亚洲男人的天堂2018av,欧美草比,久久久久久免费视频精选,国色天香在线看免费,久久久久亚洲av成人片仓井空

The exploration/exploitation trade-off is an inherent challenge in data-driven adaptive control. Though this trade-off has been studied for multi-armed bandits (MAB's) and reinforcement learning for linear systems; it is less well-studied for learning-based control of nonlinear systems. A significant theoretical challenge in the nonlinear setting is that there is no explicit characterization of an optimal controller for a given set of cost and system parameters. We propose the use of a finite-horizon oracle controller with full knowledge of parameters as a reasonable surrogate to optimal controller. This allows us to develop policies in the context of learning-based MPC and MAB's and conduct a control-theoretic analysis using techniques from MPC- and optimization-theory to show these policies achieve low regret with respect to this finite-horizon oracle. Our simulations exhibit the low regret of our policy on a heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning model with partially-unknown cost function.

Standard neural networks struggle to generalize under distribution shifts in computer vision. Fortunately, combining multiple networks can consistently improve out-of-distribution generalization. In particular, weight averaging (WA) strategies were shown to perform best on the competitive DomainBed benchmark; they directly average the weights of multiple networks despite their nonlinearities. In this paper, we propose Diverse Weight Averaging (DiWA), a new WA strategy whose main motivation is to increase the functional diversity across averaged models. To this end, DiWA averages weights obtained from several independent training runs: indeed, models obtained from different runs are more diverse than those collected along a single run thanks to differences in hyperparameters and training procedures. We motivate the need for diversity by a new bias-variance-covariance-locality decomposition of the expected error, exploiting similarities between WA and standard functional ensembling. Moreover, this decomposition highlights that WA succeeds when the variance term dominates, which we show occurs when the marginal distribution changes at test time. Experimentally, DiWA consistently improves the state of the art on DomainBed without inference overhead.

Dynamical models described by ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a fundamental tool in the sciences and engineering. Exact reduction aims at producing a lower-dimensional model in which each macro-variable can be directly related to the original variables, and it is thus a natural step towards the model's formal analysis and mechanistic understanding. We present an algorithm which, given a polynomial ODE model, computes a longest possible chain of exact linear reductions of the model such that each reduction refines the previous one, thus giving a user control of the level of detail preserved by the reduction. This significantly generalizes over the existing approaches which compute only the reduction of the lowest dimension subject to an approach-specific constraint. The algorithm reduces finding exact linear reductions to a question about representations of finite-dimensional algebras. We provide an implementation of the algorithm, demonstrate its performance on a set of benchmarks, and illustrate the applicability via case studies. Our implementation is freely available at //github.com/x3042/ExactODEReduction.jl

Over the past two decades, we have seen an exponentially increased amount of point clouds collected with irregular shapes in various areas. Motivated by the importance of solid modeling for point clouds, we develop a novel and efficient smoothing tool based on multivariate splines over the tetrahedral partitions to extract the underlying signal and build up a 3D solid model from the point cloud. The proposed smoothing method can denoise or deblur the point cloud effectively and provide a multi-resolution reconstruction of the actual signal. In addition, it can handle sparse and irregularly distributed point clouds and recover the underlying trajectory. The proposed smoothing and interpolation method also provides a natural way of numerosity data reduction. Furthermore, we establish the theoretical guarantees of the proposed method. Specifically, we derive the convergence rate and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator and illustrate that the convergence rate achieves the optimal nonparametric convergence rate. Through extensive simulation studies and a real data example, we demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method over traditional smoothing methods in terms of estimation accuracy and efficiency of data reduction.

In this paper, we study the predict-then-optimize problem where the output of a machine learning prediction task is used as the input of some downstream optimization problem, say, the objective coefficient vector of a linear program. The problem is also known as predictive analytics or contextual linear programming. The existing approaches largely suffer from either (i) optimization intractability (a non-convex objective function)/statistical inefficiency (a suboptimal generalization bound) or (ii) requiring strong condition(s) such as no constraint or loss calibration. We develop a new approach to the problem called \textit{maximum optimality margin} which designs the machine learning loss function by the optimality condition of the downstream optimization. The max-margin formulation enjoys both computational efficiency and good theoretical properties for the learning procedure. More importantly, our new approach only needs the observations of the optimal solution in the training data rather than the objective function, which makes it a new and natural approach to the inverse linear programming problem under both contextual and context-free settings; we also analyze the proposed method under both offline and online settings, and demonstrate its performance using numerical experiments.

