of use, summaries of substance days-of-use used over longer periods can exhibit multiple modes. These characteristics of substance days-of-use data are not easily fitted with conventional parametric model families. We propose a continuation ratio ordinal model for substance days-of-use data. Instead of grouping the set of possible response values into a small set of ordinal categories, each possible value is assigned its own category. This allows the exact numeric distribution implied by the predicted ordinal response to be recovered. We demonstrate the proposed model using survey data reporting days of alcohol use over 28-day intervals. We show the continuation ratio model is better able to capture the complexity in the drinking days dataset compared to binomial, hurdle-negative binomial and beta-binomial models.

We rigorously quantify the improvement in the sample complexity of variational divergence estimations for group-invariant distributions. In the cases of the Wasserstein-1 metric and the Lipschitz-regularized $\alpha$-divergences, the reduction of sample complexity is proportional to an ambient-dimension-dependent power of the group size. For the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), the improvement of sample complexity is more nuanced, as it depends on not only the group size but also the choice of kernel. Numerical simulations verify our theories.

This article aims to investigate the impact of noise on parameter fitting for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, focusing on the effects of multiplicative and thermal noise on the accuracy of signal separation. To address these issues, we propose algorithms and methods that can effectively distinguish between thermal and multiplicative noise and improve the precision of parameter estimation for optimal data analysis. Specifically, we explore the impact of both multiplicative and thermal noise on the obfuscation of the actual signal and propose methods to resolve them. Firstly, we present an algorithm that can effectively separate thermal noise with comparable performance to Hamilton Monte Carlo (HMC) but with significantly improved speed. Subsequently, we analyze multiplicative noise and demonstrate that HMC is insufficient for isolating thermal and multiplicative noise. However, we show that, with additional knowledge of the ratio between thermal and multiplicative noise, we can accurately distinguish between the two types of noise when provided with a sufficiently large sampling rate or an amplitude of multiplicative noise smaller than thermal noise. This finding results in a situation that initially seems counterintuitive. When multiplicative noise dominates the noise spectrum, we can successfully estimate the parameters for such systems after adding additional white noise to shift the noise balance.