In this paper, we provide three applications for $f$-divergences: (i) we introduce Sanov's upper bound on the tail probability of the sum of independent random variables based on super-modular $f$-divergence and show that our generalized Sanov's bound strictly improves over ordinary one, (ii) we consider the lossy compression problem which studies the set of achievable rates for a given distortion and code length. We extend the rate-distortion function using mutual $f$-information and provide new and strictly better bounds on achievable rates in the finite blocklength regime using super-modular $f$-divergences, and (iii) we provide a connection between the generalization error of algorithms with bounded input/output mutual $f$-information and a generalized rate-distortion problem. This connection allows us to bound the generalization error of learning algorithms using lower bounds on the $f$-rate-distortion function. Our bound is based on a new lower bound on the rate-distortion function that (for some examples) strictly improves over previously best-known bounds.

We develop a novel, general and computationally efficient framework, called Divide and Conquer Dynamic Programming (DCDP), for localizing change points in time series data with high-dimensional features. DCDP deploys a class of greedy algorithms that are applicable to a broad variety of high-dimensional statistical models and can enjoy almost linear computational complexity. We investigate the performance of DCDP in three commonly studied change point settings in high dimensions: the mean model, the Gaussian graphical model, and the linear regression model. In all three cases, we derive non-asymptotic bounds for the accuracy of the DCDP change point estimators. We demonstrate that the DCDP procedures consistently estimate the change points with sharp, and in some cases, optimal rates while incurring significantly smaller computational costs than the best available algorithms. Our findings are supported by extensive numerical experiments on both synthetic and real data.

In this paper, we apply the median-of-means principle to derive robust versions of local averaging rules in non-parametric regression. For various estimates, including nearest neighbors and kernel procedures, we obtain non-asymptotic exponential inequalities, with only a second moment assumption on the noise. We then show that these bounds cannot be significantly improved by establishing a corresponding lower bound on tail probabilities.

We examine the problem of efficient transmission of logical statements from a sender to a receiver under a diverse set of initial conditions for the sender and receiver's beliefs and on the goal for the communication. From the standpoint of our work, two different collections of logical statements are equivalent if there anything that can be proved from one collection can also be deduced from the other collection. Distinguishing between these two collections is thus unnecessary from the standpoint of our work and leads to communication cost efficiencies. In order to develop an example of an information theory for the transmission of logical statements, we focus on a simple logical system equivalent to propositional logic where a collection of logical statements can be alternately depicted as a collection of multivariate polynomial equations with coefficients and variables in a finite field. We then apply classical concepts from information theory, notably concepts for rate-distortion theory, to develop closed form expressions for the cost of communicating these logical statements. We additionally provide a theory of linear codes for implementing these communication systems that produces systems that are asymptotically bit-cost optimal in some settings. It is our belief that the scope for improving beyond our limited exploration is vast, including treating more sophisticated logical systems such as first order logic, studying different types of communication constraints and creating practical algorithms for attaining the Shannon limits.

Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over- or under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models inadequate. Yet even for parametric regression models, approximations such as MCMC typically are needed for posterior inference. This paper introduces a Bayesian modeling and algorithmic framework that enables semiparametric regression analysis for discrete data with Monte Carlo (not MCMC) sampling. The proposed approach pairs a nonparametric marginal model with a latent linear regression model to encourage both flexibility and interpretability, and delivers posterior consistency even under model misspecification. For a parametric or large-sample approximation of this model, we identify a class of conjugate priors with (pseudo) closed-form posteriors. All posterior and predictive distributions are available analytically or via Monte Carlo sampling. These tools are broadly useful for linear regression, nonlinear models via basis expansions, and variable selection with discrete data. Simulation studies demonstrate significant advantages in computing, prediction, estimation, and selection relative to existing alternatives. This novel approach is applied to self-reported mental health data that exhibit zero-inflation, overdispersion, boundedness, and heaping.